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FRONTERA ENERGY CORP (FEC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:FEC - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA35905B1076 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

6.29  -0.07 (-1.1%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to FEC. FEC was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. FEC has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. FEC has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FEC had positive earnings in the past year.
FEC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: FEC reported negative net income in multiple years.
FEC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FEC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFEC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

FEC has a Return On Assets (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 0.69%, FEC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.16%, FEC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.48% of the companies in the same industry.
FEC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.37%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.37%) for FEC is well above the current ROIC(4.16%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.41%
ROE 0.69%
ROIC 4.16%
ROA(3y)5.35%
ROA(5y)3.2%
ROE(3y)9.12%
ROE(5y)0.31%
ROIC(3y)8.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
FEC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFEC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100

1.3 Margins

FEC's Profit Margin of 1.06% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FEC outperforms 52.86% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 12.20%, FEC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.76% of the companies in the same industry.
FEC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of FEC (41.13%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
FEC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.2%
PM (TTM) 1.06%
GM 41.13%
OM growth 3Y-25.21%
OM growth 5Y-2.25%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.22%
GM growth 5Y-2.66%
FEC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFEC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), FEC is destroying value.
FEC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
FEC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FEC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
FEC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingFEC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
FEC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFEC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

FEC has an Altman-Z score of -0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that FEC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.71, FEC is doing worse than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FEC is 2.76, which is a good value as it means it would take FEC, 2.76 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
FEC has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.76) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that FEC is not too dependend on debt financing.
FEC has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 61.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.76
Altman-Z -0.71
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC8.9%
FEC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFEC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B -3B

2.3 Liquidity

FEC has a Current Ratio of 0.84. This is a bad value and indicates that FEC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FEC has a Current ratio (0.84) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that FEC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FEC (0.75) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.84
Quick Ratio 0.75
FEC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFEC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for FEC have decreased strongly by -93.99% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, FEC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.42% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.25% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-93.99%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%437.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.6%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.25%
Sales Q2Q%3.73%

3.2 Future

FEC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.09% yearly.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y80.95%
EPS Next 2Y14.09%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.56%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
FEC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFEC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
FEC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFEC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 5 -5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 34.94, which means the current valuation is very expensive for FEC.
FEC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.82. FEC is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 2.74, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of FEC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FEC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.21. FEC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.94
Fwd PE 2.74
FEC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFEC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of FEC indicates a rather cheap valuation: FEC is cheaper than 97.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
99.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FEC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.74
EV/EBITDA 1.6
FEC.CA Per share dataFEC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FEC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FEC's earnings are expected to grow with 14.09% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.09%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FEC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.93%.
FEC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.92.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, FEC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.93%

5.2 History

FEC has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
FEC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareFEC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2024 2025 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

127.72% of the earnings are spent on dividend by FEC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP127.72%
EPS Next 2Y14.09%
EPS Next 3YN/A
FEC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFEC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B
FEC.CA Dividend Payout.FEC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FEC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FRONTERA ENERGY CORP

TSX:FEC (8/1/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.29

-0.07 (-1.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08
Earnings (Next)08-13 2025-08-13
Inst Owners17.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap440.68M
Analysts45.71
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.93%
Yearly Dividend0.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP127.72%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date07-03 2025-07-03 (0.0625)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.94
Fwd PE 2.74
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 1.74
P/OCF 0.62
P/B 0.18
P/tB 0.18
EV/EBITDA 1.6
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY2.86%
EPS(NY)2.3
Fwd EY36.54%
FCF(TTM)3.62
FCFY57.59%
OCF(TTM)10.15
OCFY161.41%
SpS22.25
BVpS34.15
TBVpS34.15
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.41%
ROE 0.69%
ROCE 5.81%
ROIC 4.16%
ROICexc 4.49%
ROICexgc 4.49%
OM 12.2%
PM (TTM) 1.06%
GM 41.13%
FCFM 16.28%
ROA(3y)5.35%
ROA(5y)3.2%
ROE(3y)9.12%
ROE(5y)0.31%
ROIC(3y)8.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)9.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.64%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-25.37%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-13.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.42%
OM growth 3Y-25.21%
OM growth 5Y-2.25%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.22%
GM growth 5Y-2.66%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.76
Debt/EBITDA 1.16
Cap/Depr 124.85%
Cap/Sales 29.34%
Interest Coverage 2.85
Cash Conversion 127.78%
Profit Quality 1541.8%
Current Ratio 0.84
Quick Ratio 0.75
Altman-Z -0.71
F-Score6
WACC8.9%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)167.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.42%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-93.99%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%437.1%
EPS Next Y80.95%
EPS Next 2Y14.09%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.42%
Revenue growth 3Y7.6%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.25%
Sales Q2Q%3.73%
Revenue Next Year-2.56%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-33.06%
EBIT growth 3Y-19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y-6.4%
EBIT Next Year153.4%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y163.36%
FCF growth 3Y116.05%
FCF growth 5Y-2.03%
OCF growth 1Y1.25%
OCF growth 3Y15.78%
OCF growth 5Y-1.46%