CARMAX INC (KMX) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:KMX • US1431301027

Current stock price

40.86 USD
-1.82 (-4.26%)
At close:
40.86 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for CARMAX INC (KMX).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$41.18
+ 0.78% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 14, 2026
Period
Q4 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.19
Revenue Estimate
5.709B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
55.56%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$41.18
Upside
+ 0.78%
From current price of $40.86 to mean target of $41.18, Based on 27 analyst forecasts
Low
$19.19
Median
$37.23
High
$93.68

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
-4.48%

Price Target Summary

27 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for KMX. The average price target is 41.18 USD. This implies a price increase of 0.78% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 40.86.
The average price target has been revised downward by 4.48% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

KMX Current Analyst RatingKMX Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings History

KMX Historical Analyst RatingsKMX Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20 25

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
55.56%
KMX was analyzed by 27 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 56. So analysts seem to be rather neutral about KMX.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
KMX was analyzed by 27 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-17Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2026-02-18BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-02-10Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2026-02-03Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2026-01-21BarclaysMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-12-19MizuhoMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-12-19RBC CapitalMaintains Sector Perform -> Sector Perform
2025-12-19Stephens & Co.Maintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-12-19BarclaysMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-12-19WedbushMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-12-19Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-12-19JP MorganMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-12-19B of A SecuritiesMaintains Underperform -> Underperform
2025-12-09Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-11-18WedbushReiterate Neutral -> Neutral
2025-11-12BarclaysInitiate Underweight
2025-11-10Morgan StanleyDowngrade Overweight -> Equal-Weight
2025-11-07NeedhamDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2025-11-07RBC CapitalDowngrade Outperform -> Sector Perform
2025-11-07Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-11-07Truist SecuritiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-11-06William BlairDowngrade Outperform -> Market Perform
2025-11-06BenchmarkDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2025-11-06JP MorganDowngrade Neutral -> Underweight
2025-10-16MizuhoMaintains Neutral -> Neutral

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 14, 2026
Period
Q4 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.19
Revenue Estimate
5.709B
Revenue Q2Q
-4.90%
EPS Q2Q
-69.63%
Number of Analysts
17

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.48%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.81%
EPS (1 Month)
2.57%
EPS (3 Months)
12.53%

Next Earnings Summary

KMX is expected to report earnings on 4/14/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.19 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 5.71B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 0.81% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
KMX revenue by date.KMX revenue by date.
29.685B
-6.95%		26.536B
-10.61%		26.353B
-0.69%		25.763B
-2.24%		25.992B
0.89%		26.464B
1.82%		27.835B
5.18%		28.339B
1.81%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
KMX ebitda by date.KMX ebitda by date.
359.022M
-65.33%		525.688M
46.42%		502.653M
-4.38%		987.4M
96.44%		909.79M
-7.86%		1.001B
10.03%		1.897B
89.51%		2.125B
12.02%
EBIT
YoY % growth
KMX ebit by date.KMX ebit by date.
93.798M
-87.70%		265.274M
182.81%		207.852M
-21.65%		644.8M
210.22%		582.46M
-9.67%		648.11M
11.27%		1.6B
146.87%		1.842B
15.13%
Operating Margin
KMX operating margin by date.KMX operating margin by date.
0.32%1.00%0.79%2.50%2.24%2.45%5.75%6.50%
EPS
YoY % growth
KMX eps by date.KMX eps by date.
3.03
-56.47%		2.75
-9.24%		3.27
18.91%		2.68
-18.05%		2.55
-4.76%		3.10
21.26%		8.10
161.71%		9.58
18.33%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.19
-69.63%		1.07
-22.52%		0.68
6.16%		0.47
8.45%		0.31
58.55%		0.92
-14.04%		0.58
-15.27%		0.43
-6.87%		0.12
-60.67%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		5.709B
-4.90%		7.324B
-2.95%		6.682B
1.32%		5.963B
2.92%		5.822B
1.98%		7.618B
4.01%		7.029B
5.19%		6.198B
3.94%		6.074B
4.33%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		152.94M
-47.32%		355.82M
43.28%		284.95M
31.54%		219.98M
17.34%		195.77M
28.00%		286.64M
-19.44%		235.23M
-17.45%		193.11M
-12.21%		147.36M
-24.73%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		71.647M
1,702.84%		221.11M
31.18%		157.98M
198.57%		106.96M
265.24%		88.032M
22.87%		222.6M
0.67%		169.48M
7.28%		126.05M
17.85%		79.083M
-10.17%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

KMX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKMX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B
KMX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKMX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
-1.82%
EPS Next 5 Year
24.00%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
-0.09%
Revenue Next 5 Year
1.32%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
7.58%
EBIT Next 5 Year
21.46%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

CARMAX INC / KMX Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for KMX stock?

27 analysts have analysed KMX and the average price target is 41.18 USD. This implies a price increase of 0.78% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 40.86.

What is the next earnings date for KMX stock?

CARMAX INC (KMX) will report earnings on 2026-04-14, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for KMX stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of CARMAX INC (KMX) is 0.19 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 5.71B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for CARMAX INC (KMX)?

The expected long term growth rate for CARMAX INC (KMX) is -0.09%.