ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AMR scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AMR was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making AMR a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. AMR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMR had positive earnings in the past year.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 7.69%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.08% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Return On Equity of 11.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 82.17% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.08%, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 11.60%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.08%) for AMR is well below the 3 year average (39.19%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AMR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AMR (6.34%) is better than 73.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMR has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.70%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.78% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMR has grown nicely.
AMR has a Gross Margin (17.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AMR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
AMR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.48 indicates that AMR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AMR (4.48) is better than 70.06% of its industry peers.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.02, AMR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.54% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AMR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. AMR outperforms 80.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.48 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC9.95%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 4.13, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.80% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a Quick Ratio of 3.45. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AMR's Quick ratio of 3.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 73.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -95.13%.
AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.81% in the last year.
AMR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.32% on average over the next years.
AMR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-119.43%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y5.32%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.6%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.95%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 66.49, the valuation of AMR can be described as expensive.
AMR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AMR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.04.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.75, the valuation of AMR can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 96.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 66.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 98.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y5.32%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.61.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
1.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.64%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y5.32%
134.31
-3.78 (-2.74%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.72%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners5.23%
Ins Owner Change-0.8%
Market Cap1.75B
Analysts76.67
Price Target148.41 (10.5%)
Short Float %17.64%
Short Ratio5.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)0.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.33%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.95%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.55%
PT rev (1m)-19.61%
PT rev (3m)-20.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13771.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)-126.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.7%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.85%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 66.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.75 | ||
| P/S | 0.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.02 | ||
| P/B | 1.06 | ||
| P/tB | 1.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY1.5%
EPS(NY)28.28
Fwd EY21.06%
FCF(TTM)29.2
FCFY21.74%
OCF(TTM)44.44
OCFY33.09%
SpS226.61
BVpS126.4
TBVpS123.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.92% | ||
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% | ||
| FCFM | 12.89% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)48.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-20%
ROICexcg growth 5Y64.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y65.48%
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 144.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 203.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.48 |
F-Score6
WACC9.95%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
EPS Next Y-119.43%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y5.32%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
Revenue Next Year-23.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.6%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.95%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-13.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.68%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-37.09%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.87%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%