Avalara Inc (AVLR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AVLR • US05338G1067

Current stock price

93.48 USD
+0.03 (+0.03%)
At close:
93.49 USD
+0.01 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This AVLR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. AVLR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AVLR has reported negative net income.
  • AVLR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AVLR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVLR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.29%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVLR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVLR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100 -100 200 -200

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM -19.73%
PM (TTM) -21.08%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AVLR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVLR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. AVLR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AVLR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AVLR has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AVLR is higher compared to a year ago.
AVLR Yearly Shares OutstandingAVLR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M
AVLR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVLR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • AVLR has an Altman-Z score of 3.29. This indicates that AVLR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.94 indicates that AVLR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.29
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.29%
AVLR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVLR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.18 indicates that AVLR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AVLR has a Quick Ratio of 3.18. This indicates that AVLR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.18
Quick Ratio 3.18
AVLR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVLR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. AVLR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AVLR have decreased strongly by -160.00% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 32.60% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing by 33.09% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-160%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.6%
Revenue growth 3Y36.96%
Revenue growth 5Y33.09%
Sales Q2Q%23.38%

3.2 Future

  • AVLR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 103.52% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 21.63% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y106.12%
EPS Next 2Y82.58%
EPS Next 3Y94.62%
EPS Next 5Y103.52%
Revenue Next Year25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y23.42%
Revenue Next 3Y22.75%
Revenue Next 5Y21.63%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AVLR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVLR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
AVLR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVLR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3 4

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1

4. AVLR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AVLR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 467.37 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AVLR.
  • AVLR is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 467.37
AVLR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVLR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -1K -2K -3K

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA -69.1
AVLR Per share dataAVLR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AVLR's earnings are expected to grow with 94.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y82.58%
EPS Next 3Y94.62%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AVLR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AVLR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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AVLR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Avalara Inc

NYSE:AVLR (10/18/2022, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 93.49 +0.01 (+0.01%)

93.48

+0.03 (+0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)08-08
Earnings (Next)11-11
Inst Owners0.22%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners13.5%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.28B
Revenue(TTM)789.43M
Net Income(TTM)-166.38M
Analysts68.89
Price Target96.11 (2.81%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)120%
Min EPS beat(2)73.25%
Max EPS beat(2)166.75%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)79.77%
Min EPS beat(4)23.74%
Max EPS beat(4)166.75%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 467.37
P/S 10.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 414.9
P/B 8.07
P/tB 31.46
EV/EBITDA -69.1
EPS(TTM)-0.03
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.2
Fwd EY0.21%
FCF(TTM)-0.08
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.23
OCFY0.24%
SpS8.91
BVpS11.59
TBVpS2.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.29%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM -19.73%
PM (TTM) -21.08%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 62.78%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.18
Quick Ratio 3.18
Altman-Z 3.29
F-Score3
WACC11.29%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)59.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)93.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-160%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
EPS Next Y106.12%
EPS Next 2Y82.58%
EPS Next 3Y94.62%
EPS Next 5Y103.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.6%
Revenue growth 3Y36.96%
Revenue growth 5Y33.09%
Sales Q2Q%23.38%
Revenue Next Year25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y23.42%
Revenue Next 3Y22.75%
Revenue Next 5Y21.63%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-241.43%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y197.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Avalara Inc / AVLR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for Avalara Inc?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AVLR.


Can you provide the valuation status for Avalara Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Avalara Inc (AVLR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AVLR stock?

Avalara Inc (AVLR) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for Avalara Inc (AVLR) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Avalara Inc (AVLR) is expected to grow by 106.12% in the next year.