ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings
NYSE:ZTO • US98980A1051
22.925 USD
+0.13 (+0.55%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 01:16 PM
View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO).
Forecast Snapshot
Consensus Price Target
$25.25
+ 10.14% Upside
Next Earnings Forecast
Release DateMar 17, 2026
PeriodQ4 / 2025
EPS EstimateCN¥3.57
Revenue Estimate14.738B
ChartMill Buy Consensus
86.32%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
Price Target Details & History
Consensus Price Target and Range
Mean target
$25.25
Upside
+ 10.14%
From current price of $22.93 to mean target of $25.25, Based on 19 analyst forecasts
Low
$20.02
Median
$25.47
High
$30.04
Price Target Revisions
1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
-1.10%
Price Target Summary
19 analysts have analysed ZTO and the average price target is 25.25 USD. This implies a price increase of 10.14% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 22.925.
The average price target has been revised downward by 1.1% in the past 3 months.
Analyst Ratings & History
Current Analyst Ratings
Analyst Ratings History
Analyst Ratings Consensus
ChartMill Buy Consensus
86.32%
ZTO was analyzed by 19 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 86. So analysts seem to be very confident about ZTO.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
ZTO was analyzed by 19 analysts, which is quite many. So the average rating should be quite meaningful.
Recent Upgrades & Downgrades
| Date | Firm | Action | From → To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral -> Neutral |
| 2025-05-29 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral -> Overweight |
| 2025-05-22 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Buy -> Neutral |
| 2025-05-22 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy -> Buy |
| 2025-04-14 | HSBC | Upgrade | Hold -> Buy |
| 2025-03-20 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Overweight -> Neutral |
| 2025-01-21 | HSBC | Downgrade | Buy -> Hold |
| 2024-10-30 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight -> Overweight |
| 2024-06-26 | Macquarie | Downgrade | Outperform -> Neutral |
| 2024-06-17 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy -> Buy |
| 2024-03-21 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight -> Overweight |
| 2024-03-21 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Neutral -> Buy |
| 2024-03-21 | HSBC | Maintains | Buy -> Buy |
| 2023-11-07 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Buy -> Neutral |
| 2023-08-31 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform -> Outperform |
| 2023-05-19 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy -> Buy |
| 2023-04-25 | Goldman Sachs | Upgrade | Neutral -> Buy |
| 2023-03-17 | HSBC | Maintains | Buy |
| 2022-11-23 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| 2022-08-19 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral -> Overweight |
| 2021-11-18 | Macquarie | Upgrade | Neutral -> Outperform |
| 2021-11-18 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Neutral -> Buy |
| 2021-10-20 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Buy -> Neutral |
Next Earnings Forecast Details
Next Earnings Details
Release DateMar 17, 2026
PeriodQ4 / 2025
EPS EstimateCN¥3.57
Revenue Estimate14.738B
Revenue Q2Q14.07%
EPS Q2Q15.01%
Number of Analysts3
Next Earnings Revisions
Revenue (1 Month)
0.00%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.00%
EPS (1 Month)
2.50%
EPS (3 Months)
3.04%
Next Earnings Summary
ZTO is expected to report earnings on 3/17/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 3.57 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 14.74B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0% in the past 3 months.
Full Analyst Estimates
Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue YoY % growth | 35.377B 16.35% | 38.419B 8.60% | 44.281B 15.26% | 49.557B 11.92% | 54.974B 10.93% | 60.252B 9.60% | 63.23B 4.94% | 65.679B 3.87% | 68.96B 5.00% | 71.341B 3.45% | 73.079B 2.44% | 74.34B 1.73% | |
| EBITDA YoY % growth | 10.407B 34.72% | 12.883B 23.79% | 14.823B 15.06% | 15.106B 1.91% | 16.526B 9.40% | 18.369B 11.15% | 20.567B 11.97% | 22.187B 7.88% | 23.519B 6.00% | 24.976B 6.19% | 26.487B 6.05% | N/A | |
| EBIT YoY % growth | 7.736B 40.59% | 10.008B 29.36% | 11.8B 17.91% | 11.295B -4.28% | 12.747B 12.86% | 14.203B 11.42% | 12.964B -8.72% | 13.933B 7.47% | 15.061B 8.10% | 15.853B 5.26% | 16.67B 5.15% | 17.489B 4.91% | |
| Operating Margin | 21.87% | 26.05% | 26.65% | 22.79% | 23.19% | 23.57% | 20.50% | 21.21% | 21.84% | 22.22% | 22.81% | 23.53% | |
| EPS YoY % growth | 9.16 39.93% | 11.36 23.98% | 12.71 11.89% | 12.53 -1.40% | 13.81 10.25% | 15.51 12.27% | 16.11 3.87% | 17.20 6.78% | 18.55 7.84% | 19.55 5.38% | 20.59 5.32% | 21.65 5.16% |
All data in CNY
Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates
| Q4 / 25 | |
|---|---|
| EPS Q2Q % growth | 3.57 15.01% |
| Revenue Q2Q % growth | 14.738B 14.07% |
| EBITDA Q2Q % growth | N/A |
| EBIT Q2Q % growth | 3.626B 5.00% |
All data in CNY
Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data
Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary
Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)
EPS Next 3 Year
6.87%
EPS Next 5 Year
6.24%
Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)
Revenue Next 3 Year
11.12%
Revenue Next 5 Year
8.38%
Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)
EBIT Next 3 Year
15.47%
EBIT Next 5 Year
13.21%
ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR / ZTO Forecast FAQ
What is the average price target for ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) stock?
19 analysts have analysed ZTO and the average price target is 25.25 USD. This implies a price increase of 10.14% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 22.925.
What is the next earnings date for ZTO stock?
ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) will report earnings on 2026-03-17, after the market close.
Can you provide the consensus estimates for ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR next earnings?
The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) is 3.57 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 14.74B USD.
What is the consensus rating for ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) stock?
The consensus rating for ZTO EXPRESS CAYMAN INC-ADR (ZTO) is 86.3158 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.