SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SAGE • US78667J1088

Current stock price

8.68 USD
-0.02 (-0.23%)
At close:
8.685 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
After Hours:

This SAGE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. SAGE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SAGE had negative earnings in the past year.
  • SAGE had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SAGE reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years SAGE reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
SAGE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAGE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -71.22%, SAGE is not doing good in the industry: 64.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -81.68%, SAGE is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -71.22%
ROE -81.68%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-57.96%
ROA(5y)-34.18%
ROE(3y)-65.47%
ROE(5y)-38.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SAGE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAGE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 45.16%, SAGE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAGE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for SAGE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.16%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.74%
GM growth 5Y-3.93%
SAGE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAGE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -2K -4K -6K -8K -10K

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6

2. SAGE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SAGE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • SAGE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SAGE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SAGE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SAGE Yearly Shares OutstandingSAGE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
SAGE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAGE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -5.35, we must say that SAGE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of SAGE (-5.35) is worse than 61.52% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for SAGE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -5.35
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.13%
SAGE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAGE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SAGE has a Current Ratio of 9.16. This indicates that SAGE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 9.16, SAGE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SAGE has a Quick Ratio of 9.16. This indicates that SAGE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SAGE has a Quick ratio of 9.16. This is in the better half of the industry: SAGE outperforms 75.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 9.16
Quick Ratio 9.16
SAGE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAGE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. SAGE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SAGE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 43.60%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue for SAGE has decreased by -27.58% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing by 42.99% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.6%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.58%
Revenue growth 3Y87.07%
Revenue growth 5Y42.99%
Sales Q2Q%265.84%

3.2 Future

  • SAGE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.71% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 40.01% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y44.26%
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y19.27%
EPS Next 5Y13.71%
Revenue Next Year93.34%
Revenue Next 2Y66.24%
Revenue Next 3Y54.03%
Revenue Next 5Y40.01%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
SAGE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAGE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SAGE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAGE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 5 -5 10 -10

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0

4. SAGE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SAGE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for SAGE. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
SAGE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAGE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
SAGE Per share dataSAGE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 -4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SAGE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.27% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y19.27%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. SAGE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SAGE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

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SAGE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC

NASDAQ:SAGE (7/30/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 8.685 +0.01 (+0.06%)

8.68

-0.02 (-0.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)07-30
Earnings (Next)10-27
Inst Owners80.99%
Inst Owner Change-94.19%
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap543.54M
Revenue(TTM)70.41M
Net Income(TTM)-301.19M
Analysts69.41
Price Target8.67 (-0.12%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.48%
Min EPS beat(2)0.49%
Max EPS beat(2)18.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(4)18.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.91%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-4.23%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-3.76%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)41.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)85.16%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)19.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)85.16%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)11.31%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.94%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.33%
PT rev (1m)-1.66%
PT rev (3m)5.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 7.72
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.47
P/tB 1.47
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-4.89
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.94
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-4.62
OCFYN/A
SpS1.12
BVpS5.89
TBVpS5.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -71.22%
ROE -81.68%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.16%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-57.96%
ROA(5y)-34.18%
ROE(3y)-65.47%
ROE(5y)-38.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.74%
GM growth 5Y-3.93%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 9.16
Quick Ratio 9.16
Altman-Z -5.35
F-Score3
WACC11.13%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)40.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)28.52%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)43.6%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.53%
EPS Next Y44.26%
EPS Next 2Y24.68%
EPS Next 3Y19.27%
EPS Next 5Y13.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.58%
Revenue growth 3Y87.07%
Revenue growth 5Y42.99%
Sales Q2Q%265.84%
Revenue Next Year93.34%
Revenue Next 2Y66.24%
Revenue Next 3Y54.03%
Revenue Next 5Y40.01%
EBIT growth 1Y32.64%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year40.48%
EBIT Next 3Y19.55%
EBIT Next 5Y14.35%
FCF growth 1Y45.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.51%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC / SAGE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SAGE.


What is the valuation status of SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC?

SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SAGE THERAPEUTICS INC (SAGE) is expected to grow by 44.26% in the next year.