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GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GECC - Nasdaq - US3903207039 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

10.092  +0.13 (+1.33%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to GECC. GECC was compared to 231 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GECC have multiple concerns. GECC has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GECC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GECC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years GECC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years GECC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GECC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGECC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.04%, GECC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GECC has a Return On Equity of 2.61%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GECC underperforms 69.26% of its industry peers.
GECC's Return On Invested Capital of 3.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GECC outperforms 40.69% of its industry peers.
GECC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.63%. This is below the industry average of 7.08%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.04%
ROE 2.61%
ROIC 3.1%
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)-1.48%
ROE(3y)3.3%
ROE(5y)-8.81%
ROIC(3y)3.63%
ROIC(5y)3.66%
GECC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGECC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

GECC has a worse Profit Margin (9.04%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
GECC has a Operating Margin of 32.55%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GECC outperforms 57.58% of its industry peers.
GECC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GECC (43.89%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GECC has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.55%
PM (TTM) 9.04%
GM 43.89%
OM growth 3Y-12.64%
OM growth 5Y-4.62%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.36%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
GECC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGECC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

Compared to 1 year ago, GECC has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GECC has more shares outstanding
GECC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GECC Yearly Shares OutstandingGECC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
GECC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGECC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

GECC has an Altman-Z score of -0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that GECC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GECC's Altman-Z score of -0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GECC is outperformed by 78.79% of its industry peers.
GECC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.39. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GECC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.39. This is in the lower half of the industry: GECC underperforms 67.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.25
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
GECC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGECC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that GECC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GECC's Current ratio of 0.55 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GECC is outperformed by 73.16% of its industry peers.
GECC has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that GECC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GECC has a Quick ratio of 0.55. This is in the lower half of the industry: GECC underperforms 73.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
GECC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGECC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GECC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -21.95%.
GECC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -26.17% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 9.74% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, GECC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.95%
EPS 3Y-23.86%
EPS 5Y-26.17%
EPS Q2Q%-53.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.74%
Revenue growth 3Y15.91%
Revenue growth 5Y7.78%
Sales Q2Q%107.72%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.25% on average over the next years.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y15.55%
EPS Next 2Y6.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
GECC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGECC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
GECC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGECC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.88, the valuation of GECC can be described as very cheap.
GECC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GECC is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
GECC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.18.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.82 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GECC.
90.04% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GECC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GECC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.81, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.88
Fwd PE 6.82
GECC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGECC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
GECC Per share dataGECC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GECC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GECC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.86%, which is a nice return.
GECC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 8.40. GECC pays more dividend than 89.18% of the companies in the same industry.
GECC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.45.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.86%

5.2 History

The dividend of GECC decreases each year by -23.69%.
GECC has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GECC has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
GECC Yearly Dividends per shareGECC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

GECC pays out 424.29% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP424.29%
EPS Next 2Y6.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A
GECC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGECC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M
GECC Dividend Payout.GECC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GECC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP

NASDAQ:GECC (5/2/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

10.092

+0.13 (+1.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)03-10 2025-03-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners13.29%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap116.46M
Analysts76
Price Target11.22 (11.18%)
Short Float %0.47%
Short Ratio1.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.86%
Yearly Dividend1.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)-23.69%
DP424.29%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-17 2025-03-17 (0.37)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.37%
Max EPS beat(2)7.2%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.37%
Max EPS beat(4)7.2%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-7.53%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)7.69%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)15.72%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)36.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)67.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)16.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)67.44%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.95%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.55%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.35%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.88
Fwd PE 6.82
P/S 2.96
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.86
P/tB 0.86
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.28
EY12.68%
EPS(NY)1.48
Fwd EY14.66%
FCF(TTM)-7.16
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-7.16
OCFYN/A
SpS3.41
BVpS11.79
TBVpS11.79
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.04%
ROE 2.61%
ROCE 3.93%
ROIC 3.1%
ROICexc 3.1%
ROICexgc 3.11%
OM 32.55%
PM (TTM) 9.04%
GM 43.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)-1.48%
ROE(3y)3.3%
ROE(5y)-8.81%
ROIC(3y)3.63%
ROIC(5y)3.66%
ROICexc(3y)3.64%
ROICexc(5y)3.92%
ROICexgc(3y)3.66%
ROICexgc(5y)3.93%
ROCE(3y)4.6%
ROCE(5y)4.63%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.94%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-6.56%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.56%
OM growth 3Y-12.64%
OM growth 5Y-4.62%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.36%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.39
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.96
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z -0.25
F-Score2
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.95%
EPS 3Y-23.86%
EPS 5Y-26.17%
EPS Q2Q%-53.49%
EPS Next Y15.55%
EPS Next 2Y6.25%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.74%
Revenue growth 3Y15.91%
Revenue growth 5Y7.78%
Sales Q2Q%107.72%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-0.25%
EBIT growth 3Y1.26%
EBIT growth 5Y2.8%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-421.89%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-421.89%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A