ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMR - US0207641061 - Common Stock
157.06 USD
+2.53 (+1.64%)
157.06 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AMR. AMR was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AMR has a great health rating, there are worries on its profitability. AMR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had negative earnings in the past year.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AMR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -1.57%, AMR is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.70% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Return On Equity (-2.31%) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.57% | ||
| ROE | -2.31% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMR has declined.
AMR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AMR's Gross Margin of 10.43% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
AMR does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.43% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
AMR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.19 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.19, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.99% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.03. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.03 is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 96.75% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.49%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.06 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR has a better Current ratio (4.06) than 73.38% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.21 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR has a better Quick ratio (3.21) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -112.98%.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% on average per year.
The Revenue for AMR has decreased by -14.81% in the past year. This is quite bad
AMR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
3.2 Future
AMR is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -1.55% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-125.66%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AMR. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.57, the valuation of AMR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 76.62% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.46), we can say AMR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued a bit cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMR has a yearly dividend return of 0.73%, which is pretty low.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.63.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.73, AMR pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of AMR are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMR will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-1.11%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
157.06
+2.53 (+1.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.82%
Inst Owner Change3.12%
Ins Owners5.95%
Ins Owner Change10.29%
Market Cap2.05B
Revenue(TTM)2.96B
Net Income(TTM)-37.23M
Analysts75
Price Target187.68 (19.5%)
Short Float %12.43%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.05%
Min EPS beat(2)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(2)84.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-36.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-142.85%
Max EPS beat(4)84.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.36%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-10.77%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-6.53%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.79%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.98%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.11%
PT rev (1m)6.56%
PT rev (3m)30.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-107.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)56.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)-41.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.57 | ||
| P/S | 0.86 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.38 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | 1.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.1 |
EPS(TTM)-3.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)14.86
Fwd EY9.46%
FCF(TTM)13.33
FCFY8.48%
OCF(TTM)24.61
OCFY15.67%
SpS181.72
BVpS123.66
TBVpS120.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.57% | ||
| ROE | -2.31% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 10.43% | ||
| FCFM | 7.33% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.03 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 82.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 206.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
F-Score5
WACC9.49%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-112.98%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-244.83%
EPS Next Y-125.66%
EPS Next 2Y2.27%
EPS Next 3Y5.82%
EPS Next 5Y-1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-21.6%
Revenue Next Year-25.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.34%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.61%
EBIT growth 1Y-104.09%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-35.48%
EBIT Next 3Y24.71%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-81.75%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-72.7%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE / AMR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AMR.
What is the valuation status for AMR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AMR stock?
ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is expected to decline by -125.66% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMR stock?
The dividend rating of ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) is 1 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.11%.