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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:AAL - US02376R1023 - Common Stock

15.075 USD
-0.28 (-1.79%)
Last: 1/14/2026, 3:25:09 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AAL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAL was compared to 22 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. AAL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AAL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AAL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years AAL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • AAL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

  • AAL has a better Return On Assets (0.97%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.48%, AAL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAL is below the industry average of 8.38%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.48%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 1.11%, AAL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AAL has a Operating Margin of 4.22%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAL outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • AAL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of AAL (65.01%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
  • AAL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
AAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AAL has more shares outstanding
  • AAL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AAL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AAL Yearly Shares OutstandingAAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
AAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • AAL has an Altman-Z score of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that AAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AAL has a Altman-Z score (0.71) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AAL has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AAL would need 32.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AAL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 32.56. This is in the better half of the industry: AAL outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Altman-Z 0.71
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC7.21%
AAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AAL has a Current Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that AAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AAL's Current ratio of 0.54 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAL outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.42 indicates that AAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.42, AAL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
AAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AAL have decreased strongly by -21.64% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for AAL have been decreasing by -17.21% on average. This is quite bad
  • AAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.27%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-156.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.67% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • AAL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-67.3%
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%
EPS Next 5Y14.67%
Revenue Next Year1.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
AAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.36, AAL is valued correctly.
  • AAL's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AAL is cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, AAL is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.15 indicates a reasonable valuation of AAL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AAL is cheaper than 95.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AAL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.36
Fwd PE 8.15
AAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AAL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AAL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.28
EV/EBITDA 5.43
AAL Per share dataAAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

NASDAQ:AAL (1/14/2026, 3:25:09 PM)

15.075

-0.28 (-1.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)10-23
Earnings (Next)01-22
Inst Owners70.53%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners1.37%
Ins Owner Change0.72%
Market Cap9.95B
Revenue(TTM)54.29B
Net Income(TTM)602.00M
Analysts72.67
Price Target15.92 (5.61%)
Short Float %7.98%
Short Ratio0.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)29.97%
Min EPS beat(2)20.33%
Max EPS beat(2)39.61%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)9.67%
Max EPS beat(4)39.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)44.85%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)34.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)28.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.52%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.53%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.53%
PT rev (1m)5.52%
PT rev (3m)15.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)-16.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)45.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.36
Fwd PE 8.15
P/S 0.18
P/FCF 11.28
P/OCF 2.64
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.43
EPS(TTM)1.05
EY6.97%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY12.26%
FCF(TTM)1.34
FCFY8.86%
OCF(TTM)5.71
OCFY37.9%
SpS82.25
BVpS-6
TBVpS-15.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.11%
ROIC 4.48%
ROICexc 5.6%
ROICexgc 7.04%
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
FCFM 1.62%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.55%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.25%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y2.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Debt/EBITDA 5.54
Cap/Depr 128.69%
Cap/Sales 5.32%
Interest Coverage 1.31
Cash Conversion 83.12%
Profit Quality 146.51%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 0.71
F-Score7
WACC7.21%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)120.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-156.67%
EPS Next Y-67.3%
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%
EPS Next 5Y14.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%
Revenue Next Year1.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.23%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.55%
EBIT Next Year30.87%
EBIT Next 3Y24.28%
EBIT Next 5Y23.05%
FCF growth 1Y-64.31%
FCF growth 3Y64.51%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.52%
OCF growth 3Y78.19%
OCF growth 5Y0.87%

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC / AAL FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AAL.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AAL stock?

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAL stock?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.