ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, ASTL is valued expensive at the moment.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.

In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.

Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of ASTL (-9.83%) is worse than 70.97% of its industry peers.

ASTL's Return On Equity of -21.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 73.55% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

The number of shares outstanding for ASTL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

The debt/assets ratio for ASTL is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

ASTL's Altman-Z score of 1.13 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 72.90% of its industry peers.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.

Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.42, ASTL is doing worse than 72.90% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.13

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.04%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.31 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

With a decent Current ratio value of 3.31, ASTL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.26% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL has a Quick Ratio of 1.66. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.66, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.19% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2216.65% in the last year.

ASTL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.22% yearly.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.

Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.71% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 56.12% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

ASTL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.77% yearly.

EPS Next Y-491.43%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-11.42%

Revenue Next 2Y3.59%

Revenue Next 3Y5.77%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

ASTL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.36.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.

The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.39. ASTL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	16.36

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 56.12% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.73%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.

Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.85, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 90.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.73%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.

DP-7.17%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASTL (6/12/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 6.22 0 (0%)

6.22

-0.12 (-1.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)04-29 2025-04-29/amc

Earnings (Next)06-19 2025-06-19/amc

Inst Owners77.1%

Inst Owner Change-4.86%

Ins Owners4.77%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap652.66M

Analysts0

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %4.36%

Short Ratio3.97

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.73%

Yearly Dividend0.2

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.17%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-45.29%

Min EPS beat(2)-48.15%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)107.64%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)0.38%

Min Revenue beat(2)-6.97%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)1.52%

Min Revenue beat(4)-6.97%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)N/A

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)0%

EPS NQ rev (3m)0%

EPS NY rev (1m)-26.54%

EPS NY rev (3m)32.33%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.85%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.46%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	16.36
P/S	0.39
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.63
P/tB	0.63
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-1.94

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.38

Fwd EY6.11%

FCF(TTM)-2.81

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.09

OCFYN/A

SpS16.07

BVpS9.85

TBVpS9.84

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score1

Asset Turnover0.75

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	278.81%
Cap/Sales	16.88%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66
Altman-Z	1.13

F-Score1

WACC8.04%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-491.43%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-11.42%

Revenue Next 2Y3.59%

Revenue Next 3Y5.77%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-4335.79%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-162.69%

EBIT Next 3Y44.84%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-30.81%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y56.49%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

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