CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe Euronext Milan BIT:1CMG • US1696561059

31.685 EUR
-0.63 (-1.95%)
Last: Dec 23, 2025, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to 1CMG. 1CMG was compared to 62 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making 1CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. 1CMG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. This makes 1CMG very considerable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1CMG was profitable.
  • 1CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1CMG has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1CMG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1CMG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 16.55%, 1CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CMG has a better Return On Equity (47.69%) than 94.55% of its industry peers.
  • 1CMG's Return On Invested Capital of 18.25% is amongst the best of the industry. 1CMG outperforms 89.09% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1CMG is above the industry average of 12.12%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for 1CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.55%
ROE 47.69%
ROIC 18.25%
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1CMG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1CMG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.04%, 1CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of 1CMG (16.55%) is better than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1CMG has grown nicely.
  • 1CMG has a Gross Margin of 30.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1CMG underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • 1CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.55%
PM (TTM) 13.04%
GM 30.89%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
1CMG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1CMG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1CMG is creating value.
  • 1CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • 1CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for 1CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
1CMG.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1CMG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
1CMG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1CMG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 7.07 indicates that 1CMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.07, 1CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 7.07
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.83%
1CMG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1CMG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1CMG has a Current Ratio of 1.54. This is a normal value and indicates that 1CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1CMG has a better Current ratio (1.54) than 89.09% of its industry peers.
  • 1CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that 1CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1CMG's Quick ratio of 1.50 is amongst the best of the industry. 1CMG outperforms 89.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.54
Quick Ratio 1.5
1CMG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1CMG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • 1CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.95%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 31.99% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • 1CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
  • Measured over the past years, 1CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%

3.2 Future

  • 1CMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.98% yearly.
  • 1CMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.73% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1CMG.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1CMG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
1CMG.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1CMG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.01, 1CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1CMG.
  • 1CMG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • 1CMG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.35.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1CMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 27.86. 1CMG is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.01
Fwd PE 30.35
1CMG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1CMG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 65.45% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1CMG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 1CMG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1CMG is more expensive than 69.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.29
EV/EBITDA 20.44
1CMG.MI Per share data1CMG.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of 1CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)8.84
PEG (5Y)1
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for 1CMG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC

BIT:1CMG (12/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

31.685

-0.63 (-1.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29
Earnings (Next)02-03
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap41.90B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.01
Fwd PE 30.35
P/S 4.18
P/FCF 31.29
P/OCF 22.23
P/B 15.28
P/tB 15.38
EV/EBITDA 20.44
EPS(TTM)0.99
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.04
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY3.2%
OCF(TTM)1.43
OCFY4.5%
SpS7.59
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.06
PEG (NY)8.84
PEG (5Y)1
Graham Number6.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.55%
ROE 47.69%
ROCE 23.99%
ROIC 18.25%
ROICexc 22.11%
ROICexgc 22.19%
OM 16.55%
PM (TTM) 13.04%
GM 30.89%
FCFM 13.35%
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 182.03%
Cap/Sales 5.44%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 96.16%
Profit Quality 102.38%
Current Ratio 1.54
Quick Ratio 1.5
Altman-Z 7.07
F-Score7
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y12.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.71%
Revenue Next 5Y10.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.45%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / 1CMG.MI FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1CMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 1CMG.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1CMG stock?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?

The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (1CMG.MI) is 9 / 10.