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SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock

32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Last: 7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM
32 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall SIX gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated SIX against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of SIX while its profitability can be described as average. SIX is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SIX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SIX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years were profitable.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.96%, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 63.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.89%, SIX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.34%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 10.89%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • SIX has a worse Profit Margin (1.85%) than 60.45% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SIX's Operating Margin of 22.27% is amongst the best of the industry. SIX outperforms 83.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIX has declined.
  • SIX's Gross Margin of 92.11% is amongst the best of the industry. SIX outperforms 99.25% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
SIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIX is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for SIX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SIX Yearly Shares OutstandingSIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
SIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.09, SIX is doing worse than 82.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX is 24.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIX, 24.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SIX has a Debt to FCF ratio (24.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Altman-Z 0.09
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
SIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIX has a Current ratio of 0.36. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIX underperforms 88.06% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of SIX (0.31) is worse than 87.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
SIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for SIX have been decreasing by -32.11% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.02% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%

3.2 Future

  • SIX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 72.37% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.27% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SIX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.21, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.60, which indicates a correct valuation of SIX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit cheaper than 62.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.26.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
SIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • SIX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 11.19
SIX Per share dataSIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.19. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
  • SIX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SIX Yearly Dividends per shareSIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
SIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.


What is the valuation status for SIX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SIX stock?

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?

The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.