MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe • Frankfurt Stock Exchange • FRA:MPN • US56585A1025

171.68 EUR
+13.62 (+8.62%)
Last: Feb 6, 2026, 07:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership
Fundamental Rating

4

MPN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 74 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of MPN while its profitability can be described as average. MPN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MPN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years MPN 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years MPN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 3.46%, MPN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MPN's Return On Equity of 16.84% is amongst the best of the industry. MPN outperforms 84.93% of its industry peers.
  • MPN has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.59%) than 79.45% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MPN is significantly above the industry average of 8.91%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for MPN is well above the current ROIC(8.59%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.46%
ROE 16.84%
ROIC 8.59%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • MPN's Profit Margin of 2.13% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MPN is outperformed by 69.86% of its industry peers.
  • MPN's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • MPN has a worse Operating Margin (4.97%) than 75.34% of its industry peers.
  • MPN's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 10.43%, MPN is doing worse than 83.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MPN has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
MPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MPN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • MPN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingMPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • MPN has an Altman-Z score of 3.18. This indicates that MPN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.18, MPN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.68. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MPN would need 7.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MPN (7.68) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MPN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.83. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • MPN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.83) than 86.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 7.68
Altman-Z 3.18
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC7.88%
MPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MPN has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that MPN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MPN (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.79 indicates that MPN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.79, MPN is not doing good in the industry: 72.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.79
MPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • MPN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.63%, which is quite good.
  • MPN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MPN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.69% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.34%
Revenue Next Year-4.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
MPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MPN.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MPN.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.93. MPN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.51, which indicates a correct valuation of MPN.
  • MPN's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • MPN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.74
Fwd PE 15.51
MPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 61.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MPN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.23
EV/EBITDA 9.13
MPN.DE Per share dataMPN.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MPN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MPN's earnings are expected to grow with 18.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.9
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • MPN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.04%.
  • MPN's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 5.14.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, MPN has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.04%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MPN grows each year by 9.91%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareMPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MPN pays out 39.32% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MPN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP39.32%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
MPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B
MPN.DE Dividend Payout.MPN.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPN.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

FRA:MPN (2/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

171.68

+13.62 (+8.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners75.49%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap51.61B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)2.88B
Analysts73.33
Price Target167.38 (-2.5%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.04%
Yearly Dividend2.86
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
DP39.32%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)6.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)19.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1108.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)4366.18%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)580%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)390.01%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)305.33%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.51%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.62%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.14%
PT rev (1m)-4.85%
PT rev (3m)20.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.74
Fwd PE 15.51
P/S 0.45
P/FCF 14.23
P/OCF 8.24
P/B 3.56
P/tB 12.13
EV/EBITDA 9.13
EPS(TTM)9.16
EY5.34%
EPS(NY)11.07
Fwd EY6.45%
FCF(TTM)12.06
FCFY7.03%
OCF(TTM)20.85
OCFY12.14%
SpS381.5
BVpS48.22
TBVpS14.15
PEG (NY)0.9
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number99.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.46%
ROE 16.84%
ROCE 10.42%
ROIC 8.59%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 11.14%
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
FCFM 3.16%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.11%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.54%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.86%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.97%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 7.68
Debt/EBITDA 3.13
Cap/Depr 95.88%
Cap/Sales 2.3%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 74.12%
Profit Quality 148.52%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.79
Altman-Z 3.18
F-Score5
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)69.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.93%
Profit Quality(3y)133.55%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%
Revenue Next Year-4.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3Y16.01%
EBIT growth 5Y4.69%
EBIT Next Year88.95%
EBIT Next 3Y25.29%
EBIT Next 5Y14.23%
FCF growth 1Y-72.04%
FCF growth 3Y28.41%
FCF growth 5Y8.56%
OCF growth 1Y-57.46%
OCF growth 3Y25.73%
OCF growth 5Y-1.7%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / MPN.DE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MPN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MPN.DE.


What is the valuation status of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 18.74 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.56.


Is the dividend of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 39.32%.