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ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AIC - US0413565021

24.3301 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Last: 1/5/2024, 8:04:00 PM
24.29 USD
-0.04 (-0.16%)
After Hours: 1/5/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, AIC scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AIC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AIC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AIC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AIC was profitable.
  • AIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
AIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • AIC has a Return On Assets of -0.27%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AIC underperforms 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • AIC has a worse Return On Equity (-1.08%) than 65.08% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.19%, AIC is not doing good in the industry: 65.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.27%
ROE -1.08%
ROIC 0.19%
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AIC has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.02%, AIC is doing worse than 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIC has declined.
  • AIC has a Gross Margin of 36.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AIC outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • AIC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 36.78%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
AIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -500 -1K

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, AIC has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AIC is higher compared to a year ago.
AIC Yearly Shares OutstandingAIC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M
AIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • AIC has an Altman-Z score of -2.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AIC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AIC's Altman-Z score of -2.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIC is outperformed by 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that AIC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.01, AIC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.77
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AIC has a Current Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AIC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AIC's Current ratio of 0.36 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AIC outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AIC has a Quick ratio (0.36) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.36
AIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AIC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.39%, which is quite good.
  • AIC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -33.34% yearly.
  • AIC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.04%.
  • The Revenue for AIC have been decreasing by -16.37% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.66% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.80% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-0.01%
EPS Next 2Y-4.66%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.8%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M
AIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 90.11, AIC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • AIC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AIC is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AIC is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 89.22 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AIC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AIC indicates a rather expensive valuation: AIC more expensive than 93.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AIC is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 90.11
Fwd PE 89.22
AIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AIC Per share dataAIC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.66% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.66%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AIC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.94%, which is a nice return.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 6.94, AIC pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 11.26. 93.65% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than AIC!
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AIC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.94%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AIC decreases each year by -47.16%.
  • AIC has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AIC Yearly Dividends per shareAIC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of AIC are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AIC will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • AIC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP-86.96%
EPS Next 2Y-4.66%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AIC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAIC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 / AIC FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AIC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AIC.


Can you provide the valuation status for ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AIC stock?

ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC) is 90.11 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.23.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AIC stock?

The dividend rating of ARLINGTON ASSET INVEST - AAIC 6 3/4 03/15/25 (AIC) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.