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CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (NASDAQ:CAKE) Shows Strong Technical Breakout Potential with High Ratings

By Mill Chart

Last update: Aug 8, 2025

Technical breakout trading identifies stocks with solid trends that are pausing before their next rise. This approach uses two main measures: the ChartMill Technical Rating, which checks the stock’s technical condition, and the ChartMill Setup Quality Rating, which looks for high-chance breakout patterns. Stocks scoring well on both often offer good trading opportunities.

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (NASDAQ:CAKE) matches this description, with a Technical Rating of 8 and a Setup Rating of 9, signaling both steady momentum and a clear pause in price movement.

CAKE Stock Chart

Technical Strength: Leading the Market

The Technical Rating of 8 shows CAKE’s steady long-term trend and performance. Key points from the technical report include:

  • Yearly Gains: Over the last year, CAKE has beaten 91% of all stocks, with steady growth rather than sudden spikes.
  • Sector Standing: In the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector, CAKE is in the top 13%, showing strength against competitors.
  • Trend Details: The long-term trend stays positive, but the short-term trend has dipped, hinting at a possible brief decline before rising again.
  • Support Areas: Several support levels lie below the current price, including a key zone between $61.40 and $61.92, where moving averages and trendlines meet.

A high Technical Rating is important for breakout strategies because it confirms the stock’s upward trend is stable, lowering the chance of false signals.

Setup Quality: Pausing Before the Next Rise

The Setup Rating of 9 points to an ideal pause in price movement, offering clear entry and exit points:

  • Narrowing Range: After moving between $60.51 and $69.70 over the past month, CAKE is now near the lower end, with less volatility.
  • Buying Signals: Recent volume patterns suggest increased buying, a positive sign that larger investors may be entering.
  • Limited Resistance: With few barriers above, a breakout could lead to quick gains.
  • Clear Risk Level: A stop-loss below $61.39 (just under the nearest support) caps potential losses at ~3.4%.

Breakout traders favor high Setup Ratings because they spot stocks taking a breather, offering better risk/reward chances than chasing overextended moves.

Trade Details

The automated setup suggests:

  • Entry: $63.56 (above the 10-day moving average).
  • Stop-loss: $61.39 (below support).
  • Risk: 3.42% per share, with a suggested position size of 25% of capital for a 0.85% portfolio risk.

Traders should watch if CAKE stays above its support zone and looks for a breakout with higher volume.

Discover More Breakout Trades

For fresh technical breakout ideas, check the Technical Breakout Setups Screen, which finds stocks with high Technical and Setup Ratings daily.

Disclaimer: This analysis is not investment advice. Always do your own research and use risk management before trading.

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE

NASDAQ:CAKE (8/29/2025, 8:09:38 PM)

After market: 61.7 +0.24 (+0.39%)

61.46

-0.58 (-0.93%)



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