ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR)
US0207641061 - Common Stock
Overall AMR gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated AMR against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making AMR a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. AMR is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. These ratings would make AMR suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AMR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 30.01%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 45.87%, AMR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.70% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a better Return On Invested Capital (36.76%) than 99.35% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 8.85%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (36.76%) for AMR is well below the 3 year average (44.23%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AMR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 30.01% | ||
| ROE | 45.87% | ||
| ROIC | 36.76% |
ROA(3y)36.06%
ROA(5y)13.57%
ROE(3y)66.66%
ROE(5y)-13.76%
ROIC(3y)44.23%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR's Profit Margin of 20.80% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
AMR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AMR has a better Operating Margin (24.86%) than 83.77% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 32.13%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.8% | ||
| GM | 32.13% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y15.57%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y7.14%
GM growth 3Y49.86%
GM growth 5Y12.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMR is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.17 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.17, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.52% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.02, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.16% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AMR (0.00) is better than 74.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.17 |
ROIC/WACC3.97
WACC9.26%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 3.38. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 3.38, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.64 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.64, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -37.44% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.38% on average per year.
AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.36%.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.44%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y31.38%
EPS growth Q2Q-2.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.36%
Revenue growth 3Y34.83%
Revenue growth 5Y11.31%
Revenue growth Q2Q16.59%
3.2 Future
AMR is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -22.04% yearly.
AMR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y-25.81%
EPS Next 2Y-19.17%
EPS Next 3Y-22.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.86%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.84%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.67, the valuation of AMR can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.55. AMR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.99 indicates a reasonable valuation of AMR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AMR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 20.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 92.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMR is valued cheaper than 92.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to decrease with -22.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.21
EPS Next 2Y-19.17%
EPS Next 3Y-22.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMR has a yearly dividend return of 0.59%, which is pretty low.
In the last 3 months the price of AMR has falen by -20.09%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.89, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.59% |
5.2 History
AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
15.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP15.65%
EPS Next 2Y-19.17%
EPS Next 3Y-22.04%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE
NYSE:AMR (5/2/2024, 11:21:10 AM)
326.15
+3.67 (+1.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap4.24B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.59% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
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Revenue beat(2)
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Revenue NQ rev (1m)
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Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.99 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.21
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 30.01% | ||
| ROE | 45.87% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 24.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.8% | ||
| GM | 32.13% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.44%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y-25.81%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.36%
Revenue growth 3Y34.83%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
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OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
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