ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCE (AMR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AMR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0207641061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to AMR. AMR was compared to 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AMR has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. AMR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMR was profitable.
In the past year AMR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AMR 4 years were profitable.
AMR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AMR has a Return On Assets of 7.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 84.42% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AMR (11.37%) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AMR (9.08%) is better than 82.47% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMR is significantly above the industry average of 11.67%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.08%) for AMR is well below the 3 year average (39.19%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AMR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.34%, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMR has declined.
AMR's Operating Margin of 7.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMR outperforms 61.04% of its industry peers.
AMR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 17.10%, AMR is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.30% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% |
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMR is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for AMR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
AMR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AMR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AMR has an Altman-Z score of 4.30. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.30, AMR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.13% of the companies in the same industry.
AMR has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is amongst the best in the industry. AMR outperforms 96.10% of its industry peers.
AMR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AMR (0.00) is better than 81.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.3 |
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC9.69%
2.3 Liquidity
AMR has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that AMR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AMR (4.13) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.45 indicates that AMR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.45, AMR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.97% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AMR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -95.13%.
AMR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.85% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AMR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.81% in the last year.
AMR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AMR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.57% on average per year.
AMR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-99.86%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 57.74, AMR can be considered very expensive at the moment.
AMR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.45), we can say AMR is valued expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.12 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AMR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 97.40% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 98.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AMR indicates a rather cheap valuation: AMR is cheaper than 98.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of AMR may justify a higher PE ratio.
AMR's earnings are expected to grow with 16.57% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.73%, AMR is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AMR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.98.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, AMR's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
5.2 History
AMR does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
1.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AMR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.64%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
116.64
-2.15 (-1.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.72%
Inst Owner Change0.55%
Ins Owners5.23%
Ins Owner Change1.15%
Market Cap1.52B
Analysts76.67
Price Target184.62 (58.28%)
Short Float %14.65%
Short Ratio5.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% |
Yearly Dividend0.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-44.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(2)0.99%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-89.67%
Max EPS beat(4)0.99%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.33%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.95%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.55%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-33.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-523.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-99.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-99.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-13.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.12 | ||
| P/S | 0.51 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.99 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.62 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | 0.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.6 |
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY1.73%
EPS(NY)28.28
Fwd EY24.25%
FCF(TTM)29.2
FCFY25.03%
OCF(TTM)44.44
OCFY38.1%
SpS226.61
BVpS126.4
TBVpS123.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.69% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 10.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.92% | ||
| OM | 7.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.34% | ||
| GM | 17.1% | ||
| FCFM | 12.89% |
ROA(3y)33.45%
ROA(5y)17.86%
ROE(3y)52.85%
ROE(5y)-2.4%
ROIC(3y)39.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)48.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)44.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-20%
ROICexcg growth 5Y64.08%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y65.48%
OM growth 3Y-22.8%
OM growth 5Y51.85%
PM growth 3Y-20.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-12.72%
GM growth 5Y0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 144.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 203.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.3 |
F-Score6
WACC9.69%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)137.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)126.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.13%
EPS 3Y-1.85%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-127.11%
EPS Next Y-99.86%
EPS Next 2Y41.07%
EPS Next 3Y16.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.4%
Revenue growth 5Y8.12%
Sales Q2Q%-38.44%
Revenue Next Year-21.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.3%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.38%
Revenue Next 5Y0.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.54%
EBIT growth 5Y64.18%
EBIT Next Year-13.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.68%
EBIT Next 5Y31.75%
FCF growth 1Y-37.09%
FCF growth 3Y60.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-31.87%
OCF growth 3Y49.12%
OCF growth 5Y34.47%