ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

Overall ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ASTL against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ASTL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.

ASTL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.

Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.83%, ASTL is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL's Return On Equity of -21.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 72.73% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.

ASTL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

ASTL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.11, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

ASTL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.11) than 75.97% of its industry peers.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.42) is worse than 73.38% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.11

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.11%

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 3.31. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.31, ASTL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.13% of the companies in the same industry.

A Quick Ratio of 1.66 indicates that ASTL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a Quick ratio (1.66) which is in line with its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2216.65% in the last year.

The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth

The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.62% in the past year.

The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.71% on average over the past years.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

ASTL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.54% yearly.

The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.49% on average over the next years.

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-12.1%

Revenue Next 2Y3.4%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 54.54, ASTL can be considered very expensive at the moment.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.

ASTL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	54.54

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.85%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.65. ASTL pays more dividend than 91.56% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.35.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	2.85%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

5.3 Sustainability

ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.

DP-7.17%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASTL (7/25/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 6.23 0 (0%)

6.23

+0.22 (+3.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)06-19 2025-06-19/amc

Earnings (Next)07-29 2025-07-29/amc

Inst Owners72.51%

Inst Owner Change0%

Ins Owners4.79%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap653.71M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %4.88%

Short Ratio4.33

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	2.85%

Yearly Dividend0.2

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.17%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years2

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-41.39%

Min EPS beat(2)-42.43%

Max EPS beat(2)-40.35%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)109.58%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)1.21%

Min Revenue beat(2)-5.31%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%

Min Revenue beat(4)-5.31%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)N/A

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)-43%

EPS NQ rev (3m)11.73%

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)-58.98%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.41%

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.88%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	54.54
P/S	0.39
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.63
P/tB	0.63
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-1.95

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.11

Fwd EY1.83%

FCF(TTM)-2.82

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.09

OCFYN/A

SpS16.15

BVpS9.89

TBVpS9.89

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score1

Asset Turnover0.75

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	278.81%
Cap/Sales	16.88%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66
Altman-Z	1.11

F-Score1

WACC8.11%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-12.1%

Revenue Next 2Y3.4%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-4335.79%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-162.69%

EBIT Next 3Y44.84%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-30.81%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y56.49%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

More info and screens