ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:AAP • US00751Y1064

Current stock price

58.18 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
At close:
58.18 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$57.16
-1.75% Downside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 20, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.48
Revenue Estimate
2.6B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
57.14%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$57.16
Upside
-1.75%
From current price of $58.18 to mean target of $57.16, Based on 35 analyst forecasts
Low
$31.31
Median
$58.65
High
$73.50

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-0.44%
3 Months
4.87%

Price Target Summary

35 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for AAP. The average price target is 57.16 USD. This implies a price decrease of -1.75% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 58.18.
The average price target has been revised upward by 4.87% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

AAP Current Analyst RatingAAP Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15 20

Analyst Ratings History

AAP Historical Analyst RatingsAAP Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 10 20 30

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
57.14%
AAP was analyzed by 35 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 57. So analysts seem to be rather neutral about AAP.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
AAP was analyzed by 35 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-17DA DavidsonMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-02-17BMO CapitalMaintains Market Perform -> Market Perform
2026-02-17RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2026-02-17Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2026-02-11Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-11Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2026-02-05DA DavidsonMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-01-20TD CowenMaintains Hold -> Hold
2026-01-15Morgan StanleyMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-12-16Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-12-09Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-10-31DA DavidsonMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-31JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-31CitigroupMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-27Roth CapitalReiterate Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-20Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-09-12Morgan StanleyMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-08-29MizuhoMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-08-29Argus ResearchReiterate Hold -> Hold
2025-08-15Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-08-15Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-08-15Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-08-15Morgan StanleyMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-08-14DA DavidsonMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-08-12Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 20, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.48
Revenue Estimate
2.6B
Revenue Q2Q
0.66%
EPS Q2Q
318.05%
Number of Analysts
24

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
-0.27%
Revenue (3 Months)
-0.38%
EPS (1 Month)
4.89%
EPS (3 Months)
9.79%

Next Earnings Summary

AAP is expected to report earnings on 5/20/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.48 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 2.60B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0.38% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2033

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Revenue
YoY % growth
AAP revenue by date.AAP revenue by date.
9.209B
-17.44%		9.094B
-1.25%		8.601B
-5.42%		8.631B
0.35%		8.848B
2.51%		9.058B
2.37%		9.235B
1.95%		9.471B
2.56%		9.699B
2.41%		9.737B
0.39%		9.893B
1.60%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
AAP ebitda by date.AAP ebitda by date.
361.328M
-65.18%		-112.424M
-131.11%		487M
533.18%		616.64M
26.62%		722.75M
17.21%		691.16M
-4.37%		652.46M
-5.60%		663.57M
1.70%		640.34M
-3.50%		642.36M
0.32%		652.46M
1.57%
EBIT
YoY % growth
AAP ebit by date.AAP ebit by date.
54.874M
-92.72%		-404.404M
-836.97%		215M
153.16%		354.7M
64.98%		439.28M
23.85%		446.58M
1.66%		457.09M
2.35%		475.34M
3.99%		349.46M
-26.48%		350.47M
0.29%		356.53M
1.73%
Operating Margin
AAP operating margin by date.AAP operating margin by date.
0.60%-4.45%2.50%4.11%4.96%4.93%4.95%5.02%3.60%3.60%3.60%
EPS
YoY % growth
AAP eps by date.AAP eps by date.
0.75
-94.24%		0.20
-73.33%		2.25
1,025.00%		2.80
24.24%		3.98
42.33%		4.83
21.31%		4.31
-10.71%		4.57
6.09%		4.63
1.18%		5.22
12.88%		5.67
8.51%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.48
318.05%		0.82
19.18%		0.94
2.44%		0.59
-31.63%		0.75
56.21%		1.12
36.60%		1.26
33.20%		0.85
45.06%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		2.6B
0.66%		2.067B
2.84%		2.083B
2.31%		1.883B
-4.56%		2.696B
3.69%		2.128B
2.95%		2.15B
3.22%		1.95B
3.56%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		166.24M
107.80%		161.72M
-21.87%		173.92M
-42.79%		131.04M
-62.02%		N/AN/AN/AN/A
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		71.959M
899.54%		98.484M
61.45%		106.25M
18.06%		80.128M
9.76%		101.62M
41.22%		117.21M
19.01%		127.98M
20.45%		98.723M
23.21%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

AAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
AAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 4 6 8 10

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
28.97%
EPS Next 5 Year
15.23%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
1.48%
Revenue Next 5 Year
1.79%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
49.31%
EBIT Next 5 Year
26.16%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC / AAP Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for AAP stock?

35 analysts have analysed AAP and the average price target is 57.16 USD. This implies a price decrease of -1.75% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 58.18.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC?

ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP) will report earnings on 2026-05-20.

What are the consensus estimates for AAP stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP) is 0.48 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 2.60B USD.

How do analysts rate ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP)?

The consensus rating for ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP) is 57.1429 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a neutral outlook on the stock.