AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

Q: Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AESC.

NYSE:AESC • US00130H2040

62.61 USD

+0.66 (+1.07%)

Last: Feb 14, 2024, 08:25 PM

This AESC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1. AESC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AESC was profitable.
In the past year AESC had a positive cash flow from operations.

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -1.30%, AESC is not doing good in the industry: 76.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AESC's Return On Equity of -20.15% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AESC is outperformed by 80.95% of its industry peers.
AESC's Return On Invested Capital of 5.43% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AESC outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
AESC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.99%. This is above the industry average of 3.44%.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-1.3%
ROE	-20.15%
ROIC	5.43%

ROA(3y)-0.84%

ROA(5y)0.41%

ROE(3y)-11.76%

ROE(5y)2.47%

ROIC(3y)6.99%

ROIC(5y)6.74%

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of AESC (18.49%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AESC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AESC (20.16%) is worse than 76.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AESC has declined.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	18.49%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	20.16%

OM growth 3Y-4.04%

OM growth 5Y-3.04%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y-4.32%

GM growth 5Y-2.9%

More info and screens

ROA ROE ROIC Operating and Profit Margin Show most profitable peers

2. AESC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

AESC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AESC has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AESC has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

AESC has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AESC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AESC has a better Altman-Z score (1.02) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
AESC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.50. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 8.50, AESC is not doing good in the industry: 95.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	8.5
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.02

ROIC/WACC0.76

WACC7.13%

2.3 Liquidity

AESC has a Current Ratio of 0.83. This is a bad value and indicates that AESC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AESC's Current ratio of 0.83 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AESC is outperformed by 80.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that AESC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.74, AESC is doing worse than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.83
Quick Ratio	0.74

More info and screens

WACC Debt/Equity How to determine the health of a company Altman-Z score Show peers with great health

3. AESC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

AESC shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.75%.
Measured over the past years, AESC shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 8.91% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.51% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.68% on average over the past years.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.75%

EPS 3Y6.82%

EPS 5Y8.91%

EPS Q2Q%-4.76%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.51%

Revenue growth 3Y7.38%

Revenue growth 5Y3.68%

Sales Q2Q%-5.32%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.92% on average over the next years.
AESC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.31% yearly.

EPS Next Y4.32%

EPS Next 2Y7.13%

EPS Next 3Y7.74%

EPS Next 5Y6.92%

Revenue Next Year4.09%

Revenue Next 2Y3.16%

Revenue Next 3Y3.17%

Revenue Next 5Y5.31%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocks Show best growing peers

4. AESC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 41.19 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AESC.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AESC.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.34, AESC is valued quite expensively.
AESC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.67.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AESC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AESC is cheaper than 61.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AESC to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.18), we can say AESC is valued inline with the index average.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	41.19
Fwd PE	32.67

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AESC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.90% of the companies are valued more cheaply.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	19.28

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AESC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.

PEG (NY)9.54

PEG (5Y)4.62

EPS Next 2Y7.13%

EPS Next 3Y7.74%

More info and screens

Price/Earnings Price/FCF FCF per share EV/EBITDA PEG RATIO Show best valued peers

5. AESC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

AESC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.31%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.21, AESC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AESC pays a better dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	4.31%

5.2 History

The dividend of AESC has a limited annual growth rate of 5.62%.
AESC has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.

Dividend Growth(5Y)5.62%

Div Incr Years2

Div Non Decr Years2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of AESC are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AESC will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of AESC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.

DP-78.39%

EPS Next 2Y7.13%

EPS Next 3Y7.74%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocks Show peers with best dividend

AESC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24

NYSE:AESC (2/14/2024, 8:25:21 PM)

62.61

+0.66 (+1.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorUtilities

GICS IndustryGroupUtilities

GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers

Earnings (Last)11-02 2023-11-02/amc

Earnings (Next)02-26 2024-02-26/amc

Inst OwnersN/A

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins OwnersN/A

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap41.93B

Revenue(TTM)12.76B

Net Income(TTM)-560.00M

Analysts77.78

Price Target88.34 (41.1%)

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	4.31%

Yearly Dividend0.63

Dividend Growth(5Y)5.62%

DP-78.39%

Div Incr Years2

Div Non Decr Years2

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)1

Avg EPS beat(2)2.74%

Min EPS beat(2)-4.4%

Max EPS beat(2)9.88%

EPS beat(4)2

Avg EPS beat(4)1.48%

Min EPS beat(4)-4.4%

Max EPS beat(4)9.88%

EPS beat(8)5

Avg EPS beat(8)1.05%

EPS beat(12)8

Avg EPS beat(12)2.47%

EPS beat(16)10

Avg EPS beat(16)2.33%

Revenue beat(2)0

Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.63%

Min Revenue beat(2)-4.72%

Max Revenue beat(2)-2.54%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)1.75%

Min Revenue beat(4)-4.72%

Max Revenue beat(4)12.94%

Revenue beat(8)5

Avg Revenue beat(8)7.43%

Revenue beat(12)8

Avg Revenue beat(12)7.79%

Revenue beat(16)8

Avg Revenue beat(16)3.05%

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)-0.19%

EPS NQ rev (1m)6.18%

EPS NQ rev (3m)14.87%

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)3.37%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.43%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.23%

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)0.6%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	41.19
Fwd PE	32.67
P/S	3.29
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	12.08
P/B	15.09
P/tB	330.12
EV/EBITDA	19.28

EPS(TTM)1.52

EY2.43%

EPS(NY)1.92

Fwd EY3.06%

FCF(TTM)-5.47

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)5.18

OCFY8.28%

SpS19.06

BVpS4.15

TBVpS0.19

PEG (NY)9.54

PEG (5Y)4.62

Graham NumberN/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-1.3%
ROE	-20.15%
ROCE	6.87%
ROIC	5.43%
ROICexc	5.82%
ROICexgc	6.34%
OM	18.49%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	20.16%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-0.84%

ROA(5y)0.41%

ROE(3y)-11.76%

ROE(5y)2.47%

ROIC(3y)6.99%

ROIC(5y)6.74%

ROICexc(3y)7.37%

ROICexc(5y)7.1%

ROICexgc(3y)8.02%

ROICexgc(5y)7.65%

ROCE(3y)8.85%

ROCE(5y)8.53%

ROICexgc growth 3Y0.53%

ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.1%

ROICexc growth 3Y-0.1%

ROICexc growth 5Y-2.37%

OM growth 3Y-4.04%

OM growth 5Y-3.04%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y-4.32%

GM growth 5Y-2.9%

F-Score2

Asset Turnover0.3

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	8.5
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	6.85
Cap/Depr	655.19%
Cap/Sales	55.92%
Interest Coverage	2.34
Cash Conversion	100.64%
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.83
Quick Ratio	0.74
Altman-Z	1.02

F-Score2

WACC7.13%

ROIC/WACC0.76

Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%

Cap/Depr(5y)250.42%

Cap/Sales(3y)24.91%

Cap/Sales(5y)23.62%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.75%

EPS 3Y6.82%

EPS 5Y8.91%

EPS Q2Q%-4.76%

EPS Next Y4.32%

EPS Next 2Y7.13%

EPS Next 3Y7.74%

EPS Next 5Y6.92%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.51%

Revenue growth 3Y7.38%

Revenue growth 5Y3.68%

Sales Q2Q%-5.32%

Revenue Next Year4.09%

Revenue Next 2Y3.16%

Revenue Next 3Y3.17%

Revenue Next 5Y5.31%

EBIT growth 1Y-12.17%

EBIT growth 3Y3.04%

EBIT growth 5Y0.53%

EBIT Next Year37.91%

EBIT Next 3Y17.17%

EBIT Next 5Y13.77%

FCF growth 1Y-5211.59%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y74.37%

OCF growth 3Y4.56%

OCF growth 5Y2.87%

AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 / AESC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AESC.

Can you provide the valuation status for AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC). This can be considered as Overvalued.

How profitable is AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) stock?

AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.

What are the PE and PB ratios of AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) is 41.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.09.

Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AESC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AES CORP/THE - AES 6 7/8 02/15/24 (AESC) is expected to grow by 4.32% in the next year.