MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:MPN • US56585A1025

Current stock price

194.58 EUR
-11.32 (-5.5%)
Last:

This MPN.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. MPN.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MPN was profitable.
  • In the past year MPN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MPN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • MPN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • MPN has a Return On Assets (4.82%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MPN's Return On Equity of 23.35% is amongst the best of the industry. MPN outperforms 88.46% of its industry peers.
  • MPN has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.66%) than 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • MPN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.95%. This is above the industry average of 9.57%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROIC 10.66%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
MPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPN.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • MPN's Profit Margin of 2.99% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MPN is outperformed by 73.08% of its industry peers.
  • MPN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MPN (6.01%) is worse than 74.36% of its industry peers.
  • MPN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 11.55%, MPN is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • MPN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
MPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPN.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MPN.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MPN is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MPN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MPN has less shares outstanding
  • MPN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingMPN.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPN.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • MPN has an Altman-Z score of 3.26. This indicates that MPN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.26, MPN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MPN is 6.90, which is on the high side as it means it would take MPN, 6.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.90, MPN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.76 is on the high side and indicates that MPN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • MPN's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.76 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MPN is outperformed by 85.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Altman-Z 3.26
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC7.05%
MPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPN.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that MPN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MPN's Current ratio of 1.26 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MPN outperforms 44.87% of its industry peers.
  • MPN has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a bad value and indicates that MPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MPN (0.74) is worse than 80.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
MPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPN.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MPN.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MPN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.91% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, MPN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.80% in the last year.
  • MPN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.08% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • MPN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.47%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue Next Year-0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.9%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
MPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPN.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

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4

4. MPN.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MPN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.79.
  • MPN's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MPN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.23), we can say MPN is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.26, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MPN.
  • MPN's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • MPN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.79
Fwd PE 17.26
MPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPN.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MPN is valued a bit cheaper than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.88
EV/EBITDA 8.39
MPN.DE Per share dataMPN.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MPN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • MPN's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MPN.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MPN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.70%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.88, MPN is paying slightly less dividend.
  • MPN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.7%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MPN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.94%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareMPN.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MPN pays out 28.20% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • MPN's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP28.2%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
MPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPN.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B
MPN.DE Dividend Payout.MPN.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPN.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MPN.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

FRA:MPN (3/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

194.58

-11.32 (-5.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners76.98%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap57.35B
Revenue(TTM)135.05B
Net Income(TTM)4.04B
Analysts72.8
Price Target167.38 (-13.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.7%
Yearly Dividend3.23
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
DP28.2%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)17.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)40.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)55.08%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)575.13%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)392%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)299.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.55%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.22%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.55%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)51.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.79
Fwd PE 17.26
P/S 0.49
P/FCF 13.88
P/OCF 8.02
P/B 3.82
P/tB 12.61
EV/EBITDA 8.39
EPS(TTM)9.36
EY4.81%
EPS(NY)11.28
Fwd EY5.79%
FCF(TTM)14.02
FCFY7.2%
OCF(TTM)24.27
OCFY12.47%
SpS397.09
BVpS50.91
TBVpS15.42
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.54
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROCE 12.63%
ROIC 10.66%
ROICexc 11.31%
ROICexgc 14.12%
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
FCFM 3.53%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
ROICexc(3y)14.48%
ROICexc(5y)15.91%
ROICexgc(3y)17.29%
ROICexgc(5y)18.8%
ROCE(3y)15.34%
ROCE(5y)16.33%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.48%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Debt/EBITDA 2.68
Cap/Depr 107.23%
Cap/Sales 2.58%
Interest Coverage 6.66
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 117.91%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 3.26
F-Score7
WACC7.05%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)80.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)71.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.64%
Profit Quality(3y)140.82%
Profit Quality(5y)109.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y20.47%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%
Revenue Next Year-0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.9%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y19.95%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.46%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year71.17%
EBIT Next 3Y19.47%
EBIT Next 5Y12.5%
FCF growth 1Y-22.26%
FCF growth 3Y-30.07%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.75%
OCF growth 3Y-20.4%
OCF growth 5Y27.82%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / MPN.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MPN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MPN.DE.


What is the valuation status of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) stock?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 20.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.82.


Is the dividend of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPN.DE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 28.2%.