GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

62.52 CAD
+0.51 (+0.82%)
Last:

This GFL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 19.61%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a better Return On Equity (51.81%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.66%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is below the industry average of 6.08%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.66%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.30%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.66%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 57.19% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Operating Margin of GFL (6.04%) is better than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.67%, GFL is doing worse than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. GFL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • GFL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 52.17% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 45.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 45.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 45.44, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.08, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.48% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.66%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.58) than 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of GFL (0.58) is worse than 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 34.92% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.85%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.47% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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3

4. GFL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 82.26, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, GFL is valued quite expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 63.67 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 82.26
Fwd PE 63.67
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 128.36
EV/EBITDA 17.53
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.59% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)2.36
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%

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5

5. GFL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.15%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.15, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.15, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of GFL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (4/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

62.52

+0.51 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners101.56%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.41B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts76.84
Price Target73.2 (17.08%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)-0.47%
PT rev (3m)-1.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 82.26
Fwd PE 63.67
P/S 3.39
P/FCF 128.36
P/OCF 17.03
P/B 3.07
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.53
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY1.22%
EPS(NY)0.98
Fwd EY1.57%
FCF(TTM)0.49
FCFY0.78%
OCF(TTM)3.67
OCFY5.87%
SpS18.46
BVpS20.37
TBVpS-3.76
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)2.36
Graham Number18.66
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.66%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 3.36%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score7
WACC7.66%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year189.5%
EBIT Next 3Y52.5%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 82.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.07.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GFL stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.82%.