ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:BABA • US01609W1027

Current stock price

122.69 USD
-2.72 (-2.17%)
At close:
122.9 USD
+0.21 (+0.17%)
Pre-Market:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$190.98
+ 55.66% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 13, 2026
Period
Q4 / 2026
EPS Estimate
CN¥9.18
Revenue Estimate
253.069B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
82.92%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$190.98
Upside
+ 55.66%
From current price of $122.69 to mean target of $190.98, Based on 48 analyst forecasts
Low
$121.20
Median
$193.80
High
$285.02

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-5.64%
3 Months
-6.58%

Price Target Summary

48 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for BABA. The average price target is 190.98 USD. This implies a price increase of 55.66% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 122.69.
The average price target has been revised downward by 6.58% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

BABA Current Analyst RatingBABA Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10 15 20 25

Analyst Ratings History

BABA Historical Analyst RatingsBABA Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 10 20 30 40 50

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
82.92%
BABA was analyzed by 48 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 83. So analysts seem to be very confident about BABA.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
BABA was analyzed by 48 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-26SusquehannaMaintains Positive -> Positive
2026-03-20MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-03-20BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-03-20JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-03-20BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-03-19JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-08JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-06Freedom Capital MarketsDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2025-11-26BernsteinMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-11-26BenchmarkReiterate Buy -> Buy
2025-11-26BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-26JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-26CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-10BernsteinMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-10-09JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-01JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-09-29JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-09-24BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-09-24B of A SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-09-18SusquehannaMaintains Positive -> Positive
2025-09-10JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-09-09BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-09-02MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-09-02BenchmarkMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-09-02BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 13, 2026
Period
Q4 / 2026
EPS Estimate
CN¥9.18
Revenue Estimate
253.069B
Revenue Q2Q
7.03%
EPS Q2Q
-26.65%
Number of Analysts
20

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
-0.16%
Revenue (3 Months)
-0.67%
EPS (1 Month)
-3.70%
EPS (3 Months)
-8.51%

Next Earnings Summary

BABA is expected to report earnings on 5/13/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 9.18 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 253.07B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0.67% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2033

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Revenue
YoY % growth
BABA revenue by date.BABA revenue by date.
868.687B
1.83%		941.168B
8.34%		996.347B
5.86%		1.055T
5.92%		1.172T
11.04%		1.289T
10.01%		1.398T
8.49%		1.554T
11.13%		1.697T
9.17%		1.887T
11.22%		2.109T
11.79%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
BABA ebitda by date.BABA ebitda by date.
151.136B
5.26%		180.459B
19.40%		189.408B
4.96%		140.958B
-25.58%		201.778B
43.15%		264.643B
31.16%		310.097B
17.18%		356B
14.80%		N/AN/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
BABA ebit by date.BABA ebit by date.
104.198B
9.08%		135.955B
30.48%		146.949B
8.09%		98.05B
-33.28%		145.669B
48.57%		195.475B
34.19%		216.357B
10.68%		263.879B
21.96%		303.16B
14.89%		356.072B
17.45%		428.93B
20.46%
Operating Margin
BABA operating margin by date.BABA operating margin by date.
11.99%14.45%14.75%9.29%12.43%15.16%15.47%16.98%17.87%18.87%20.33%
EPS
YoY % growth
BABA eps by date.BABA eps by date.
54.57
3.71%		62.11
13.82%		65.41
5.31%		42.10
-35.64%		62.91
49.43%		81.52
29.59%		65.92
-19.14%		69.13
4.87%		N/AN/AN/A

All data in CNY

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		9.18
-26.65%		13.30
-9.83%		12.99
198.00%		17.40
145.39%		14.08
53.33%		17.79
33.79%		17.91
37.87%		21.70
24.75%		18.90
34.22%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		253.069B
7.03%		280.453B
13.24%		280.678B
13.27%		322.261B
13.14%		281.458B
11.22%		317.705B
13.28%		316.6B
12.80%		367.288B
13.97%		330.164B
17.30%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		32.877B
-20.38%		44.591B
-14.18%		47.348B
137.55%		59.452B
56.40%		47.52B
44.54%		70.575B
58.27%		70.829B
49.59%		81.502B
37.09%		86.298B
81.60%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		19.092B
-33.13%		33.286B
-4.46%		34.45B
560.34%		47.853B
155.91%		35.542B
86.16%		N/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in CNY

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

BABA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBABA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500B 1T 1.5T 2T
BABA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBABA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20 40 60 80

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
7.62%
EPS Next 5 Year
1.11%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
8.15%
Revenue Next 5 Year
8.80%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
15.56%
EBIT Next 5 Year
15.73%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR / BABA Forecast FAQ

What do analysts expect the price target to be for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA)?

48 analysts have analysed BABA and the average price target is 190.98 USD. This implies a price increase of 55.66% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 122.69.

What is the next earnings date for BABA stock?

ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) will report earnings on 2026-05-13, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) is 9.18 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 253.07B USD.

Can you provide the analyst count for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR stock?

The number of analysts covering ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR (BABA) is 48.