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H2O Innovation Inc (HEO.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:HEO - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA4433003064 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

4.25  +0.01 (+0.24%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall HEO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HEO against 20 industry peers in the Machinery industry. The financial health of HEO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, HEO is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HEO had positive earnings in the past year.
HEO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years HEO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
HEO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HEO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHEO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.80%, HEO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
HEO has a Return On Equity of -1.72%. This is in the better half of the industry: HEO outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
HEO has a Return On Invested Capital (2.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HEO is significantly below the industry average of 10.00%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.8%
ROE -1.72%
ROIC 2.5%
ROA(3y)1.38%
ROA(5y)-0.38%
ROE(3y)2.63%
ROE(5y)-0.51%
ROIC(3y)3.1%
ROIC(5y)2.79%
HEO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHEO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

HEO has a Operating Margin (2.38%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HEO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HEO has a Gross Margin (25.48%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HEO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.38%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.48%
OM growth 3Y-11.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.13%
GM growth 5Y2.59%
HEO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHEO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HEO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HEO remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HEO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HEO is higher compared to a year ago.
HEO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingHEO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
HEO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHEO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.2 Solvency

HEO has an Altman-Z score of 3.27. This indicates that HEO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.27, HEO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
HEO has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.52. This is a neutral value as HEO would need 4.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HEO (4.52) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
HEO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HEO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HEO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.71) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 4.52
Altman-Z 3.27
ROIC/WACC0.31
WACC8.01%
HEO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHEO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.10 indicates that HEO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HEO has a Current ratio of 2.10. This is in the better half of the industry: HEO outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that HEO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HEO has a Quick ratio of 1.50. This is in the better half of the industry: HEO outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.1
Quick Ratio 1.5
HEO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHEO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 2852.38% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, HEO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 26.89%.
HEO shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.50% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2852.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6900%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.89%
Revenue growth 3Y23.77%
Revenue growth 5Y20.5%
Sales Q2Q%5.65%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HEO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 39.90% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.73% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-26.68%
EPS Next 2Y35.39%
EPS Next 3Y51.34%
EPS Next 5Y39.9%
Revenue Next Year8.64%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.73%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HEO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHEO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M 400M
HEO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHEO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.1 -0.1 0.2

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 70.83 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HEO.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HEO.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.75, HEO is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 42.08, HEO can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HEO.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HEO to the average of the S&P500 Index (20.49), we can say HEO is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.83
Fwd PE 42.08
HEO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHEO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

HEO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HEO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.57
EV/EBITDA 24.2
HEO.CA Per share dataHEO.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HEO's earnings are expected to grow with 51.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.39%
EPS Next 3Y51.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HEO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

H2O Innovation Inc

TSX:HEO (12/11/2023, 7:00:00 PM)

4.25

+0.01 (+0.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)02-10 2022-02-10
Inst Owners5.62%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap382.53M
Analysts77.5
Price Target4.14 (-2.59%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-103.3%
Min EPS beat(2)-199.01%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.59%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-15.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-199.01%
Max EPS beat(4)129.7%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-52.64%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-47.8%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.1%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.89%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.55%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.75%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.88%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)8.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-50%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)-52.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-57.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)96282.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.83
Fwd PE 42.08
P/S 1.49
P/FCF 23.57
P/OCF 13.21
P/B 3.8
P/tB 19.82
EV/EBITDA 24.2
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)0.1
Fwd EY2.38%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY4.24%
OCF(TTM)0.32
OCFY7.57%
SpS2.85
BVpS1.12
TBVpS0.21
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.8%
ROE -1.72%
ROCE 3.48%
ROIC 2.5%
ROICexc 2.62%
ROICexgc 5.07%
OM 2.38%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 25.48%
FCFM 6.33%
ROA(3y)1.38%
ROA(5y)-0.38%
ROE(3y)2.63%
ROE(5y)-0.51%
ROIC(3y)3.1%
ROIC(5y)2.79%
ROICexc(3y)3.48%
ROICexc(5y)3.12%
ROICexgc(3y)9.07%
ROICexgc(5y)8.2%
ROCE(3y)4.31%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.5%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.09%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.13%
GM growth 5Y2.59%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 4.52
Debt/EBITDA 3.85
Cap/Depr 102.5%
Cap/Sales 4.96%
Interest Coverage 1.17
Cash Conversion 156.32%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.1
Quick Ratio 1.5
Altman-Z 3.27
F-Score3
WACC8.01%
ROIC/WACC0.31
Cap/Depr(3y)72.35%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.75%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2852.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6900%
EPS Next Y-26.68%
EPS Next 2Y35.39%
EPS Next 3Y51.34%
EPS Next 5Y39.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.89%
Revenue growth 3Y23.77%
Revenue growth 5Y20.5%
Sales Q2Q%5.65%
Revenue Next Year8.64%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y8.18%
Revenue Next 5Y7.73%
EBIT growth 1Y14.42%
EBIT growth 3Y9.86%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year216.17%
EBIT Next 3Y64.91%
EBIT Next 5Y39.36%
FCF growth 1Y485.92%
FCF growth 3Y19.42%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y541.91%
OCF growth 3Y32.99%
OCF growth 5YN/A