ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1AA • US0138721065

Current stock price

56.74 EUR
-6 (-9.56%)
Last:

This 1AA.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. 1AA.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AA was profitable.
  • 1AA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 1AA reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1AA had a positive operating cash flow.
1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1AA has a better Return On Assets (7.17%) than 70.45% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of 1AA (18.91%) is better than 86.36% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of 1AA (7.46%) is better than 61.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 18.91%
ROIC 7.46%
ROA(3y)1%
ROA(5y)1%
ROE(3y)1.59%
ROE(5y)2.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • 1AA's Profit Margin of 9.02% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA outperforms 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.56%, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AA has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 16.94%, 1AA is not doing good in the industry: 63.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1AA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.56%
PM (TTM) 9.02%
GM 16.94%
OM growth 3Y-4.94%
OM growth 5Y15.55%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.98%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

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3

2. 1AA.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1AA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AA has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1AA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for 1AA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1AA.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AA.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.20 indicates that 1AA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.20, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.32. This is a neutral value as 1AA would need 4.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1AA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.32) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates that 1AA is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.40, 1AA is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF 4.32
Altman-Z 2.2
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC12.72%
1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that 1AA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of 1AA (1.44) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AA has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1AA has a Quick ratio of 0.87. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1AA underperforms 70.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.87
1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. 1AA.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1AA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 293.75%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, 1AA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.00% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.87% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.68% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.87%
Revenue growth 3Y1.01%
Revenue growth 5Y6.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.67% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.27%
EPS Next 2Y19%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5Y-4.67%
Revenue Next Year8.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.81%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 2 -2 4 6

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5

4. 1AA.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.57, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of 1AA.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1AA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AA is cheaper than 70.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 1AA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.36, the valuation of 1AA can be described as correct.
  • 1AA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1AA to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.24), we can say 1AA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.57
Fwd PE 14.36
1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than 65.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.88
EV/EBITDA 9.92
1AA.MI Per share data1AA.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • 1AA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • 1AA's earnings are expected to grow with 15.04% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%

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2

5. 1AA.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1AA has a yearly dividend return of 0.61%, which is pretty low.
  • 1AA's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.52.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.61, 1AA pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 1AA pays out 9.08% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP9.08%
EPS Next 2Y19%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B -1B
1AA.MI Dividend Payout.1AA.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1AA.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1AA.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALCOA CORP

BIT:1AA (4/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

56.74

-6 (-9.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-14
Inst Owners84.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.97B
Revenue(TTM)12.83B
Net Income(TTM)1.16B
Analysts75.45
Price Target52.8 (-6.94%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP9.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)62.11%
Min EPS beat(2)33.63%
Max EPS beat(2)90.58%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)44.4%
Min EPS beat(4)21.88%
Max EPS beat(4)90.58%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)38.74%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)21.75%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)2%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.74%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.74%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.2%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.63%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.82%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)20.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.57
Fwd PE 14.36
P/S 1.36
P/FCF 30.88
P/OCF 14.77
P/B 2.86
P/tB 2.88
EV/EBITDA 9.92
EPS(TTM)3.23
EY5.69%
EPS(NY)3.95
Fwd EY6.97%
FCF(TTM)1.84
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY6.77%
SpS41.59
BVpS19.83
TBVpS19.72
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number37.9617 (-33.1%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 18.91%
ROCE 9.95%
ROIC 7.46%
ROICexc 8.57%
ROICexgc 8.6%
OM 9.56%
PM (TTM) 9.02%
GM 16.94%
FCFM 4.42%
ROA(3y)1%
ROA(5y)1%
ROE(3y)1.59%
ROE(5y)2.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.47%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.7%
OM growth 3Y-4.94%
OM growth 5Y15.55%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.98%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF 4.32
Debt/EBITDA 1.32
Cap/Depr 99.2%
Cap/Sales 4.82%
Interest Coverage 9.59
Cash Conversion 64.05%
Profit Quality 49.01%
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.87
Altman-Z 2.2
F-Score6
WACC12.72%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)91.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
EPS Next Y22.27%
EPS Next 2Y19%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5Y-4.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.87%
Revenue growth 3Y1.01%
Revenue growth 5Y6.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%
Revenue Next Year8.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.81%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.76%
EBIT growth 1Y39.91%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.98%
EBIT growth 5Y23.27%
EBIT Next Year88.81%
EBIT Next 3Y28.6%
EBIT Next 5Y2.98%
FCF growth 1Y1250%
FCF growth 3Y18.35%
FCF growth 5Y69.11%
OCF growth 1Y90.51%
OCF growth 3Y12.97%
OCF growth 5Y24.64%

ALCOA CORP / 1AA.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1AA.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALCOA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of 1AA stock?

ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for 1AA stock?

The financial health rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 3 / 10.


Is the dividend of ALCOA CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.08%.