AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:AAL • US02376R1023

Current stock price

10.74 USD
+0.56 (+5.5%)
At close:
10.87 USD
+0.13 (+1.21%)
Pre-Market:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$16.17
+ 50.58% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 23, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
-$0.42
Revenue Estimate
13.825B
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
74.67%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$16.17
Upside
+ 50.58%
From current price of $10.74 to mean target of $16.17, Based on 30 analyst forecasts
Low
$11.11
Median
$16.32
High
$21.00

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-9.63%
3 Months
1.55%

Price Target Summary

30 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for AAL. The average price target is 16.17 USD. This implies a price increase of 50.58% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 10.74.
The average price target has been revised upward by 1.55% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

AAL Current Analyst RatingAAL Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10

Analyst Ratings History

AAL Historical Analyst RatingsAAL Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20 25

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
74.67%
AAL was analyzed by 30 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 75. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about AAL.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
AAL was analyzed by 30 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-03-23UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-03-20CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-03-16UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-03-16Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-03-12Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2026-03-12JefferiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2026-03-09TD CowenMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-03-05Rothschild & CoDowngrade Buy -> Neutral
2026-01-30TD CowenMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-28JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-12BarclaysMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-01-09SusquehannaUpgrade Neutral -> Positive
2026-01-07TD CowenMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-07CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-06UBSMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-06B of A SecuritiesMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-12-18Wells FargoInitiate Equal-Weight
2025-12-12UBSUpgrade Neutral -> Buy
2025-12-09BMO CapitalInitiate Market Perform
2025-12-04CitigroupInitiate Buy
2025-10-24UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-03SusquehannaMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-01JefferiesMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-09-29Evercore ISI GroupMaintains In-Line -> In-Line
2025-09-26UBSMaintains Neutral -> Neutral

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 23, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
-$0.42
Revenue Estimate
13.825B
Revenue Q2Q
10.15%
EPS Q2Q
29.23%
Number of Analysts
22

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.00%
Revenue (3 Months)
-0.55%
EPS (1 Month)
0.00%
EPS (3 Months)
-16.97%

Next Earnings Summary

AAL is expected to report earnings on 4/23/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is -0.42 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 13.82B USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0.55% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
AAL revenue by date.AAL revenue by date.
52.788B
7.79%		54.211B
2.70%		54.633B
0.78%		60.531B
10.80%		63.722B
5.27%		66.731B
4.72%		69.917B
4.77%		72.955B
4.35%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
AAL ebitda by date.AAL ebitda by date.
6.267B
52.74%		5.502B
-12.21%		3.848B
-30.06%		5.406B
40.49%		5.911B
9.34%		6.55B
10.81%		7.747B
18.27%		7.767B
0.26%
EBIT
YoY % growth
AAL ebit by date.AAL ebit by date.
4.013B
122.33%		3.257B
-18.84%		1.629B
-49.98%		2.677B
64.33%		3.517B
31.38%		3.957B
12.51%		4.89B
23.58%		5.481B
12.09%
Operating Margin
AAL operating margin by date.AAL operating margin by date.
7.60%6.01%2.98%4.42%5.52%5.93%6.99%7.51%
EPS
YoY % growth
AAL eps by date.AAL eps by date.
2.64
780.00%		1.91
-27.65%		0.35
-81.68%		2.13
508.90%		2.76
29.56%		3.28
18.78%		4.67
42.28%		5.61
20.13%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		-0.42
29.23%		0.93
-2.44%		0.21
225.39%		0.55
242.28%		-0.20
52.89%		1.60
72.18%		0.42
97.46%		0.72
32.33%		0.12
161.62%		1.98
24.05%		0.62
46.37%		1.11
53.31%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		13.825B
10.15%		16.328B
13.45%		15.376B
12.31%		15.412B
10.09%		15.16B
9.66%		17.525B
7.33%		16.299B
6.00%		16.595B
7.68%		N/AN/AN/AN/A
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		523.75M
83.12%		1.83B
17.23%		1.034B
64.05%		1.334B
14.02%		408.35M
-22.03%		2.384B
30.27%		1.203B
16.34%		1.628B
22.04%		N/AN/AN/AN/A
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		-16.629M
91.69%		1.257B
6.35%		488.62M
209.25%		781.53M
59.82%		-215.453M
-1,195.63%		1.739B
38.35%		553.7M
13.32%		959.95M
22.83%		N/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

AAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
AAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
110.82%
EPS Next 5 Year
74.14%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
6.50%
Revenue Next 5 Year
5.72%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
54.01%
EBIT Next 5 Year
34.07%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC / AAL Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for AAL stock?

30 analysts have analysed AAL and the average price target is 16.17 USD. This implies a price increase of 50.58% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 10.74.

Can you provide the upcoming earnings date for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC?

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) will report earnings on 2026-04-23.

What are the consensus estimates for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) is -0.42 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 13.82B USD.

What is the expected long term growth rate for AAL stock?

The expected long term growth rate for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (AAL) is 6.5%.