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Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC) Posts Mixed Q2 2025 Earnings Amid Merger Speculation

By Mill Chart

Last update: Jul 29, 2025

Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC) Reports Q2 2025 Earnings: Mixed Results Amid Merger Speculation

Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC) released its second-quarter 2025 earnings, delivering a mixed performance relative to analyst expectations. The railroad operator reported revenue of $3.11 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $3.16 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.29, missing the projected $3.33. Despite the slight miss, the company highlighted year-over-year improvements, with net income and EPS growing by 4% and 5%, respectively. On an adjusted basis, net income rose 7%, while adjusted EPS climbed 8%.

Key Takeaways from the Earnings Report:

  • Revenue Growth: While revenue fell short of estimates, the company maintained modest growth, reflecting resilience in freight demand despite broader economic uncertainties.
  • Operating Ratio Improvement: Norfolk Southern emphasized progress in operational efficiency, expecting a 100–150 basis point improvement in its adjusted operating ratio (OR) for the full year.
  • Full-Year Guidance: Management reaffirmed expectations for 2%–3% revenue growth in 2025, aligning closely with analyst projections of $12.75 billion in full-year revenue.

Market Reaction:
Following the earnings release, Norfolk Southern shares declined 2.6% in pre-market trading, signaling investor disappointment over the revenue and EPS miss. However, the stock has shown resilience over the past month, gaining 12%, likely buoyed by broader market optimism and speculation surrounding the potential acquisition by Union Pacific. The proposed $85 billion deal, if finalized, would create a transcontinental rail giant, though regulatory scrutiny remains a key uncertainty.

Looking Ahead:
Analysts expect Q3 2025 revenue of $3.16 billion and full-year sales of $12.46 billion, slightly below Norfolk Southern’s own guidance. The company’s ability to improve operational efficiency while navigating merger discussions will be critical in determining whether it can meet or exceed these targets.

For a deeper dive into Norfolk Southern’s earnings estimates and historical performance, visit the earnings and estimates page.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.