ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - BIT:1AA - US0138721065 - Common Stock
28.085 EUR
+0.99 (+3.65%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to 1AA. 1AA was compared to 38 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. 1AA has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. 1AA scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
1AA had positive earnings in the past year.
1AA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 1AA reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years 1AA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of 1AA (6.70%) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 16.37%, 1AA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1AA (10.27%) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.7% | ||
| ROE | 16.37% | ||
| ROIC | 10.27% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
1AA has a Profit Margin of 7.86%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1AA outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
1AA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1AA has a better Operating Margin (12.56%) than 60.53% of its industry peers.
1AA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1AA's Gross Margin of 20.19% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA outperforms 44.74% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1AA has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.86% | ||
| GM | 20.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
1AA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
1AA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
1AA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
1AA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
1AA has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that 1AA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
1AA has a Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1AA underperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
1AA has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.57. This is a neutral value as 1AA would need 4.57 years to pay back of all of its debts.
1AA's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.57 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
1AA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
1AA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.42 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA is outperformed by 68.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC1.11
WACC9.27%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that 1AA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.74% of the companies in the same industry.
1AA has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1AA has a Quick ratio of 0.97. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1AA outperforms 42.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
1AA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 276.60%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for 1AA have been decreasing by -48.01% on average. This is quite bad
1AA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 19.39%.
Measured over the past years, 1AA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)276.6%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%143.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%3.85%
3.2 Future
1AA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.17% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.55% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y240.46%
EPS Next 2Y62.69%
EPS Next 3Y47.06%
EPS Next 5Y19.17%
Revenue Next Year6.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.72%
Revenue Next 3Y2.84%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.55%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.00, which indicates a very decent valuation of 1AA.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1AA is valued cheaper than 97.37% of the companies in the same industry.
1AA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
1AA is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.08.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1AA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AA is cheaper than 60.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
1AA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
1AA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. 1AA is cheaper than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
1AA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. 1AA is cheaper than 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as 1AA's earnings are expected to grow with 47.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y62.69%
EPS Next 3Y47.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
1AA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.77, 1AA has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, 1AA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
1AA pays out 10.56% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP10.56%
EPS Next 2Y62.69%
EPS Next 3Y47.06%
BIT:1AA (9/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
28.085
+0.99 (+3.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners77.78%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.27B
Analysts77.14
Price Target30.36 (8.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP10.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.69%
Min EPS beat(2)21.88%
Max EPS beat(2)31.49%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)38.44%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)96.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.74%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-3.36%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)1%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.21%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.9%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.49%
PT rev (1m)-7.99%
PT rev (3m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)36.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-56.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.08 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.68 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.38 |
EPS(TTM)3.51
EY12.5%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY7.64%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY6.76%
OCF(TTM)3.66
OCFY13.02%
SpS41.69
BVpS20.02
TBVpS19.44
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.7% | ||
| ROE | 16.37% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.86% | ||
| GM | 20.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.56% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.57 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.16 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.08% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.4% | ||
| Profit Quality | 57.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score8
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC1.11
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)276.6%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%143.75%
EPS Next Y240.46%
EPS Next 2Y62.69%
EPS Next 3Y47.06%
EPS Next 5Y19.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%3.85%
Revenue Next Year6.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.72%
Revenue Next 3Y2.84%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.55%
EBIT growth 1Y2240%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year101.18%
EBIT Next 3Y28.26%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y238.24%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y1375%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%