ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:UGP • US90400P1012

Current stock price

5.93 USD
-0.1 (-1.66%)
At close:
5.98 USD
+0.05 (+0.84%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$5.94
+ 0.22% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
R$0.53
Revenue Estimate
38.031B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
78.10%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$5.94
Upside
+ 0.22%
From current price of $5.93 to mean target of $5.94, Based on 21 analyst forecasts
Low
$5.03
Median
$6.04
High
$6.69

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
18.00%
3 Months
25.68%

Price Target Summary

21 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for UGP. The average price target is 5.94 USD. This implies a price increase of 0.22% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 5.93.
The average price target has been revised upward by 25.68% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

UGP Current Analyst RatingUGP Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings History

UGP Historical Analyst RatingsUGP Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
78.10%
UGP was analyzed by 21 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 78. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about UGP.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
UGP was analyzed by 21 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-04-08HSBCDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2026-03-13JefferiesUpgrade Underperform -> Hold
2025-09-26Goldman SachsMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-07-28ScotiaBankUpgrade Sector Perform -> Sector Outperform
2025-01-16Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-01-07JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2024-07-23Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-06-14CitigroupUpgrade Neutral -> Buy
2024-03-20Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2023-12-13Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2023-11-13Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2023-09-21JefferiesInitiate Underperform
2023-09-13Goldman SachsDowngrade Buy -> Neutral
2023-06-23HSBCDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2023-05-30Goldman SachsMaintains Buy -> Buy
2023-05-10Goldman SachsMaintains Buy
2022-08-24Goldman SachsMaintains Buy
2022-07-13Goldman SachsMaintains Buy
2021-12-14SantanderDowngrade Buy -> Hold

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
R$0.53
Revenue Estimate
38.031B
Revenue Q2Q
14.11%
EPS Q2Q
79.63%
Number of Analysts
7

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
10.97%
Revenue (3 Months)
15.90%
EPS (1 Month)
15.26%
EPS (3 Months)
19.92%

Next Earnings Summary

UGP is expected to report earnings on 5/6/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.53 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 38.03B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 15.9% in the past 3 months. Upward revisions are a positive sign and indicate that analysts are more optimistic about the next earnings compared to 3 months ago.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
UGP revenue by date.UGP revenue by date.
126.049B
-12.24%		133.499B
5.91%		142.37B
6.64%		156.509B
9.93%		161.601B
3.25%		161.007B
-0.37%		159.96B
-0.65%		166.849B
4.31%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
UGP ebitda by date.UGP ebitda by date.
5.599B
33.68%		6.114B
9.20%		6.532B
6.84%		7.614B
16.56%		8.101B
6.40%		8.606B
6.23%		8.735B
1.50%		9.159B
4.85%
EBIT
YoY % growth
UGP ebit by date.UGP ebit by date.
4.444B
40.30%		4.901B
10.29%		4.946B
0.92%		5.225B
5.64%		5.64B
7.94%		6.106B
8.26%		N/AN/A
Operating Margin
UGP operating margin by date.UGP operating margin by date.
3.53%3.67%3.47%3.34%3.49%3.79%N/AN/A
EPS
YoY % growth
UGP eps by date.UGP eps by date.
2.18
35.25%		2.05
-5.97%		2.19
6.92%		2.14
-2.41%		2.66
24.24%		3.19
19.72%		N/AN/A

All data in BRL

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.53
79.63%		0.59
-39.10%		0.64
1.34%		0.61
102.21%		0.62
17.70%		0.69
18.10%		0.75
16.67%		0.71
16.02%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		38.031B
14.11%		43.959B
29.08%		44.984B
21.47%		42.194B
11.18%		39.63B
4.20%		40.807B
-7.17%		43.186B
-4.00%		41.795B
-0.95%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		1.77B
42.83%		1.888B
-2.48%		2.016B
-12.79%		1.828B
-33.75%		1.867B
5.48%		2.034B
7.73%		2.167B
7.49%		1.89B
3.39%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		1.269B
35.69%		1.436B
1.85%		1.48B
3.63%		1.247B
6.31%		1.365B
7.57%		1.507B
4.94%		1.545B
4.39%		1.205B
-3.37%

All data in BRL

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

UGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50B 100B 150B
UGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
13.22%
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
3.84%
Revenue Next 5 Year
3.02%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
21.93%
EBIT Next 5 Year
14.04%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR / UGP Forecast FAQ

What do analysts expect the price target to be for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP)?

21 analysts have analysed UGP and the average price target is 5.94 USD. This implies a price increase of 0.22% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 5.93.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR?

ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) will report earnings on 2026-05-06.

What are the consensus estimates for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 0.53 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 38.03B USD.

Can you provide the consensus rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR stock?

The consensus rating for ULTRAPAR PARTICPAC-SPON ADR (UGP) is 78.0952 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.