FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:YMM • US35969L1089

9.27 USD
+0.18 (+1.98%)
At close: Mar 10, 2026
9.45 USD
+0.18 (+1.94%)
After Hours: 3/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$13.94
+ 50.35% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release DateMar 12, 2026
PeriodQ4 / 2025
EPS EstimateCN¥0.97
Revenue Estimate3.155B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
81.05%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$13.94
Upside
+ 50.35%
From current price of $9.27 to mean target of $13.94, Based on 19 analyst forecasts
Low
$10.33
Median
$13.87
High
$18.59

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
-5.86%

Price Target Summary

19 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for YMM. The average price target is 13.94 USD. This implies a price increase of 50.35% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 9.27.
The average price target has been revised downward by 5.86% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

YMM Current Analyst RatingYMM Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8

Analyst Ratings History

YMM Historical Analyst RatingsYMM Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
81.05%
YMM was analyzed by 19 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 81. So analysts seem to be very confident about YMM.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
YMM was analyzed by 19 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-01-12JP MorganDowngrade Neutral -> Underweight
2025-11-19BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-05-22CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-04-14JP MorganDowngrade Overweight -> Neutral
2025-03-10BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-03-06JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2024-12-11JP MorganDowngrade Overweight -> Neutral
2024-12-10CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-11-21CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-08-23BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-05-24BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-03-11BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2023-12-06JP MorganInitiate Overweight
2023-07-05Morgan StanleyInitiate Overweight
2023-02-09BarclaysInitiate Equal-Weight
2022-12-01JefferiesInitiate Buy
2022-06-29Credit SuisseInitiate Outperform
2022-06-09CitigroupMaintains Buy
2021-08-26CitigroupInitiate Buy
2021-08-03Goldman SachsInitiate Buy
2021-08-02China RenaissanceInitiate Buy

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release DateMar 12, 2026
PeriodQ4 / 2025
EPS EstimateCN¥0.97
Revenue Estimate3.155B
Revenue Q2Q0.91%
EPS Q2Q-3.84%
Number of Analysts7

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
-0.06%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.45%
EPS (1 Month)
0.00%
EPS (3 Months)
-1.00%

Next Earnings Summary

YMM is expected to report earnings on 3/12/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.97 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 3.15B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 0.45% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
YMM revenue by date.YMM revenue by date.
6.734B
44.59%
8.436B
25.28%
11.239B
33.22%
12.52B
11.40%
12.5B
-0.16%
14.218B
13.74%
18.535B
30.36%
24.646B
32.97%
27.455B
11.40%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
YMM ebitda by date.YMM ebitda by date.
-73.7M
98.02%
1.072B
1,554.55%
2.553B
138.15%
4.398B
72.27%
5.001B
13.71%
6.347B
26.91%
N/AN/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
YMM ebit by date.YMM ebit by date.
-162M
95.73%
997M
715.43%
2.475B
148.24%
4.268B
72.44%
4.866B
14.01%
6.133B
26.04%
9.897B
61.37%
11.483B
16.03%
13.042B
13.58%
Operating Margin
YMM operating margin by date.YMM operating margin by date.
-2.41%11.82%22.02%34.09%38.93%43.14%53.40%46.59%47.50%
EPS
YoY % growth
YMM eps by date.YMM eps by date.
1.17
9,144.91%
2.63
124.69%
3.88
47.73%
4.58
17.91%
4.86
6.11%
5.92
21.77%
7.96
34.55%
N/AN/A

All data in CNY

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q4 / 25 Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26
EPS
Q2Q % growth
0.97
-3.84%
1.01
-22.68%
1.14
-12.73%
1.26
35.21%
1.15
18.96%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth
3.155B
0.91%
2.953B
9.15%
3.304B
1.04%
3.567B
6.22%
N/A
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth
938.36MN/AN/AN/AN/A
EBIT
Q2Q % growth
916.15M
9.59%
N/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in CNY

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

YMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYMM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
YMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYMM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
15.07%
EPS Next 5 Year
19.66%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
8.37%
Revenue Next 5 Year
17.14%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
32.31%
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR / YMM Forecast FAQ

Can you provide the average price target for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR stock?

19 analysts have analysed YMM and the average price target is 13.94 USD. This implies a price increase of 50.35% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 9.27.


Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR?

FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) will report earnings on 2026-03-12, before the market open.


What are the consensus estimates for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 0.97 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 3.15B USD.


Can you provide the consensus rating for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR stock?

The consensus rating for FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE -SPN ADR (YMM) is 81.0526 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.