YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:YUMC • US98850P1093

Current stock price

49.44 USD
-0.32 (-0.64%)
At close:
49.44 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$63.58
+ 28.60% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 5, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.88
Revenue Estimate
3.302B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
84.00%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$63.58
Upside
+ 28.60%
From current price of $49.44 to mean target of $63.58, Based on 30 analyst forecasts
Low
$53.63
Median
$62.22
High
$90.72

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-0.08%
3 Months
7.70%

Price Target Summary

30 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for YUMC. The average price target is 63.58 USD. This implies a price increase of 28.6% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 49.44.
The average price target has been revised upward by 7.7% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

YUMC Current Analyst RatingYUMC Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings History

YUMC Historical Analyst RatingsYUMC Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 10 20 30

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
84.00%
YUMC was analyzed by 30 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 84. So analysts seem to be very confident about YUMC.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
YUMC was analyzed by 30 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-01-16BWG GlobalUpgrade Mixed -> Positive
2024-11-05JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2024-08-06MacquarieUpgrade Underperform -> Outperform
2024-03-06HSBCMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-01-04JP MorganDowngrade Overweight -> Neutral
2023-12-19Deutsche BankInitiate Buy
2023-09-19HSBCMaintains Buy -> Buy
2023-04-12OTR GlobalUpgrade Mixed -> Positive
2023-02-01JefferiesDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2022-01-24OTR GlobalDowngrade Positive -> Mixed
2021-09-15MacquarieDowngrade Neutral -> Underperform
2021-04-06Atlantic EquitiesInitiate Overweight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 5, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.88
Revenue Estimate
3.302B
Revenue Q2Q
9.37%
EPS Q2Q
11.02%
Number of Analysts
8

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.03%
Revenue (3 Months)
2.80%
EPS (1 Month)
-1.49%
EPS (3 Months)
-1.02%

Next Earnings Summary

YUMC is expected to report earnings on 5/5/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.88 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 3.30B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 2.8% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2033

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Revenue
YoY % growth
YUMC revenue by date.YUMC revenue by date.
10.978B
14.72%		11.303B
2.96%		11.797B
4.37%		12.909B
9.43%		13.669B
5.89%		14.177B
3.72%		16.228B
14.47%		17.039B
5.00%		19.075B
11.95%		20.437B
7.14%		N/A
EBITDA
YoY % growth
YUMC ebitda by date.YUMC ebitda by date.
1.588B
17.02%		1.677B
5.60%		1.775B
5.84%		2.021B
13.86%		2.164B
7.08%		2.322B
7.30%		2.592B
11.63%		2.784B
7.41%		3.405B
22.31%		3.714B
9.07%		N/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
YUMC ebit by date.YUMC ebit by date.
1.135B
50.33%		1.201B
5.81%		1.327B
10.49%		1.456B
9.72%		1.59B
9.20%		1.733B
8.99%		2.199B
26.89%		2.382B
8.32%		2.611B
9.61%		2.924B
11.99%		3.275B
12.00%
Operating Margin
YUMC operating margin by date.YUMC operating margin by date.
10.34%10.63%11.25%11.28%11.63%12.22%13.55%13.98%13.69%14.31%N/A
EPS
YoY % growth
YUMC eps by date.YUMC eps by date.
2.00
90.48%		2.33
16.50%		2.52
8.15%		2.97
17.83%		3.34
12.57%		3.70
10.84%		4.91
32.43%		5.63
14.76%		6.92
22.83%		8.04
16.22%		N/A

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.88
11.02%		0.70
22.82%		0.91
19.87%		0.45
13.35%		0.98
11.18%		0.77
10.01%		0.99
8.43%		0.49
7.65%		1.04
7.11%		0.81
5.83%		1.04
5.73%		0.55
13.69%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		3.302B
9.37%		3.07B
10.15%		3.507B
9.39%		3.063B
8.50%		3.358B
1.70%		3.121B
1.66%		3.601B
2.68%		3.149B
2.81%		3.509B
4.50%		3.264B
4.58%		3.767B
4.61%		3.295B
4.64%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		560.05M
8.96%		459.74M
-14.07%		568.25M
-22.90%		330.88M
-49.10%		622.97M
11.23%		503.7M
9.56%		623.08M
9.65%		372.55M
12.59%		678.51M
8.92%		555.17M
10.22%		682.29M
9.50%		420.96M
12.99%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		444.97M
9.87%		341.6M
8.10%		446.14M
10.43%		217.39M
7.62%		479.53M
7.77%		360.27M
5.47%		479.64M
7.51%		229.11M
5.39%		514.75M
7.34%		391.4M
8.64%		518.53M
8.11%		257.2M
12.26%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

YUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
YUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYUMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
13.71%
EPS Next 5 Year
17.44%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
5.93%
Revenue Next 5 Year
7.39%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
21.33%
EBIT Next 5 Year
16.45%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC / YUMC Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for YUMC stock?

30 analysts have analysed YUMC and the average price target is 63.58 USD. This implies a price increase of 28.6% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 49.44.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC?

YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) will report earnings on 2026-05-05, after the market close.

Can you provide the consensus estimates for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 0.88 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 3.30B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for YUMC stock?

The expected long term growth rate for YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC) is 5.93%.