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Millrose Properties (NYSE:MRP) Shows Strong Technical Breakout Potential with High Setup Quality Rating

By Mill Chart

Last update: Aug 16, 2025

Technical breakout strategies focus on identifying stocks that show strong technical conditions and are forming patterns that may lead to an upward move. The method uses two main indicators: the ChartMill Technical Rating, which measures the stock’s trend and performance, and the ChartMill Setup Quality Rating, which checks if the stock is shaping a high-chance breakout pattern. Stocks with high scores in both areas often offer good trading opportunities.

Millrose Properties (NYSE:MRP) has appeared in this type of scan, showing traits that fit the strategy. The stock’s technical setup looks promising, with a mix of trend strength, consolidation, and clear support and resistance levels.

MRP Stock Chart

Technical Strength: A Strong Base

The ChartMill Technical Rating for MRP is 7 out of 10, pointing to a solid trend. Key reasons for this score include:

  • Upward Trends Across Timeframes – Both short-term and long-term trends are positive, supporting a bullish outlook.
  • Moving Averages Acting as Support – The stock is above its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, all of which are rising, indicating steady demand.
  • Recent Gains – MRP has risen 10.94% in the last three months and 38.48% in the last six months, doing better than many similar stocks, though still behind the broader market.

However, the stock’s performance compared to the overall market is weak, with 100% of other stocks doing better over the past year. This means MRP’s momentum is strong internally but may not yet be widely recognized.

Setup Quality: A Tight Pattern with Breakout Signs

The Setup Quality Rating for MRP is a perfect 10, showing an ideal consolidation. Key features of this setup are:

  • Low Volatility & Narrow Range – Over the past month, MRP has moved between $29.73 and $32.60, with recent prices near the top of this range. This tightening often comes before a breakout.
  • Clear Support Areas – Multiple support levels exist below the current price, including:
    • $31.11–$31.50 (short-term support from moving averages and trendlines)
    • $29.58–$29.81 (mid-term support)
    • $27.20–$27.57 (long-term support)
  • Institutional Activity – Larger investors have increased buying, shown by the Effective Volume metric, and a recent Pocket Pivot signal—a bullish volume and price pattern—adds to the case for accumulation.

The stock is close to resistance at $32.41, and a move above this level could lead to further gains.

Trade Setup Details

The technical analysis suggests a possible trade:

  • Entry: A buy-stop order at $32.42, just above resistance.
  • Stop-loss: $31.10, below the nearest support area.
  • Risk/Reward: The trade risks 4.07% of capital for a potential breakout.

While the setup looks promising, traders should:

  • Watch overall market conditions (the S&P 500 is in a positive trend, which helps bullish breakouts).
  • Be mindful of earnings reports or sector news that could affect the pattern.

Find More Breakout Candidates

For traders looking for other high-quality breakout setups, the Technical Breakout Setups Screen offers a filtered list of stocks meeting similar criteria.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.

MILLROSE PROPERTIES

NYSE:MRP (8/15/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 31.66 -0.08 (-0.25%)

31.74

-0.35 (-1.09%)



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