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PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC (PRTY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PRTY - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7021491052 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.3742  +0.03 (+7.19%)

Premarket: 0.4124 +0.04 (+10.21%)

Fundamental Rating

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Overall PRTY gets a fundamental rating of 0 out of 10. We evaluated PRTY against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. PRTY has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. PRTY is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PRTY has reported negative net income.
PRTY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
PRTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPRTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for PRTY are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PRTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPRTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PRTY has declined.
PRTY has a Gross Margin of 25.05%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PRTY underperforms 75.47% of its industry peers.
PRTY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PRTY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.05%
OM growth 3Y-26.98%
OM growth 5Y-17.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.88%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
PRTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPRTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20 -20

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PRTY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PRTY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PRTY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PRTY Yearly Shares OutstandingPRTY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
PRTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPRTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.34, we must say that PRTY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.34, PRTY is doing worse than 90.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.23%
PRTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPRTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

PRTY has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that PRTY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PRTY has a worse Current ratio (0.99) than 85.85% of its industry peers.
PRTY has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that PRTY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of PRTY (0.21) is worse than 83.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.21
PRTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPRTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PRTY have decreased strongly by -317.65% in the last year.
PRTY shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.67% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.88% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-317.65%
EPS 3Y-26.02%
EPS 5Y-10.67%
EPS Q2Q%-7050%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.88%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.57%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PRTY will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -28.85% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.40% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-310.18%
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PRTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPRTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
PRTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPRTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 -1

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PRTY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year PRTY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PRTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPRTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

79.25% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PRTY, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 30.81
PRTY Per share dataPRTY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PRTY's earnings are expected to decrease with -28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PRTY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC

NYSE:PRTY (1/17/2023, 8:04:01 PM)

Premarket: 0.4124 +0.04 (+10.21%)

0.3742

+0.03 (+7.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-08 2022-11-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-27 2023-02-27
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners10%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap42.40M
Analysts43.33
Price Target2.04 (445.16%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-599.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-1262.75%
Max EPS beat(2)63.4%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-320.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-1262.75%
Max EPS beat(4)63.4%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.81%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 30.81
EPS(TTM)-1.11
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.36
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.42
OCFYN/A
SpS19.07
BVpS-1.36
TBVpS-9.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.05%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-26.98%
OM growth 5Y-17.95%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.88%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 40.6
Cap/Depr 170.61%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.21
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score5
WACC4.23%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)87.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-317.65%
EPS 3Y-26.02%
EPS 5Y-10.67%
EPS Q2Q%-7050%
EPS Next Y-310.18%
EPS Next 2Y-50.42%
EPS Next 3Y-28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.88%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.57%
Revenue Next Year-1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-137.41%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.65%
EBIT growth 5Y-18.78%
EBIT Next Year-36.77%
EBIT Next 3Y-4.35%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-320.22%
FCF growth 3Y-35.53%
FCF growth 5Y-52.31%
OCF growth 1Y-195.1%
OCF growth 3Y-6.4%
OCF growth 5Y-20.17%