PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:PRTYUS7021491052

Current stock price

0.3742 USD
+0.03 (+7.19%)
At close:
0.4124 USD
+0.04 (+10.21%)
Pre-Market:

This PRTY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

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1. PRTY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year PRTY has reported negative net income.
  • PRTY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
PRTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPRTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • PRTY has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PRTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPRTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • PRTY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • PRTY has a worse Gross Margin (25.05%) than 75.47% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PRTY has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PRTY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.05%
OM growth 3Y-26.98%
OM growth 5Y-17.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.88%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
PRTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPRTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20 -20

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2. PRTY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PRTY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PRTY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • PRTY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
PRTY Yearly Shares OutstandingPRTY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
PRTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPRTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.34, we must say that PRTY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.34, PRTY is doing worse than 90.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.23%
PRTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPRTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • PRTY has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that PRTY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PRTY has a Current ratio of 0.99. This is amonst the worse of the industry: PRTY underperforms 85.85% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that PRTY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PRTY has a worse Quick ratio (0.21) than 83.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.21
PRTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPRTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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3. PRTY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PRTY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -317.65%.
  • The earnings per share for PRTY have been decreasing by -10.67% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, PRTY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.88% in the last year.
  • PRTY shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-317.65%
EPS 3Y-26.02%
EPS 5Y-10.67%
EPS Q2Q%-7050%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.88%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.57%

3.2 Future

  • PRTY is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -28.85% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.40% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-310.18%
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PRTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPRTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
PRTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPRTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 -1

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4. PRTY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PRTY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year PRTY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PRTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPRTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PRTY is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 79.25% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 30.81
PRTY Per share dataPRTY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as PRTY's earnings are expected to decrease with -28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%

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5. PRTY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for PRTY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

PRTY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC

NYSE:PRTY (1/17/2023, 8:04:01 PM)

Premarket: 0.4124 +0.04 (+10.21%)

0.3742

+0.03 (+7.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-08
Earnings (Next)02-27
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners10%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap42.40M
Revenue(TTM)2.16B
Net Income(TTM)-257.19M
Analysts43.33
Price Target2.04 (445.16%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-599.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-1262.75%
Max EPS beat(2)63.4%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-320.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-1262.75%
Max EPS beat(4)63.4%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.81%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 30.81
EPS(TTM)-1.11
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.36
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.42
OCFYN/A
SpS19.07
BVpS-1.36
TBVpS-9.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.05%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-26.98%
OM growth 5Y-17.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.88%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 40.6
Cap/Depr 170.61%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.21
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score5
WACC4.23%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)87.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-317.65%
EPS 3Y-26.02%
EPS 5Y-10.67%
EPS Q2Q%-7050%
EPS Next Y-310.18%
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.88%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.57%
Revenue Next Year-1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-137.41%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.65%
EBIT growth 5Y-18.78%
EBIT Next Year-36.77%
EBIT Next 3Y-4.35%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-320.22%
FCF growth 3Y-35.53%
FCF growth 5Y-52.31%
OCF growth 1Y-195.1%
OCF growth 3Y-6.4%
OCF growth 5Y-20.17%

PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC / PRTY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to PRTY.


What is the valuation status for PRTY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY) stock?

PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY) is expected to decline by -310.18% in the next year.