AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ:AGNC) Q3 2025 Earnings Fall Short of Estimates

AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ:AGNC) has released its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, revealing performance that fell short of analyst expectations on key profitability and revenue metrics. The immediate market reaction following the earnings release was negative, with the stock trading lower in after-hours activity.

Earnings and Revenue Performance Versus Estimates

The company's reported figures for Q3 2025 deviated notably from Wall Street's consensus estimates. The primary points of comparison are detailed below.

• Earnings Per Share (EPS): AGNC reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.35. This fell short of the analyst estimate of $0.3934.
• Revenue: The company posted revenue of $148 million for the quarter. This was significantly below the estimated $312.6 million.

The magnitude of the revenue miss, in particular, appears to have been a key factor in the market's initial reaction. The after-market performance showed a decline of approximately 2.4%, indicating investor disappointment with the quarterly results.

Summary of the Press Release

The core announcement from the company was the publication of its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The press release served as the official channel for disclosing the finalized earnings and revenue numbers. Beyond the headline figures, the release did not provide a specific financial outlook or guidance for future quarters, leaving investors to rely on current analyst projections for context on the company's expected trajectory.

Market Reaction and Recent Performance

The negative after-market move contrasts with the stock's recent performance, suggesting the earnings report was a significant event that altered the short-term sentiment. Prior to the earnings release, the stock had shown relative stability.

• Last Week Performance: +0.6%
• Last Two Weeks Performance: -0.7%
• Last Month Performance: +0.2%

The post-earnings decline has effectively erased the modest gains seen over the past month, highlighting the market's focus on the quarterly earnings miss.

Analyst Estimates for the Future

With no forward guidance provided by the company, analyst estimates become the primary benchmark for future performance. The current consensus for the remainder of 2025 sets specific expectations that AGNC will need to meet or exceed to rebuild positive momentum.

• Q4 2025 Revenue Estimate: $319.6 million
• Q4 2025 EPS Estimate: $0.40
• Full-Year 2025 Revenue Estimate: $1.07 billion
• Full-Year 2025 EPS Estimate: $1.62

The company's ability to rebound in the fourth quarter and align more closely with these projections will be a critical area of focus for investors in the coming months.

For a more detailed breakdown of historical earnings and future analyst estimates, you can review the data here.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. The analysis is based on publicly available data and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All investment decisions involve risk and should be made based on your own research and financial circumstances.