MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:MPN • US56585A1025

Current stock price

194.95 EUR
+4.6 (+2.42%)
Last:

This MPN.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. MPN.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MPN was profitable.
  • In the past year MPN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MPN has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MPN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • MPN has a Return On Assets (4.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 23.35%, MPN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MPN's Return On Invested Capital of 10.66% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MPN outperforms 78.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MPN is above the industry average of 9.56%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROIC 10.66%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
MPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • MPN has a worse Profit Margin (2.99%) than 74.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MPN has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.01%, MPN is doing worse than 74.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MPN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 11.55%, MPN is doing worse than 82.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MPN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
MPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MPN.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MPN is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MPN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MPN has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for MPN is higher compared to a year ago.
MPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingMPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.27 indicates that MPN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MPN has a Altman-Z score of 3.27. This is in the better half of the industry: MPN outperforms 74.67% of its industry peers.
  • MPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.90. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MPN would need 6.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • MPN has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.76 is on the high side and indicates that MPN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.76, MPN is not doing good in the industry: 89.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Altman-Z 3.27
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC7.04%
MPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MPN has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that MPN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MPN has a Current ratio (1.26) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that MPN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MPN (0.74) is worse than 77.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
MPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MPN.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MPN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.91% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, MPN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.80% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.39% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MPN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.52% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MPN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y53.22%
EPS Next 2Y19.84%
EPS Next 3Y14.33%
EPS Next 5Y17.52%
Revenue Next Year5.51%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50B 100B 150B
MPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. MPN.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.14, MPN is valued on the expensive side.
  • MPN's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • MPN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.80, the valuation of MPN can be described as correct.
  • MPN's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.99. MPN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 13.8
MPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MPN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MPN is cheaper than 65.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.11
EV/EBITDA 8.48
MPN.DE Per share dataMPN.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MPN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MPN's earnings are expected to grow with 14.33% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.84%
EPS Next 3Y14.33%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MPN.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MPN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.81%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • MPN's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 4.64.
  • MPN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.81%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MPN grows each year by 9.94%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
MPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareMPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MPN pays out 28.20% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MPN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP28.2%
EPS Next 2Y19.84%
EPS Next 3Y14.33%
MPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B
MPN.DE Dividend Payout.MPN.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPN.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MPN.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

FRA:MPN (4/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

194.95

+4.6 (+2.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners77.09%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap57.41B
Revenue(TTM)135.05B
Net Income(TTM)4.04B
Analysts72.8
Price Target200.15 (2.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.81%
Yearly Dividend3.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
DP28.2%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)17.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)40.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)55.08%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)575.13%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)392%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)299.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.55%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.22%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.55%
PT rev (1m)19.58%
PT rev (3m)14.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-51.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)27.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.72%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 13.8
P/S 0.5
P/FCF 14.11
P/OCF 8.15
P/B 3.88
P/tB 12.82
EV/EBITDA 8.48
EPS(TTM)9.22
EY4.73%
EPS(NY)14.13
Fwd EY7.25%
FCF(TTM)13.82
FCFY7.09%
OCF(TTM)23.93
OCFY12.27%
SpS391.54
BVpS50.2
TBVpS15.21
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.046 (-47.66%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROCE 12.63%
ROIC 10.66%
ROICexc 11.31%
ROICexgc 14.12%
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
FCFM 3.53%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
ROICexc(3y)14.48%
ROICexc(5y)15.91%
ROICexgc(3y)17.29%
ROICexgc(5y)18.8%
ROCE(3y)15.34%
ROCE(5y)16.33%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.48%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Debt/EBITDA 2.68
Cap/Depr 107.23%
Cap/Sales 2.58%
Interest Coverage 6.66
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 117.91%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 3.27
F-Score7
WACC7.04%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)80.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)71.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.64%
Profit Quality(3y)140.82%
Profit Quality(5y)109.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y53.22%
EPS Next 2Y19.84%
EPS Next 3Y14.33%
EPS Next 5Y17.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%
Revenue Next Year5.51%
Revenue Next 2Y0.59%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.32%
EBIT growth 1Y19.95%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.46%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year91.26%
EBIT Next 3Y21.08%
EBIT Next 5Y8.53%
FCF growth 1Y-22.26%
FCF growth 3Y-30.07%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.75%
OCF growth 3Y-20.4%
OCF growth 5Y27.82%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / MPN.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MPN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MPN.DE.


What is the valuation status of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

The financial health rating of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 28.2%.