Ardagh Group SA (ARD)
ARD gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 23 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. ARD has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ARD is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ARD was profitable.
1.2 Ratios
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.05% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | -0.08% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ARD has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
ARD has an Altman-Z score of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that ARD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ARD has a Debt/Equity ratio of -34.80. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | -34.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.62 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
ARD has a Current Ratio of 2.77. This indicates that ARD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 2.30 indicates that ARD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ARD have decreased by -5.39% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ARD shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -6.97% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 9.39% in the past year. This is quite good.
ARD shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y-6.97%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS growth Q2Q21.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.05%
Revenue growth Q2Q16.69%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.94% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, ARD will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%
EPS Next 5Y17.94%
Revenue Next Year10.92%
Revenue Next 2Y8.75%
Revenue Next 3Y8.72%
Revenue Next 5Y8.07%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ARD is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.66.
ARD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.92.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.01 indicates a correct valuation of ARD.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.49, ARD is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ARD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
ARD's earnings are expected to grow with 16.76% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ARD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.42%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, ARD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.42% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ARD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 12.62%!
ARD has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.62%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of ARD are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ARD will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
ARD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-2350%
EPS Next 2Y14.94%
EPS Next 3Y16.76%
Ardagh Group SA
NYSE:ARD (10/5/2021, 7:42:00 PM)
After market: 24.72 -0.03 (-0.12%)24.75
+0.63 (+2.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap461.83M
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.42% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.01 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.05% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 6.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | -0.08% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | -34.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y-6.97%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y9.94%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.83%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y