TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:TXRH • US8826811098

Current stock price

159.81 USD
-3.22 (-1.98%)
Last:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$200.10
+ 25.21% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.85
Revenue Estimate
1.67B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
72.97%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$200.10
Upside
+ 25.21%
From current price of $159.81 to mean target of $200.10, Based on 37 analyst forecasts
Low
$166.65
Median
$198.90
High
$231.00

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.39%
3 Months
4.60%

Price Target Summary

37 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for TXRH. The average price target is 200.1 USD. This implies a price increase of 25.21% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 159.81.
The average price target has been revised upward by 4.6% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

TXRH Current Analyst RatingTXRH Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings History

TXRH Historical Analyst RatingsTXRH Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 10 20 30

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
72.97%
TXRH was analyzed by 37 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 73. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about TXRH.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
TXRH was analyzed by 37 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-04-16Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-23Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-20BTIGReiterate Buy -> Buy
2026-02-20Stephens & Co.Maintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-20Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2026-02-20CitigroupMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-02-12MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-02-10Truist SecuritiesDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2026-02-09CitigroupMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-01-28Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2026-01-22Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-20TD CowenInitiate Buy
2026-01-20Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-08Truist SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-07BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-01-06BMO CapitalMaintains Market Perform -> Market Perform
2025-12-17Wells FargoUpgrade Equal-Weight -> Overweight
2025-11-10Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-07RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2025-11-07Stephens & Co.Maintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-11-07BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-11-07Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-11-07Truist SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-11-03UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-28MizuhoInitiate Outperform

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.85
Revenue Estimate
1.67B
Revenue Q2Q
15.36%
EPS Q2Q
8.62%
Number of Analysts
31

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.00%
Revenue (3 Months)
1.52%
EPS (1 Month)
0.06%
EPS (3 Months)
4.80%

Next Earnings Summary

TXRH is expected to report earnings on 5/7/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 1.85 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 1.67B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 1.52% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
TXRH revenue by date.TXRH revenue by date.
4.632B
15.36%		5.373B
16.01%		5.878B
9.39%		6.669B
13.46%		7.288B
9.28%		7.851B
7.73%		8.427B
7.34%		9.27B
10.00%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
TXRH ebitda by date.TXRH ebitda by date.
507.466M
10.56%		695.902M
37.13%		681.729M
-2.04%		737.21M
8.14%		860.6M
16.74%		991.05M
15.16%		1.066B
7.56%		1.186B
11.26%
EBIT
YoY % growth
TXRH ebit by date.TXRH ebit by date.
354.264M
10.09%		517.745M
46.15%		475.089M
-8.24%		501.09M
5.47%		606.98M
21.13%		731.35M
20.49%		775M
5.97%		866.39M
11.79%
Operating Margin
TXRH operating margin by date.TXRH operating margin by date.
7.65%9.64%8.08%7.51%8.33%9.32%9.20%9.35%
EPS
YoY % growth
TXRH eps by date.TXRH eps by date.
4.53
14.11%		6.47
42.83%		6.09
-5.87%		6.42
5.35%		7.80
21.57%		9.43
20.93%		10.13
7.38%		11.42
12.79%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		1.85
8.62%		1.76
-5.49%		1.34
7.31%		1.47
14.88%		2.18
17.85%		2.11
20.27%		1.67
24.61%		1.82
23.69%		2.66
22.43%		2.55
20.61%		2.01
20.34%		2.16
19.00%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		1.67B
15.36%		1.704B
12.69%		1.618B
12.65%		1.674B
12.95%		1.82B
8.98%		1.855B
8.86%		1.767B
9.21%		1.821B
8.78%		1.961B
7.75%		1.99B
7.28%		1.9B
7.53%		1.949B
7.03%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		201.84M
9.96%		195.75M
-20.43%		163.88M
-34.25%		175.3M
-42.23%		230.46M
14.18%		225.65M
15.27%		192.9M
17.71%		203.63M
16.16%		270.93M
17.56%		251.26M
11.35%		216.4M
12.18%		226.93M
11.44%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		144.81M
7.46%		137.71M
-5.97%		104.13M
7.25%		113.97M
17.75%		169.32M
16.93%		162.29M
17.85%		127.6M
22.54%		137.67M
20.79%		206.51M
21.96%		185.62M
14.38%		149.14M
16.88%		157.95M
14.73%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

TXRH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTXRH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
TXRH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTXRH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
15.70%
EPS Next 5 Year
13.41%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
9.32%
Revenue Next 5 Year
9.05%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
24.91%
EBIT Next 5 Year
18.45%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC / TXRH Forecast FAQ

What is the average price target for TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH) stock?

37 analysts have analysed TXRH and the average price target is 200.1 USD. This implies a price increase of 25.21% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 159.81.

What is the next earnings date for TXRH stock?

TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH) will report earnings on 2026-05-07, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for TXRH stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH) is 1.85 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 1.67B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for TXRH stock?

The expected long term growth rate for TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC (TXRH) is 9.32%.