ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. ASTL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.

ASTL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.

Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.83%, ASTL is doing worse than 71.15% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL's Return On Equity of -21.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 71.79% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.

ASTL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding

ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.04, ASTL is doing worse than 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.42) is worse than 71.79% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.04

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC7.97%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.31 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a better Current ratio (3.31) than 68.59% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 1.66 indicates that ASTL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a Quick ratio of 1.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTL outperforms 51.28% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -2487.20%.

ASTL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.22% yearly.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.

The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.71% on average over the past years.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

ASTL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.54% yearly.

The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.49% on average over the next years.

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-15.89%

Revenue Next 2Y3.09%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.32, ASTL can be considered very expensive at the moment.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.

ASTL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	40.32

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.19%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.

The stock price of ASTL dropped by -20.87% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.

Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.84, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 90.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.

Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, ASTL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.19%

5.2 History

ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

5.3 Sustainability

ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.

DP-7.17%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASTL (8/15/2025, 8:05:58 PM)

After market: 4.55 0 (0%)

4.55

-0.12 (-2.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners74.1%

Inst Owner Change5.51%

Ins Owners4.12%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap477.43M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %5.24%

Short Ratio4.56

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.19%

Yearly Dividend0.19

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.17%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%

Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%

Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%

Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)N/A

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.7%

EPS NQ rev (3m)11.11%

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)-58.98%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.8%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.49%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.32%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.12%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	40.32
P/S	0.29
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.47
P/tB	0.47
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-2.18

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.11

Fwd EY2.48%

FCF(TTM)-2.79

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.09

OCFYN/A

SpS15.96

BVpS9.78

TBVpS9.77

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score1

Asset Turnover0.75

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	278.81%
Cap/Sales	16.88%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66
Altman-Z	1.04

F-Score1

WACC7.97%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-15.89%

Revenue Next 2Y3.09%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-4335.79%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-205.23%

EBIT Next 3Y40.74%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-30.81%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y56.49%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

More info and screens