ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to AMR. AMR was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making AMR a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. AMR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMR was profitable.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AMR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AMR's Return On Assets of 7.69% is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.37%, AMR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 82.58% of its industry peers.
AMR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 39.19%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.10%.
The 3 year average ROIC (39.19%) for AMR is well above the current ROIC(9.08%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AMR's Profit Margin of 6.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 73.55% of its industry peers.
AMR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.70%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AMR has a Gross Margin (17.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMR is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMR has less shares outstanding
AMR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.25 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
AMR has a Altman-Z score of 4.25. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 69.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AMR is 0.02, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AMR, only 0.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AMR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.02) than 95.48% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that AMR is not too dependend on debt financing.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC9.95%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.13 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AMR has a Current ratio of 4.13. This is in the better half of the industry: AMR outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.45 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.45, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.13% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMR have decreased strongly by -95.13% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.81% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.12% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
3.2 Future
AMR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.20% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.32%
EPS Next 2Y44.3%
EPS Next 3Y18.2%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AMR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 54.47.
AMR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.55, AMR is valued quite expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 3.72, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AMR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AMR is valued cheaper than 98.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.40. AMR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued cheaper than 98.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 98.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 18.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.3%
EPS Next 3Y18.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.85, AMR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMR pays out 1.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.64%
EPS Next 2Y44.3%
EPS Next 3Y18.2%
NYSE:AMR (6/12/2025, 11:09:30 AM)
110.025
-1.29 (-1.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.54%
Inst Owner Change0.55%
Ins Owners5.34%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap1.44B
Analysts76.67
Price Target184.62 (67.8%)
Short Float %13.48%
Short Ratio4.83
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)0.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.33%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.95%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.55%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-44.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-133.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-68.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-13.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.48 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.43 |
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY1.84%
EPS(NY)29.59
Fwd EY26.89%
FCF(TTM)29.2
FCFY26.54%
OCF(TTM)44.44
OCFY40.39%
SpS226.61
BVpS126.4
TBVpS123.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.92% | ||
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% | ||
| FCFM | 12.89% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)48.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-20%
ROICexcg growth 5Y64.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y65.48%
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 144.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 203.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.25 |
F-Score6
WACC9.95%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
EPS Next Y-27.32%
EPS Next 2Y44.3%
EPS Next 3Y18.2%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-13.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.68%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-37.09%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.87%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%