ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe • Euronext Milan • BIT:1AA • US0138721065

53.17 EUR
-3.41 (-6.03%)
Last: Jan 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall 1AA gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated 1AA against 44 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. 1AA has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. 1AA is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AA was profitable.
  • 1AA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 1AA reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • 1AA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1AA's Return On Assets of 7.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • 1AA has a better Return On Equity (18.06%) than 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • 1AA has a Return On Invested Capital (8.26%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.18%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 8.26%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.91%, 1AA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1AA has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 10.77%, 1AA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.41%, 1AA is doing worse than 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.77%
PM (TTM) 8.91%
GM 18.41%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1AA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • 1AA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
1AA.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AA.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.20 indicates that 1AA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.20, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of 1AA is 4.97, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1AA, 4.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • 1AA has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • 1AA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of 1AA (0.41) is worse than 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 4.97
Altman-Z 2.2
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC10.26%
1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1AA has a Current Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that 1AA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of 1AA (1.56) is worse than 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • 1AA has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.91, 1AA is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.91
1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • 1AA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 293.75%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1AA will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.37% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1AA will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
EPS Next 5Y-8.37%
Revenue Next Year7.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.16%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B
1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 2 -2 4 6

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.51, the valuation of 1AA can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1AA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AA is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.41, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.21, the valuation of 1AA can be described as correct.
  • 65.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.64. 1AA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.51
Fwd PE 14.21
1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.15
EV/EBITDA 8.6
1AA.MI Per share data1AA.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • 1AA's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.34% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • 1AA has a yearly dividend return of 0.63%, which is pretty low.
  • 1AA's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.63.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, 1AA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.63%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 9.25% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1AA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP9.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B
1AA.MI Dividend Payout.1AA.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1AA.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ALCOA CORP

BIT:1AA (1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

53.17

-3.41 (-6.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-14
Inst Owners82.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.77B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)1.15B
Analysts78.18
Price Target42.23 (-20.58%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.63%
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP9.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)56.23%
Min EPS beat(2)21.88%
Max EPS beat(2)90.58%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)36.9%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)90.58%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)39.11%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)21.11%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)1.64%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)1%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.81%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.12%
PT rev (1m)20.18%
PT rev (3m)41.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)96.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)24.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.51
Fwd PE 14.21
P/S 1.26
P/FCF 31.15
P/OCF 15.21
P/B 2.55
P/tB 2.62
EV/EBITDA 8.6
EPS(TTM)3.22
EY6.06%
EPS(NY)3.74
Fwd EY7.04%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY3.21%
OCF(TTM)3.5
OCFY6.57%
SpS42.32
BVpS20.87
TBVpS20.28
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.88
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.18%
ROE 18.06%
ROCE 11.01%
ROIC 8.26%
ROICexc 9.36%
ROICexgc 9.52%
OM 10.77%
PM (TTM) 8.91%
GM 18.41%
FCFM 4.03%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 4.97
Debt/EBITDA 1.29
Cap/Depr 87.74%
Cap/Sales 4.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 52.99%
Profit Quality 45.29%
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 2.2
F-Score7
WACC10.26%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
EPS Next Y16.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
EPS Next 5Y-8.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%
Revenue Next Year7.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.16%
EBIT growth 1Y377.93%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year111.43%
EBIT Next 3Y44.41%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y203.18%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y9563.64%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%

ALCOA CORP / 1AA.MI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1AA.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALCOA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALCOA CORP?

ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 16.51 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.55.


Can you provide the financial health for 1AA stock?

The financial health rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 2 / 10.