ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:ALRM • US0116421050

Current stock price

42.49 USD
-0.72 (-1.67%)
At close:
42.49 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$62.83
+ 47.87% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.63
Revenue Estimate
255.45M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
76.92%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$62.83
Upside
+ 47.87%
From current price of $42.49 to mean target of $62.83, Based on 13 analyst forecasts
Low
$50.50
Median
$61.20
High
$89.25

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-10.20%
3 Months
-10.29%

Price Target Summary

13 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for ALRM. The average price target is 62.83 USD. This implies a price increase of 47.87% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 42.49.
The average price target has been revised downward by 10.29% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

ALRM Current Analyst RatingALRM Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 0 0 0 0 0

Analyst Ratings History

ALRM Historical Analyst RatingsALRM Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
76.92%
ALRM was analyzed by 13 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 77. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about ALRM.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
ALRM was analyzed by 13 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-20BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-18JP MorganMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-11-07BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-05-09Raymond JamesMaintains Strong Buy -> Strong Buy
2025-04-17Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-04-14BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-11-08BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-11-08Goldman SachsMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-11-05JefferiesInitiate Buy
2024-10-09Roth MKMMaintains Buy -> Buy
2024-10-07BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-09-06Goldman SachsInitiate Neutral
2024-07-11BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-02-23BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-02-23JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-01-12JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2024-01-04BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2024-01-03Roth MKMMaintains Buy -> Buy
2023-09-19Roth MKMMaintains Buy -> Buy
2023-08-11Northland Capital MarketsMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2023-08-10MKM PartnersMaintains Buy -> Buy
2023-08-10BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2023-08-10Raymond JamesMaintains Strong Buy -> Strong Buy
2023-07-14BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2023-05-11BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 6, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.63
Revenue Estimate
255.45M
Revenue Q2Q
6.96%
EPS Q2Q
16.83%
Number of Analysts
9

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.66%
Revenue (3 Months)
0.41%
EPS (1 Month)
0.84%
EPS (3 Months)
0.92%

Next Earnings Summary

ALRM is expected to report earnings on 5/6/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 0.63 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 255.45M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised upward by 0.41% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2028

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue
YoY % growth
ALRM revenue by date.ALRM revenue by date.
881.682M
4.64%		939.827M
6.59%		1.011B
7.59%		1.082B
7.00%		1.131B
4.53%		1.178B
4.16%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
ALRM ebitda by date.ALRM ebitda by date.
99.466M
19.41%		138.526M
39.27%		164.457M
18.72%		218.52M
32.87%		239.22M
9.47%		256M
7.01%
EBIT
YoY % growth
ALRM ebit by date.ALRM ebit by date.
66.829M
31.04%		108.548M
62.43%		133.638M
23.11%		171.09M
28.02%		191.49M
11.92%		256M
33.69%
Operating Margin
ALRM operating margin by date.ALRM operating margin by date.
7.58%11.55%13.22%15.81%16.93%21.73%
EPS
YoY % growth
ALRM eps by date.ALRM eps by date.
2.08
6.12%		2.28
9.62%		2.62
14.91%		2.84
8.57%		3.09
8.70%		3.18
2.93%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27
EPS
Q2Q % growth		0.63
16.83%		0.68
13.70%		0.76
0.33%		0.70
-2.65%		0.63
-0.89%		0.71
4.16%		0.79
3.98%		0.75
6.62%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		255.45M
6.96%		270.85M
6.50%		271.38M
5.84%		268.15M
2.48%		263.68M
3.22%		279.07M
3.03%		281.4M
3.69%		277.22M
3.38%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		48.174M
30.73%		52.569M
12.00%		59.464M
-0.75%		54.429M
-17.24%		52.116M
8.18%		56.851M
8.15%		62.605M
5.28%		58.055M
6.66%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		36.699M
23.79%		40.473M
26.39%		53.707M
45.07%		47.881M
37.01%		N/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

ALRM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALRM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ALRM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALRM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
6.70%
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
4.92%
Revenue Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
12.51%
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC / ALRM Forecast FAQ

What is the average price target for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) stock?

13 analysts have analysed ALRM and the average price target is 62.83 USD. This implies a price increase of 47.87% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 42.49.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC?

ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) will report earnings on 2026-05-06.

Can you provide the consensus estimates for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) is 0.63 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 255.45M USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM)?

The expected long term growth rate for ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC (ALRM) is 4.92%.