Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:TRQ • CA9004352071

Current stock price

42.99 CAD
-0.02 (-0.05%)
Last:

This TRQ.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. TRQ.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TRQ was profitable.
  • In the past year TRQ had a positive cash flow from operations.
TRQ.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTRQ.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of TRQ (3.80%) is better than 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • TRQ has a better Return On Equity (6.12%) than 89.68% of its industry peers.
  • TRQ has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TRQ outperforms 90.68% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TRQ is significantly below the industry average of 12.70%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (2.66%) for TRQ is above the 3 year average (2.58%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.8%
ROE 6.12%
ROIC 2.66%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)2.58%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TRQ.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTRQ.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 32.99%, TRQ belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRQ has grown nicely.
  • TRQ has a Operating Margin of 30.81%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TRQ outperforms 96.89% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TRQ has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.81%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y54.65%
OM growth 5Y93.75%
PM growth 3Y-8.57%
PM growth 5Y8.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TRQ.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTRQ.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60

1

2. TRQ.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TRQ has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TRQ has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TRQ has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TRQ.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTRQ.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M
TRQ.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTRQ.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.49, we must say that TRQ is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • TRQ has a Altman-Z score (0.49) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • TRQ has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.37. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of TRQ (0.37) is worse than 78.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.37
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.49
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC9.68%
TRQ.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTRQ.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TRQ has a Current Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that TRQ is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.42, TRQ is not doing good in the industry: 77.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • TRQ has a Quick Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that TRQ is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of TRQ (0.24) is worse than 82.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.24
TRQ.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTRQ.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

8

3. TRQ.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.49% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TRQ shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.15% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for TRQ has decreased by -11.63% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.37% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.49%
EPS 3Y7.52%
EPS 5Y21.15%
EPS Q2Q%35.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.63%
Revenue growth 3Y18.65%
Revenue growth 5Y10.37%
Sales Q2Q%-40.94%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TRQ will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 37.99% on average per year.
  • TRQ is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 20.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y-22.59%
EPS Next 2Y-40.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.83%
EPS Next 5Y37.99%
Revenue Next Year-25.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.52%
Revenue Next 5Y20.56%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TRQ.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTRQ.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B 4B
TRQ.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTRQ.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

4

4. TRQ.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.37 indicates a reasonable valuation of TRQ.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TRQ indicates a rather cheap valuation: TRQ is cheaper than 92.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • TRQ's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.54.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.55 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TRQ.
  • TRQ's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TRQ is cheaper than 87.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TRQ is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.37
Fwd PE 34.55
TRQ.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTRQ.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 89.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRQ, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.78
TRQ.CA Per share dataTRQ.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of TRQ may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
EPS Next 2Y-40.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.83%

0

5. TRQ.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TRQ!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TRQ.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd

TSX:TRQ (12/19/2022, 7:00:00 PM)

42.99

-0.02 (-0.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners16.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.65B
Revenue(TTM)1.70B
Net Income(TTM)560.78M
Analysts75
Price Target42.64 (-0.81%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)41.24%
Min EPS beat(2)20.28%
Max EPS beat(2)62.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)141.2%
Min EPS beat(4)20.28%
Max EPS beat(4)456.83%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)29.08%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)29.08%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)14.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.37
Fwd PE 34.55
P/S 3.76
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 13.68
P/B 0.7
P/tB 0.94
EV/EBITDA 14.78
EPS(TTM)3.78
EY8.79%
EPS(NY)1.24
Fwd EY2.89%
FCF(TTM)-3.97
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.14
OCFY7.31%
SpS11.44
BVpS61.61
TBVpS45.51
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.8%
ROE 6.12%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 2.66%
ROICexc 2.7%
ROICexgc 2.7%
OM 30.81%
PM (TTM) 32.99%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)2.58%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y76.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y107.27%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y54.65%
OM growth 5Y93.75%
PM growth 3Y-8.57%
PM growth 5Y8.76%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.37
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.94
Cap/Depr 605.25%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.24
Altman-Z 0.49
F-Score3
WACC9.68%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)626.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)559.12%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.49%
EPS 3Y7.52%
EPS 5Y21.15%
EPS Q2Q%35.29%
EPS Next Y-22.59%
EPS Next 2Y-40.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.83%
EPS Next 5Y37.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.63%
Revenue growth 3Y18.65%
Revenue growth 5Y10.37%
Sales Q2Q%-40.94%
Revenue Next Year-25.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.52%
Revenue Next 5Y20.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.38%
EBIT growth 3Y83.49%
EBIT growth 5Y113.85%
EBIT Next Year-52.47%
EBIT Next 3Y5.72%
EBIT Next 5Y54.94%
FCF growth 1Y55.2%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y356.43%
OCF growth 3Y47.37%
OCF growth 5Y20.1%

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd / TRQ.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TRQ stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TRQ.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd?

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) is 0 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd (TRQ.CA) is expected to decline by -22.59% in the next year.