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ATS AUTOMATION TOOLING SYS (ATA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:ATA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0019401052 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

50.23  -1.12 (-2.18%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ATA. ATA was compared to 21 industry peers in the Machinery industry. ATA scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. ATA is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ATA was profitable.
In the past year ATA had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ATA has been profitable.
In the past 5 years ATA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ATA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFATA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.05%, ATA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
ATA has a better Return On Equity (13.29%) than 96.77% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of ATA (7.28%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ATA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.96%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.62%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.96%) for ATA is well above the current ROIC(7.28%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.05%
ROE 13.29%
ROIC 7.28%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)24.96%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ATA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICATA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

ATA has a better Profit Margin (5.68%) than 93.55% of its industry peers.
ATA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.35%, ATA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
ATA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ATA's Gross Margin of 28.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ATA outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ATA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.35%
PM (TTM) 5.68%
GM 28.27%
OM growth 3Y-1.34%
OM growth 5Y4.33%
PM growth 3Y-0.29%
PM growth 5Y10.07%
GM growth 3Y2.37%
GM growth 5Y2.56%
ATA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsATA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5 10 15 20 25

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ATA is creating value.
ATA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ATA is higher compared to a year ago.
ATA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingATA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M
ATA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsATA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

ATA has an Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is not the best score and indicates that ATA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.50, ATA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.23 is on the high side and indicates that ATA has dependencies on debt financing.
ATA's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.23 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ATA is outperformed by 61.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.23
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.5
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC8.59%
ATA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFATA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

ATA has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that ATA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ATA (1.49) is worse than 83.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.23 indicates that ATA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.23, ATA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 1.23
ATA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesATA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 39.39% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ATA shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.65% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 30.36% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 16.64% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.39%
EPS 3Y30.34%
EPS 5Y30.65%
EPS Q2Q%-5.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.36%
Revenue growth 3Y20.3%
Revenue growth 5Y16.64%
Sales Q2Q%12.8%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ATA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.52% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ATA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y14.34%
EPS Next 2Y14.43%
EPS Next 3Y13%
EPS Next 5Y12.52%
Revenue Next Year19.18%
Revenue Next 2Y12.71%
Revenue Next 3Y10.29%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ATA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesATA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
ATA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesATA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.84 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ATA.
ATA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ATA is cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.29, ATA is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.68 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ATA.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ATA is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.17. ATA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.84
Fwd PE 17.68
ATA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsATA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ATA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.63
ATA.CA Per share dataATA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ATA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
ATA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ATA's earnings are expected to grow with 13.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)0.71
EPS Next 2Y14.43%
EPS Next 3Y13%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ATA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATS AUTOMATION TOOLING SYS

TSX:ATA (1/19/2023, 7:00:00 PM)

50.23

-1.12 (-2.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)02-02 2022-02-02
Inst Owners40.15%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.59B
Analysts80
Price Target59.36 (18.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.21%
Min EPS beat(2)-27.2%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.22%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-27.2%
Max EPS beat(4)14.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-11.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.34%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.84
Fwd PE 17.68
P/S 1.95
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 108.51
P/B 4.58
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.63
EPS(TTM)2.3
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)2.84
Fwd EY5.66%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.46
OCFY0.92%
SpS25.69
BVpS10.98
TBVpS-6.59
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)0.71
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.05%
ROE 13.29%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 7.28%
ROICexc 7.58%
ROICexgc 24.94%
OM 9.35%
PM (TTM) 5.68%
GM 28.27%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)24.96%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.28%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.53%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.66%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.22%
OM growth 3Y-1.34%
OM growth 5Y4.33%
PM growth 3Y-0.29%
PM growth 5Y10.07%
GM growth 3Y2.37%
GM growth 5Y2.56%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.23
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.67
Cap/Depr 38.9%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 1.23
Altman-Z 2.5
F-Score7
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)56.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.39%
EPS 3Y30.34%
EPS 5Y30.65%
EPS Q2Q%-5.66%
EPS Next Y14.34%
EPS Next 2Y14.43%
EPS Next 3Y13%
EPS Next 5Y12.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.36%
Revenue growth 3Y20.3%
Revenue growth 5Y16.64%
Sales Q2Q%12.8%
Revenue Next Year19.18%
Revenue Next 2Y12.71%
Revenue Next 3Y10.29%
Revenue Next 5Y6.74%
EBIT growth 1Y33.16%
EBIT growth 3Y18.69%
EBIT growth 5Y21.69%
EBIT Next Year68.3%
EBIT Next 3Y25.34%
EBIT Next 5Y15.58%
FCF growth 1Y-127.37%
FCF growth 3Y23.41%
FCF growth 5Y8.17%
OCF growth 1Y-39.53%
OCF growth 3Y19.21%
OCF growth 5Y11.07%