GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
63.4 CAD
-0.68 (-1.06%)
Taking everything into account, GFL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFL was compared to 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GFL's Return On Assets of 19.14% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 46.28%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.89%, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.83% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 7.08%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.09%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.89%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.14% | ||
| ROE | 46.28% | ||
| ROIC | 1.89% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL's Profit Margin of 49.00% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of GFL (6.08%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.03%, GFL is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 49% | ||
| GM | 20.03% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.70. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of GFL (1.70) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.92. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 37.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GFL's Debt to FCF ratio of 37.92 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 45.83% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.7 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.21%
2.3 Liquidity
GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GFL (0.67) is worse than 70.83% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.67, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 70.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.60% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
GFL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.22%.
GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
3.2 Future
GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.45% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 88.06.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.53, GFL is valued quite expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 56.66, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.04.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 88.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 120.29 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.85 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 21.89% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.38, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
GFL pays out 0.86% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.86%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
TSX:GFL (10/15/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
63.4
-0.68 (-1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.72%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.97%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.87B
Analysts76.25
Price Target74.79 (17.97%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.86%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-340.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-167.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.31%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-39.7%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.15%
PT rev (1m)-2.76%
PT rev (3m)2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 88.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.66 | ||
| P/S | 3.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 120.29 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.43 | ||
| P/B | 2.98 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.85 |
EPS(TTM)0.72
EY1.14%
EPS(NY)1.12
Fwd EY1.76%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY0.83%
OCF(TTM)3.86
OCFY6.09%
SpS20.06
BVpS21.24
TBVpS-1.56
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.14% | ||
| ROE | 46.28% | ||
| ROCE | 2.63% | ||
| ROIC | 1.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.79% | ||
| OM | 6.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 49% | ||
| GM | 20.03% | ||
| FCFM | 2.63% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 82.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 5.36% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.7 |
F-Score6
WACC7.21%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%
EBIT growth 1Y40.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year257.18%
EBIT Next 3Y63.05%
EBIT Next 5Y42.41%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.86%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%