MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:MELI • US58733R1023

Current stock price

1670 USD
-10 (-0.6%)
At close:
1665.56 USD
-4.44 (-0.27%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$2,854.36
+ 70.92% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$10.70
Revenue Estimate
8.447B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
84.52%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$2,854.36
Upside
+ 70.92%
From current price of $1,670.00 to mean target of $2,854.36, Based on 31 analyst forecasts
Low
$2,180.93
Median
$2,873.85
High
$3,675.00

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-0.36%
3 Months
-1.39%

Price Target Summary

31 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for MELI. The average price target is 2854.36 USD. This implies a price increase of 70.92% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 1670.
The average price target has been revised downward by 1.39% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

MELI Current Analyst RatingMELI Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings History

MELI Historical Analyst RatingsMELI Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 10 20 30

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
84.52%
MELI was analyzed by 31 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 85. So analysts seem to be very confident about MELI.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
MELI was analyzed by 31 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-12JP MorganDowngrade Overweight -> Neutral
2026-03-09Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-03-02JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-25Cantor FitzgeraldMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-25BTIGMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-25BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-02-25WedbushMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-02-17WedbushMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-02-12JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2026-02-04BTIGReiterate Buy -> Buy
2025-12-19WedbushMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-12-04BTIGReiterate Buy -> Buy
2025-11-24UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-11-14BTIGReiterate Buy -> Buy
2025-11-03JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-11-03Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-30Cantor FitzgeraldMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-30BenchmarkMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-30BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-21BenchmarkReiterate Buy -> Buy
2025-10-21BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-13SusquehannaMaintains Positive -> Positive
2025-10-09CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-03JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-09-24Cantor FitzgeraldMaintains Overweight -> Overweight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$10.70
Revenue Estimate
8.447B
Revenue Q2Q
42.33%
EPS Q2Q
9.87%
Number of Analysts
13

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
5.09%
Revenue (3 Months)
6.90%
EPS (1 Month)
-11.01%
EPS (3 Months)
-16.44%

Next Earnings Summary

MELI is expected to report earnings on 5/7/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 10.7 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 8.45B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 6.9% in the past 3 months. Upward revisions are a positive sign and indicate that analysts are more optimistic about the next earnings compared to 3 months ago.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Revenue
YoY % growth
MELI revenue by date.MELI revenue by date.
15.107B
40.14%		20.777B
37.53%		28.893B
39.06%		38.593B
33.57%		47.443B
22.93%		56.025B
18.09%		65.347B
16.64%		70.478B
7.85%		74.803B
6.14%		83.391B
11.48%		92.042B
10.37%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
MELI ebitda by date.MELI ebitda by date.
2.731B
85.53%		3.248B
18.93%		4.019B
23.74%		5.363B
33.44%		7.108B
32.54%		9.296B
30.78%		11.313B
21.70%		12.339B
9.07%		14.279B
15.72%		16.333B
14.38%		18.567B
13.68%
EBIT
YoY % growth
MELI ebit by date.MELI ebit by date.
2.207B
106.45%		2.631B
19.21%		3.201B
21.66%		4.431B
38.43%		6.054B
36.63%		8.102B
33.83%		10.134B
25.08%		10.617B
4.77%		12.402B
16.81%		14.371B
15.88%		16.359B
13.83%
Operating Margin
MELI operating margin by date.MELI operating margin by date.
14.61%12.66%11.08%11.48%12.76%14.46%15.51%15.06%16.58%17.23%17.77%
EPS
YoY % growth
MELI eps by date.MELI eps by date.
19.54
104.82%		37.70
92.94%		39.40
4.51%		58.52
48.52%		81.57
39.39%		110.32
35.25%		150.93
36.81%		179.34
18.82%		222.08
23.84%		274.43
23.57%		336.84
22.74%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		10.70
9.87%		13.13
27.33%		14.57
75.08%		17.56
59.19%		18.72
74.90%		20.61
57.02%		22.02
51.18%		27.45
56.32%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		8.447B
42.33%		9.295B
36.89%		9.582B
29.33%		10.782B
23.10%		10.115B
19.75%		11.049B
18.87%		11.602B
21.08%		13.348B
23.80%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		1.054B
12.73%		1.244B
4.01%		1.337B
2.53%		1.572B
-7.91%		1.664B
57.87%		1.796B
44.37%		1.878B
40.46%		2.279B
44.97%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		791.61M
3.75%		971.29M
17.73%		1.044B
44.20%		1.324B
48.93%		1.342B
69.53%		1.455B
49.80%		1.55B
48.47%		1.925B
45.39%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

MELI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMELI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B
MELI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMELI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 100 200 300

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
40.95%
EPS Next 5 Year
35.40%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
24.27%
Revenue Next 5 Year
19.27%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
41.72%
EBIT Next 5 Year
30.45%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

MERCADOLIBRE INC / MELI Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for MELI stock?

31 analysts have analysed MELI and the average price target is 2854.36 USD. This implies a price increase of 70.92% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 1670.

When does MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) report earnings?

MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) will report earnings on 2026-05-07.

Can you provide the consensus estimates for MERCADOLIBRE INC next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is 10.7 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 8.45B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for MELI stock?

The expected long term growth rate for MERCADOLIBRE INC (MELI) is 24.27%.