ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS (AY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:AY • GB00BLP5YB54

21.99 USD
0 (0%)
At close: Dec 11, 2024
22 USD
+0.01 (+0.05%)
After Hours: 12/11/2024, 9:33:46 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AY scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AY was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AY while its profitability can be described as average. AY has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AY was profitable.
  • AY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AY reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years AY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AY has a Return On Assets (0.35%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 2.32%, AY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.65%, AY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AY is in line with the industry average of 4.00%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.00%) for AY is below the current ROIC(3.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 2.32%
ROIC 3.65%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.18%
ROE(3y)0.25%
ROE(5y)1.13%
ROIC(3y)3%
ROIC(5y)3.33%
AY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AY (2.59%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AY has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 30.88%, AY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AY has a better Gross Margin (97.65%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.88%
PM (TTM) 2.59%
GM 97.65%
OM growth 3Y-5.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.83%
PM growth 3Y49.34%
PM growth 5Y-0.21%
GM growth 3Y1.16%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
AY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • AY has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AY Yearly Shares OutstandingAY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • AY has an Altman-Z score of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that AY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AY's Altman-Z score of 0.66 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AY outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AY is 25.70, which is on the high side as it means it would take AY, 25.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AY's Debt to FCF ratio of 25.70 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AY outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.76 is on the high side and indicates that AY has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AY (3.76) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.76
Debt/FCF 25.7
Altman-Z 0.66
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC5.44%
AY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.25 indicates that AY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AY has a Current ratio (1.25) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AY has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that AY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AY has a Quick ratio of 1.20. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AY outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 1.2
AY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.56%.
  • AY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.48% yearly.
  • AY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.25%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.05% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.56%
EPS 3Y47.83%
EPS 5Y0.48%
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.25%
Revenue growth 3Y2.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.05%
Sales Q2Q%14.34%

3.2 Future

  • AY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 29.87% yearly.
  • AY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.79%
EPS Next 2Y42.67%
EPS Next 3Y49.96%
EPS Next 5Y29.87%
Revenue Next Year2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y5.78%
Revenue Next 5Y5.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B
AY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 75.83, AY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AY is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • AY is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.72 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AY.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AY is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 75.83
Fwd PE 25.72
AY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AY indicates a rather cheap valuation: AY is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.04
EV/EBITDA 9.24
AY Per share dataAY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of AY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AY's earnings are expected to grow with 49.96% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)156.96
EPS Next 2Y42.67%
EPS Next 3Y49.96%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.09%, AY is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.34, AY pays a better dividend. On top of this AY pays more dividend than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AY pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.09%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AY has a limited annual growth rate of 4.49%.
  • AY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AY has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.49%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AY Yearly Dividends per shareAY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 688.97% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AY. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AY's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP688.97%
EPS Next 2Y42.67%
EPS Next 3Y49.96%
AY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M
AY Dividend Payout.AY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS

NASDAQ:AY (12/11/2024, 9:33:46 PM)

After market: 22 +0.01 (+0.05%)

21.99

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-14
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners52.02%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.55B
Revenue(TTM)1.16B
Net Income(TTM)30.01M
Analysts45
Price Target22.27 (1.27%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.09%
Yearly Dividend1.78
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.49%
DP688.97%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-56.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-65.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-48.35%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)15.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-65.15%
Max EPS beat(4)109.23%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.85%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.06%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-36.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.97%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.86%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.97%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.44%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.24%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.29%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1172.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 75.83
Fwd PE 25.72
P/S 2.2
P/FCF 12.04
P/OCF 6.98
P/B 1.98
P/tB 1.98
EV/EBITDA 9.24
EPS(TTM)0.29
EY1.32%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY3.89%
FCF(TTM)1.83
FCFY8.31%
OCF(TTM)3.15
OCFY14.33%
SpS9.99
BVpS11.13
TBVpS11.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)156.96
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.35%
ROE 2.32%
ROCE 4.61%
ROIC 3.65%
ROICexc 3.97%
ROICexgc 3.97%
OM 30.88%
PM (TTM) 2.59%
GM 97.65%
FCFM 18.29%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.18%
ROE(3y)0.25%
ROE(5y)1.13%
ROIC(3y)3%
ROIC(5y)3.33%
ROICexc(3y)3.28%
ROICexc(5y)3.67%
ROICexgc(3y)3.28%
ROICexgc(5y)3.67%
ROCE(3y)3.81%
ROCE(5y)4.23%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.34%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.34%
OM growth 3Y-5.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.83%
PM growth 3Y49.34%
PM growth 5Y-0.21%
GM growth 3Y1.16%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.76
Debt/FCF 25.7
Debt/EBITDA 6.25
Cap/Depr 36.79%
Cap/Sales 13.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 47.15%
Profit Quality 707.13%
Current Ratio 1.25
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 0.66
F-Score5
WACC5.44%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.56%
EPS 3Y47.83%
EPS 5Y0.48%
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
EPS Next Y-33.79%
EPS Next 2Y42.67%
EPS Next 3Y49.96%
EPS Next 5Y29.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.25%
Revenue growth 3Y2.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.05%
Sales Q2Q%14.34%
Revenue Next Year2.26%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y5.78%
Revenue Next 5Y5.93%
EBIT growth 1Y2.3%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-6.86%
EBIT Next Year131.09%
EBIT Next 3Y36.27%
EBIT Next 5Y26.32%
FCF growth 1Y-61.35%
FCF growth 3Y-8.86%
FCF growth 5Y-3.72%
OCF growth 1Y-36.82%
OCF growth 3Y-3.97%
OCF growth 5Y-0.65%

ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS / AY FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AY.


What is the valuation status for AY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS (AY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AY stock?

ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS (AY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS?

The financial health rating of ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS (AY) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATLANTICA SUSTAINABLE INFRAS (AY) is expected to decline by -33.79% in the next year.