GEOPARK LTD (GPRK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GPRK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - BMG383271050 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, GPRK scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GPRK was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While GPRK has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GPRK is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. GPRK also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes GPRK very considerable for value and dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPRK had positive earnings in the past year.
GPRK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years GPRK 4 years were profitable.
GPRK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GPRK (6.62%) is better than 70.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 37.62%, GPRK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.27% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Return On Invested Capital of 19.63% is amongst the best of the industry. GPRK outperforms 95.67% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GPRK is significantly above the industry average of 23.51%.
The 3 year average ROIC (35.84%) for GPRK is well above the current ROIC(19.63%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
1.3 Margins
GPRK has a better Profit Margin (12.56%) than 61.06% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GPRK (38.05%) is better than 85.58% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GPRK has a Gross Margin of 73.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GPRK outperforms 85.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRK has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% |
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GPRK is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRK has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GPRK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.79, we must say that GPRK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of GPRK (1.79) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK is 4.90, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GPRK, 4.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GPRK's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.90 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRK outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.11 is on the high side and indicates that GPRK has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.11, GPRK is not doing good in the industry: 85.10% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
ROIC/WACC2.37
WACC8.27%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.96 indicates that GPRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.96, GPRK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.96% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.92 indicates that GPRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRK has a better Quick ratio (1.92) than 77.88% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPRK have decreased strongly by -60.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GPRK shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GPRK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.66% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-140.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-37.02%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRK will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.07% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRK will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-40.83%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5Y-1.07%
Revenue Next Year-24.52%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.73%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.90, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GPRK.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GPRK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.17% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.93, GPRK is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.42 indicates a reasonable valuation of GPRK.
GPRK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GPRK is cheaper than 72.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.31. GPRK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRK is valued cheaper than 96.63% of the companies in the same industry.
95.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GPRK, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of GPRK may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as GPRK's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.88% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPRK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.87%, which is a nice return.
GPRK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.34. GPRK pays more dividend than 85.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, GPRK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.87% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GPRK is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 69.74%!
GPRK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GPRK has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
GPRK pays out 37.90% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP37.9%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
6.64
-0.09 (-1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners37.33%
Inst Owner Change-5.03%
Ins Owners21.28%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap340.70M
Analysts82
Price Target11.73 (76.66%)
Short Float %5.52%
Short Ratio1.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.87% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
DP37.9%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.15%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.15%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-20.72%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.27%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.12%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-4.17%
PT rev (3m)-9.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-39.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.88%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-10.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.42 | ||
| P/S | 0.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.12 | ||
| P/B | 1.62 | ||
| P/tB | 1.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY12.65%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY11.88%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY40.95%
OCF(TTM)5.94
OCFY89.42%
SpS12.29
BVpS4.11
TBVpS4.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROCE | 24.85% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 28.82% | ||
| ROICexgc | 28.82% | ||
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% | ||
| FCFM | 22.12% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
ROICexc(3y)49.22%
ROICexc(5y)37.96%
ROICexgc(3y)49.22%
ROICexgc(5y)37.96%
ROCE(3y)45.37%
ROCE(5y)36.27%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.25%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 26.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 176.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
F-Score5
WACC8.27%
ROIC/WACC2.37
Cap/Depr(3y)161.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.85%
Profit Quality(3y)171.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-140.82%
EPS Next Y-40.83%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5Y-1.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-37.02%
Revenue Next Year-24.52%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.73%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.7%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.95%
EBIT growth 5Y2.58%
EBIT Next Year9.9%
EBIT Next 3Y7.06%
EBIT Next 5Y8.84%
FCF growth 1Y-52.75%
FCF growth 3Y47.31%
FCF growth 5Y20.72%
OCF growth 1Y-35.14%
OCF growth 3Y29.52%
OCF growth 5Y14.88%