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Ardagh Group SA (ARD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:ARD -

24.75 USD
+0.63 (+2.61%)
Last: 10/5/2021, 8:42:00 PM
24.72 USD
-0.03 (-0.12%)
After Hours: 10/5/2021, 8:42:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, ARD scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ARD was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. ARD has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, ARD is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ARD was profitable.

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.05%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.03%
PM (TTM) -0.08%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ARD has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.

2.2 Solvency

ARD has an Altman-Z score of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that ARD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
A Debt/Equity ratio of -34.80 indicates that ARD is not too dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity -34.8
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.62
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A

2.3 Liquidity

ARD has a Current Ratio of 2.77. This indicates that ARD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 2.30 indicates that ARD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.77
Quick Ratio 2.3

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ARD have decreased by -5.39% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ARD shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -6.97% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 9.39% in the past year. This is quite good.
ARD shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y-6.97%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.05%
Sales Q2Q%16.69%

3.2 Future

ARD is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.94% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ARD will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%
EPS Next 5Y17.94%
Revenue Next Year10.92%
Revenue Next 2Y8.75%
Revenue Next 3Y8.72%
Revenue Next 5Y8.07%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ARD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
ARD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.66, ARD is valued correctly.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, ARD is valued a bit cheaper.
ARD is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.01.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.88. ARD is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.66
Fwd PE 13.01
ARD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.25
ARD Per share dataARD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
ARD's earnings are expected to grow with 16.76% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ARD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.42%.
ARD's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.42%

5.2 History

The dividend of ARD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 12.62%!
ARD has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.62%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
ARD Yearly Dividends per shareARD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2020 2021 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

ARD has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
ARD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-2350%
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%

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Ardagh Group SA

NYSE:ARD (10/5/2021, 8:42:00 PM)

After market: 24.72 -0.03 (-0.12%)

24.75

+0.63 (+2.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)02-18 2022-02-18/bmo
Inst Owners0.01%
Inst Owner Change-5.1%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap461.83M
Revenue(TTM)7.15B
Net Income(TTM)-6000000
Analysts84
Price Target30.45 (23.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.42%
Yearly Dividend0.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.62%
DP-2350%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.66
Fwd PE 13.01
P/S 0.06
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.25
EPS(TTM)1.58
EY6.38%
EPS(NY)1.9
Fwd EY7.69%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS383.23
BVpS-14.15
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.05%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 6.03%
PM (TTM) -0.08%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity -34.8
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.77
Quick Ratio 2.3
Altman-Z 0.62
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y-6.97%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.62%
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%
EPS Next 5Y17.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.05%
Sales Q2Q%16.69%
Revenue Next Year10.92%
Revenue Next 2Y8.75%
Revenue Next 3Y8.72%
Revenue Next 5Y8.07%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Ardagh Group SA / ARD FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ARD stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ARD.


What is the valuation status for ARD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to Ardagh Group SA (ARD). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Ardagh Group SA (ARD) stock?

Ardagh Group SA (ARD) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the financial health of Ardagh Group SA (ARD) stock?

The financial health rating of Ardagh Group SA (ARD) is 6 / 10.


Is the dividend of Ardagh Group SA sustainable?

The dividend rating of Ardagh Group SA (ARD) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -2350%.