APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:AAOI • US03823U1025

95.58 USD
-5.56 (-5.5%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
99 USD
+3.42 (+3.58%)
Pre-Market: 3/9/2026, 5:37:19 AM

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$38.08
-60.16% Downside

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release DateMay 6, 2026
PeriodQ1 / 2026
EPS Estimate-$0.05
Revenue Estimate160.12M

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
76.92%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$38.08
Upside
-60.16%
From current price of $95.58 to mean target of $38.08, Based on 13 analyst forecasts
Low
$15.15
Median
$42.84
High
$52.50

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
15.46%

Price Target Summary

13 analysts have analysed AAOI and the average price target is 38.08 USD. This implies a price decrease of -60.16% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 95.58.
The average price target has been revised upward by 15.46% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

AAOI Current Analyst RatingAAOI Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6

Analyst Ratings History

AAOI Historical Analyst RatingsAAOI Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
76.92%
AAOI was analyzed by 13 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 77. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about AAOI.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
AAOI was analyzed by 13 analysts, which is quite many. So the average rating should be quite meaningful.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-27NeedhamMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-27RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-27B. Riley SecuritiesUpgrade Sell -> Neutral
2026-02-19RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-12-19RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-12-11NeedhamMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-12-11RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-11-17Northland Capital MarketsMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-11-10B. Riley SecuritiesDowngrade Neutral -> Sell
2025-08-08B. Riley SecuritiesMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-08-08Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-07-25NeedhamInitiate Buy
2025-07-08Wolfe ResearchInitiate Peer Perform
2025-06-26RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-05-09Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-04-22RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-04-14Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-03-14RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-02-27RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-02-24RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-12-20Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2024-12-18Northland Capital MarketsReiterate Outperform -> Outperform
2024-12-13RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-12-10B. Riley SecuritiesDowngrade Neutral -> Sell
2024-11-08RosenblattMaintains Buy -> Buy

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release DateMay 6, 2026
PeriodQ1 / 2026
EPS Estimate-$0.05
Revenue Estimate160.12M
Revenue Q2Q60.35%
EPS Q2Q-165.20%
Number of Analysts7

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.00%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.00%
EPS (1 Month)
0.00%
EPS (3 Months)
0.00%

Next Earnings Summary

AAOI is expected to report earnings on 5/6/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is -0.05 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 160.12M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Revenue
YoY % growth
AAOI revenue by date.AAOI revenue by date.
222.8M
5.29%
217.646M
-2.31%
249.365M
14.57%
463.48M
85.86%
1.004B
116.62%
2.278B
126.89%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
AAOI ebitda by date.AAOI ebitda by date.
-35.8M
-13.90%
-20.922M
41.56%
-50.259M
-140.22%
16.881M
133.59%
130.64M
673.89%
361.87M
177.00%
EBIT
YoY % growth
AAOI ebit by date.AAOI ebit by date.
-59M
-3.87%
-41.349M
29.92%
-70.908M
-71.49%
-34.883M
50.81%
63.206M
281.19%
152.59M
141.42%
Operating Margin
AAOI operating margin by date.AAOI operating margin by date.
-26.48%-19.00%-28.44%-7.53%6.30%6.70%
EPS
YoY % growth
AAOI eps by date.AAOI eps by date.
-1.02
-34.21%
-0.47
53.92%
-0.82
-74.47%
-0.38
65.85%
0.94
437.33%
4.29
353.94%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth
-0.05
-165.20%
0.09
154.83%
0.19
306.72%
0.30
3,092.68%
0.84
1,676.92%
0.90
923.26%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth
160.12M
60.35%
200.62M
94.87%
205.59M
73.30%
229.36M
70.81%
483.58M
202.01%
493.17M
145.82%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth
41.459M
1,390.75%
21.676M
662.87%
9.384M
619.63%
14.739M
-30.02%
N/AN/A
EBIT
Q2Q % growth
-4.632M
48.18%
7.664M
147.97%
15.747M
186.58%
35.156M
515.60%
62.832M
1,456.60%
68.544M
794.36%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

AAOI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAOI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AAOI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAOI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 2 3 4

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
N/A
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
N/A
Revenue Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
109.26%
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC / AAOI Forecast FAQ

What do analysts expect the price target to be for APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI)?

13 analysts have analysed AAOI and the average price target is 38.08 USD. This implies a price decrease of -60.16% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 95.58.


What is the next earnings date for AAOI stock?

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI) will report earnings on 2026-05-06.


Can you provide the consensus estimates for APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI) is -0.05 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 160.12M USD.


What is the consensus rating for AAOI stock?

The consensus rating for APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI) is 76.9231 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.