Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:TRQ • CA9004352071

42.99 CAD
-0.02 (-0.05%)
Last: Dec 19, 2022, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TRQ. TRQ was compared to 820 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While TRQ is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TRQ is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TRQ was profitable.
  • TRQ had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TRQ.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTRQ.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • TRQ has a better Return On Assets (3.80%) than 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • TRQ has a better Return On Equity (6.12%) than 89.68% of its industry peers.
  • TRQ has a better Return On Invested Capital (2.66%) than 90.68% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TRQ is significantly below the industry average of 12.04%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (2.66%) for TRQ is above the 3 year average (2.58%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.8%
ROE 6.12%
ROIC 2.66%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)2.58%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TRQ.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTRQ.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4

1.3 Margins

  • TRQ's Profit Margin of 32.99% is amongst the best of the industry. TRQ outperforms 98.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRQ has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of TRQ (30.81%) is better than 96.89% of its industry peers.
  • TRQ's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.81%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y54.65%
OM growth 5Y93.75%
PM growth 3Y-8.57%
PM growth 5Y8.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TRQ.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTRQ.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TRQ is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TRQ remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TRQ has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TRQ.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTRQ.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M
TRQ.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTRQ.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • TRQ has an Altman-Z score of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TRQ is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of TRQ (0.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TRQ has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.37. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • TRQ's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.37 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TRQ is outperformed by 78.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.37
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.49
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC9.68%
TRQ.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTRQ.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.42 indicates that TRQ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TRQ has a Current ratio of 0.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRQ underperforms 77.36% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.24 indicates that TRQ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of TRQ (0.24) is worse than 82.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.24
TRQ.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTRQ.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.49% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TRQ shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.15% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for TRQ has decreased by -11.63% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • TRQ shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.49%
EPS 3Y7.52%
EPS 5Y21.15%
EPS Q2Q%35.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.63%
Revenue growth 3Y18.65%
Revenue growth 5Y10.37%
Sales Q2Q%-40.94%

3.2 Future

  • TRQ is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 37.99% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 20.56% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-22.59%
EPS Next 2Y-40.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.83%
EPS Next 5Y37.99%
Revenue Next Year-25.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.52%
Revenue Next 5Y20.56%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TRQ.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTRQ.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B 4B
TRQ.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTRQ.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.37, the valuation of TRQ can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TRQ is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • TRQ is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • TRQ is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.55.
  • 87.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRQ, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • TRQ is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.37
Fwd PE 34.55
TRQ.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTRQ.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TRQ is valued cheaper than 89.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.78
TRQ.CA Per share dataTRQ.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TRQ has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
EPS Next 2Y-40.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.83%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TRQ!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd / TRQ.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TRQ stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TRQ.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd?

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) is 0 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) is expected to decline by -22.59% in the next year.