CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1CMG • US1696561059

Current stock price

31.685 EUR
-0.63 (-1.95%)
Last:

This 1CMG.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. 1CMG.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year 1CMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1CMG has been profitable.
  • 1CMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1CMG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1CMG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 16.55%, 1CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 47.69%, 1CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CMG has a Return On Invested Capital of 18.25%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1CMG outperforms 89.09% of its industry peers.
  • 1CMG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.89%. This is above the industry average of 12.21%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.89%) for 1CMG is below the current ROIC(18.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.55%
ROE 47.69%
ROIC 18.25%
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1CMG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1CMG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • 1CMG has a better Profit Margin (13.04%) than 78.18% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1CMG has grown nicely.
  • 1CMG has a Operating Margin of 16.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1CMG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • 1CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • 1CMG's Gross Margin of 30.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1CMG is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1CMG has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.55%
PM (TTM) 13.04%
GM 30.89%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
1CMG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1CMG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

9

2. 1CMG.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1CMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1CMG has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1CMG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • 1CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
1CMG.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1CMG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
1CMG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1CMG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1CMG has an Altman-Z score of 7.07. This indicates that 1CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • 1CMG has a better Altman-Z score (7.07) than 96.36% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for 1CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 7.07
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.83%
1CMG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1CMG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that 1CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.54, 1CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that 1CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of 1CMG (1.50) is better than 89.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.54
Quick Ratio 1.5
1CMG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1CMG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. 1CMG.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.95%.
  • Measured over the past years, 1CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.99% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, 1CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.31% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1CMG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.98% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1CMG.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1CMG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
1CMG.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1CMG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. 1CMG.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 32.01, the valuation of 1CMG can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1CMG.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.34, 1CMG is valued at the same level.
  • 1CMG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.35.
  • 1CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • 1CMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.01
Fwd PE 30.35
1CMG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1CMG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 65.45% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1CMG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 69.09% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1CMG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.29
EV/EBITDA 20.44
1CMG.MI Per share data1CMG.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • 1CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)8.84
PEG (5Y)1
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. 1CMG.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for 1CMG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

1CMG.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC

BIT:1CMG (12/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

31.685

-0.63 (-1.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29
Earnings (Next)02-03
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap41.90B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.01
Fwd PE 30.35
P/S 4.18
P/FCF 31.29
P/OCF 22.23
P/B 15.28
P/tB 15.38
EV/EBITDA 20.44
EPS(TTM)0.99
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.04
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY3.2%
OCF(TTM)1.43
OCFY4.5%
SpS7.59
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.06
PEG (NY)8.84
PEG (5Y)1
Graham Number6.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.55%
ROE 47.69%
ROCE 23.99%
ROIC 18.25%
ROICexc 22.11%
ROICexgc 22.19%
OM 16.55%
PM (TTM) 13.04%
GM 30.89%
FCFM 13.35%
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 182.03%
Cap/Sales 5.44%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 96.16%
Profit Quality 102.38%
Current Ratio 1.54
Quick Ratio 1.5
Altman-Z 7.07
F-Score7
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.45%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / 1CMG.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1CMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 1CMG.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) stock?

The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) is 9 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) is expected to grow by 3.62% in the next year.