SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock
32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
32 USD
0 (0%)
Overall SIX gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated SIX against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of SIX while its profitability can be described as average. SIX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SIX was profitable.
In the past year SIX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years were profitable.
SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SIX has a worse Return On Assets (0.96%) than 63.43% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.89%, SIX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.85%, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 60.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SIX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.27%, SIX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.58% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SIX has a Gross Margin of 92.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIX outperforms 99.25% of its industry peers.
SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIX is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SIX remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.09, we must say that SIX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.09, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 82.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SIX has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIX would need 24.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 24.22, SIX is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.76% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.36, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 88.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.31, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 87.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SIX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -74.19%.
The earnings per share for SIX have been decreasing by -32.11% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.02% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 72.37% on average per year.
SIX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.27% yearly.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SIX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SIX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: SIX is more expensive than 65.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.76, SIX is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60, SIX is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SIX is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.63, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as SIX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.90. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
SIX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
32
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 15.53% | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.56% | ||
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% | ||
| FCFM | 7.04% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.
What is the valuation status of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SIX stock?
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 100 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.76.
What is the financial health of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) stock?
The financial health rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 1 / 10.