ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMR • US0207641061

Current stock price

223.26 USD
+7.34 (+3.4%)
At close:
227.65 USD
+4.39 (+1.97%)
After Hours:

This AMR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AMR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AMR has reported negative net income.
  • AMR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AMR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AMR had a positive operating cash flow.
AMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • AMR has a Return On Assets (-2.70%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AMR has a Return On Equity (-3.99%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • AMR's Gross Margin of 9.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 40.25% of its industry peers.
  • AMR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
AMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

8

2. AMR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AMR Yearly Shares OutstandingAMR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
AMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.84 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.84, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR is 0.75, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AMR, only 0.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.75, AMR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • AMR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.01) than 72.96% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 4.84
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC12.5%
AMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.47. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AMR's Current ratio of 4.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 75.47% of its industry peers.
  • AMR has a Quick Ratio of 3.53. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AMR's Quick ratio of 3.53 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 71.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
AMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

3

3. AMR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -130.05% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.99% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.50% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 38.71% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.24% on average per year.
EPS Next Y330.71%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue Next Year11.79%
Revenue Next 2Y12.74%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
AMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4

4. AMR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AMR reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.66, AMR is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say AMR is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 22.66
AMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AMR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AMR is cheaper than 60.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AMR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 160.66
EV/EBITDA 20.27
AMR Per share dataAMR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 100.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%

1

5. AMR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.19.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%

5.2 History

  • AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AMR Yearly Dividends per shareAMR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • AMR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-0.67%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
AMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

AMR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE

NYSE:AMR (3/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 227.65 +4.39 (+1.97%)

223.26

+7.34 (+3.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners89.8%
Inst Owner Change-7.55%
Ins Owners6.79%
Ins Owner Change6.93%
Market Cap2.86B
Revenue(TTM)2.13B
Net Income(TTM)-61.69M
Analysts49.09
Price Target204.68 (-8.32%)
Short Float %17.66%
Short Ratio6.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.73%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.86%
Min EPS beat(2)14.92%
Max EPS beat(2)20.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.45%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.97%
PT rev (1m)1.52%
PT rev (3m)8.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)46.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)222.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-30.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 22.66
P/S 1.34
P/FCF 160.66
P/OCF 19.7
P/B 1.85
P/tB 1.89
EV/EBITDA 20.27
EPS(TTM)-4.27
EYN/A
EPS(NY)9.85
Fwd EY4.41%
FCF(TTM)1.39
FCFY0.62%
OCF(TTM)11.33
OCFY5.08%
SpS166.5
BVpS120.84
TBVpS118.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.7%
ROE -3.99%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 9.62%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)11.66%
ROA(5y)22.64%
ROE(3y)17.75%
ROE(5y)41.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-39.88%
GM growth 5Y0.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.93
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.75
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 70.66%
Cap/Sales 5.97%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 122.21%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.47
Quick Ratio 3.53
Altman-Z 4.84
F-Score4
WACC12.5%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)117.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-443.75%
EPS Next Y330.71%
EPS Next 2Y167.52%
EPS Next 3Y100.9%
EPS Next 5Y38.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-19.63%
Revenue growth 5Y8.5%
Sales Q2Q%-15.69%
Revenue Next Year11.79%
Revenue Next 2Y12.74%
Revenue Next 3Y8.99%
Revenue Next 5Y5.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-126.93%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year707.23%
EBIT Next 3Y128.25%
EBIT Next 5Y78.4%
FCF growth 1Y-95.34%
FCF growth 3Y-76.21%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-75.01%
OCF growth 3Y-53.95%
OCF growth 5Y2.32%

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?

ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AMR stock?

The financial health rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 8 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?

The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.67%.