Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (NYSE:HLT) Beats Q4 2025 Estimates and Provides Robust 2026 Outlook

By Mill Chart - Last update: Feb 11, 2026

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (NYSE:HLT) reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, delivering a top and bottom line that exceeded analyst expectations. The global hospitality giant's performance, coupled with a robust development pipeline and optimistic guidance for the year ahead, appears to have been met with a positive initial reaction from investors.

Earnings and Revenue Versus Estimates

The company’s fourth-quarter results came in ahead of Wall Street’s forecasts. Hilton reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.08, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.04. Total revenue for the quarter reached $3.09 billion, also edging out analyst expectations of approximately $3.02 billion.

For the full year 2025, the company reported adjusted EPS of $8.11 on total revenue of $12.04 billion. A key operational metric, system-wide comparable Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR), showed modest growth, increasing 0.5% for the quarter and 0.4% for the full year on a currency-neutral basis, driven primarily by higher average daily rates.

Market Reaction and Price Action

The market's response to the earnings release has been favorable. In pre-market trading following the announcement, Hilton’s stock showed positive momentum. This near-term price action suggests investors are interpreting the earnings beat and the company's forward outlook as positive signals. The stock has also demonstrated strength over recent weeks, adding context to the post-earnings move.

Outlook and Analyst Comparisons

Management provided detailed guidance for 2026, projecting continued growth. The company forecasts full-year system-wide RevPAR to increase between 1.0% and 2.0% and net unit growth to be between 6.0% and 7.0%. For the full year 2026, Hilton anticipates adjusted EPS in the range of $8.65 to $8.77 and adjusted EBITDA between $4.00 billion and $4.04 billion.

  • Full-Year 2026 EPS Guidance: $8.65 - $8.77
  • Analyst Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS: ~$8.66
  • Full-Year 2026 Revenue Guidance: Not explicitly provided in the release.
  • Analyst Consensus Estimate for 2026 Revenue: ~$12.98 billion

The company's EPS guidance range brackets the current analyst consensus, indicating alignment with market expectations. The revenue outlook will be a point of focus as more details emerge, given the discrepancy between the provided EBITDA guidance and the street's revenue estimate.

Key Highlights from the Report

Beyond the headline numbers, the earnings release underscored several pillars of Hilton’s growth strategy:

  • Record Development Pipeline: The company approved 37,400 new rooms for development in Q4, ending the year with a record pipeline of 520,500 rooms across 129 countries.
  • Strong Unit Growth: Hilton added 26,000 rooms to its system in the fourth quarter, achieving net unit growth of 6.7% for the full year.
  • Brand and Partnership Expansion: The launch of the new "Apartment Collection by Hilton" brand was announced in January 2026, and the Hilton Honors Experiences program expanded with a new luxury ocean travel partner.
  • Substantial Capital Return: The company returned $3.3 billion to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, and its board authorized an additional $3.5 billion for buybacks in January 2026.

President and CEO Christopher Nassetta pointed to "improving demand patterns" and "limited supply growth" as tailwinds for stronger RevPAR performance in 2026, expressing confidence in the company's ability to sustain high net unit growth.

For a detailed breakdown of Hilton’s quarterly earnings and future analyst estimates, you can review the data here.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, nor does it recommend any investment action. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.