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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:ASTL - CA0156581070 - Common Stock

4.31 USD
-0.19 (-4.22%)
Last: 10/27/2025, 8:03:54 PM
4.4 USD
+0.09 (+2.09%)
After Hours: 10/27/2025, 8:03:54 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, ASTL scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ASTL was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, ASTL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ASTL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

ASTL's Return On Assets of -10.46% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 70.78% of its industry peers.
ASTL's Return On Equity of -23.83% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 73.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.46%
ROE -23.83%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.
ASTL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding
ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ASTL Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ASTL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASTL has a worse Altman-Z score (0.88) than 79.87% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.48, ASTL is doing worse than 77.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.88
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.25%
ASTL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.46. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.46, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.95% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ASTL's Quick ratio of 0.98 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 70.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.98
ASTL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2487.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.22% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.62% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.54% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ASTL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 10

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year ASTL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL Per share dataASTL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.38%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.48. ASTL pays more dividend than 88.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, ASTL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.38%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
ASTL Yearly Dividends per shareASTL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-7.27%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
ASTL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASTL (10/27/2025, 8:03:54 PM)

After market: 4.4 +0.09 (+2.09%)

4.31

-0.19 (-4.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners76.87%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap452.25M
Revenue(TTM)2.80B
Net Income(TTM)-308200000
Analysts43.33
Price Target10.2 (136.66%)
Short Float %5.42%
Short Ratio2.62
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.38%
Yearly Dividend0.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-7.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-10.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.28
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 225.85
P/B 0.49
P/tB 0.49
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.34
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.89
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.02
OCFY0.44%
SpS15.66
BVpS8.81
TBVpS8.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.46%
ROE -23.83%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 297.21%
Cap/Sales 18.55%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 0.88
F-Score2
WACC7.25%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3676.84%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-234.3%
EBIT Next 3Y31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-37.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y109.09%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL) is expected to decline by -955.85% in the next year.