ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMR - US0207641061 - Common Stock
199.88 USD
-2.23 (-1.1%)
199.88 USD
0 (0%)
AMR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. No worries on liquidiy or solvency for AMR as it has an excellent financial health rating, but there are worries on the profitability. AMR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
AMR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AMR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AMR has a Return On Assets of -1.98%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMR outperforms 46.79% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AMR (-2.92%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMR has declined.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
AMR has a Gross Margin of 10.75%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMR underperforms 60.26% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
AMR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AMR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.62 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AMR (4.62) is better than 60.90% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR is 0.12, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AMR, only 0.12 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR (0.12) is better than 94.87% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.62 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.26%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 3.95. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AMR's Current ratio of 3.95 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 71.79% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Quick Ratio of 3.11. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AMR has a better Quick ratio (3.11) than 70.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -112.98% in the last year.
AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% yearly.
AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -32.53%.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.55% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-124.91%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.04, AMR is valued correctly.
67.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AMR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, AMR is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 67.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 62.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMR has a yearly dividend return of 0.73%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.98, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-0.89%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
199.88
-2.23 (-1.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.93%
Inst Owner Change3.39%
Ins Owners6.04%
Ins Owner Change8.59%
Market Cap2.57B
Revenue(TTM)2.23B
Net Income(TTM)-46.55M
Analysts75
Price Target188.36 (-5.76%)
Short Float %13.22%
Short Ratio5.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.77%
Min EPS beat(2)20.79%
Max EPS beat(2)84.75%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-12%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.68%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.47%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-157.84%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-114.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.04 | ||
| P/S | 1.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 62.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.11 | ||
| P/B | 1.61 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
EPS(TTM)-3.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)14.24
Fwd EY7.12%
FCF(TTM)3.21
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)14.17
OCFY7.09%
SpS173.12
BVpS123.8
TBVpS121.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.98% | ||
| ROE | -2.92% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.75% | ||
| FCFM | 1.86% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 122.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.62 |
F-Score5
WACC10.26%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
EPS Next Y-124.91%
EPS Next 2Y0.11%
EPS Next 3Y8.79%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-32.53%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-106.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-33.15%
EBIT Next 3Y31.35%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-93.02%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.22%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.
Can you provide the valuation status for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for AMR stock?
The financial health rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 8 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?
The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.89%.