ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
BIT:1AA - Euronext Milan - US0138721065 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
Overall 1AA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated 1AA against 35 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While 1AA is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. 1AA may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year 1AA was profitable.
In the past year 1AA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years 1AA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years 1AA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
1AA has a Return On Assets of 5.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1AA outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
1AA's Return On Equity of 14.79% is amongst the best of the industry. 1AA outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
1AA has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.45%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1AA outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 14.79% | ||
| ROIC | 10.45% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
1AA has a better Profit Margin (6.79%) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
1AA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1AA has a better Operating Margin (12.74%) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
1AA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1AA has a Gross Margin of 20.43%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1AA outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
1AA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 20.43% |
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1AA is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1AA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
1AA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1AA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
1AA has an Altman-Z score of 1.79. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
1AA has a Altman-Z score (1.79) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1AA has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.74. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1AA would need 7.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
1AA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.74. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1AA outperforms 52.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45 indicates that 1AA is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.45, 1AA is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC9.65%
2.3 Liquidity
1AA has a Current Ratio of 1.71. This is a normal value and indicates that 1AA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1AA has a Current ratio (1.71) which is in line with its industry peers.
1AA has a Quick Ratio of 1.71. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.00, 1AA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
1AA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 237.06%, which is quite impressive.
1AA shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -48.01% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 20.85% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y274.73%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.8%
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.73%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
1AA is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.56.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1AA is valued cheaper than 97.50% of the companies in the same industry.
1AA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.45.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.85, the valuation of 1AA can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1AA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
87.50% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
1AA's earnings are expected to grow with 58.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
1AA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.20, 1AA has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, 1AA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
11.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1AA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP11.28%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
BIT:1AA (5/9/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
22.965
+0.82 (+3.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners77.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.95B
Analysts80
Price Target30.93 (34.68%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP11.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.56%
Min EPS beat(2)3.63%
Max EPS beat(2)31.49%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)50.69%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)96.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.6%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.78%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.29%
PT rev (1m)-35.44%
PT rev (3m)-31.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-15.8%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.85 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.23 | ||
| P/B | 1.14 | ||
| P/tB | 1.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.61 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY15.24%
EPS(NY)2.6
Fwd EY11.3%
FCF(TTM)1.2
FCFY5.23%
OCF(TTM)3.17
OCFY13.82%
SpS43.7
BVpS20.07
TBVpS19.45
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 14.79% | ||
| ROCE | 13.99% | ||
| ROIC | 10.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.66% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.87% | ||
| OM | 12.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 20.43% | ||
| FCFM | 2.75% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.94% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 40.47% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.79 |
F-Score7
WACC9.65%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)237.06%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%365.43%
EPS Next Y274.73%
EPS Next 2Y73.97%
EPS Next 3Y58.47%
EPS Next 5Y19.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%29.63%
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.12%
Revenue Next 3Y2.73%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y758.78%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year155.7%
EBIT Next 3Y35.74%
EBIT Next 5Y10.1%
FCF growth 1Y155.88%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y47.2%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%