ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1AA • US0138721065

Current stock price

54.99 EUR
+1.82 (+3.42%)
Last:

This 1AA.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. 1AA.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AA was profitable.
  • 1AA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years 1AA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1AA had a positive operating cash flow.
1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 7.18%, 1AA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA has a Return On Equity of 18.06%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1AA outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.26%, 1AA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.18%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 8.26%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of 1AA (8.91%) is better than 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • 1AA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 10.77%, 1AA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AA has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 18.41%, 1AA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.77%
PM (TTM) 8.91%
GM 18.41%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

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3

2. 1AA.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1AA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AA has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, 1AA has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
1AA.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AA.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.22 indicates that 1AA is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.22, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AA has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.97. This is a neutral value as 1AA would need 4.97 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1AA has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.97) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that 1AA is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.41, 1AA is not doing good in the industry: 70.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 4.97
Altman-Z 2.22
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC10.84%
1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that 1AA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1AA's Current ratio of 1.56 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA is outperformed by 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that 1AA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of 1AA (0.91) is worse than 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.91
1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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1

3. 1AA.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1AA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 293.75%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, 1AA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -8.37% on average over the next years.
  • 1AA is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
EPS Next 5Y-8.37%
Revenue Next Year7.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.16%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AA.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 2 -2 4 6

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5

4. 1AA.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.82, the valuation of 1AA can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.54. 1AA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.45, which indicates a correct valuation of 1AA.
  • 1AA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1AA to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.70), we can say 1AA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.82
Fwd PE 14.45
1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1AA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AA is cheaper than 65.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.68
EV/EBITDA 8.74
1AA.MI Per share data1AA.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • 1AA's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.34% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)1.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. 1AA.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1AA has a yearly dividend return of 0.61%, which is pretty low.
  • 1AA's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.68.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, 1AA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 1AA pays out 9.25% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP9.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1AA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B -1B
1AA.MI Dividend Payout.1AA.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1AA.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1AA.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALCOA CORP

BIT:1AA (3/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

54.99

+1.82 (+3.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-14
Inst Owners84.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.51B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)1.15B
Analysts75.45
Price Target52.8 (-3.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP9.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)56.23%
Min EPS beat(2)21.88%
Max EPS beat(2)90.58%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)36.9%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)90.58%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)39.11%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)21.11%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)1.64%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)1%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.81%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)20.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.82
Fwd PE 14.45
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 31.68
P/OCF 15.47
P/B 2.59
P/tB 2.67
EV/EBITDA 8.74
EPS(TTM)3.27
EY5.95%
EPS(NY)3.81
Fwd EY6.92%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY3.16%
OCF(TTM)3.55
OCFY6.46%
SpS43.03
BVpS21.22
TBVpS20.62
PEG (NY)1.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number39.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.18%
ROE 18.06%
ROCE 11.01%
ROIC 8.26%
ROICexc 9.36%
ROICexgc 9.52%
OM 10.77%
PM (TTM) 8.91%
GM 18.41%
FCFM 4.03%
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF 4.97
Debt/EBITDA 1.29
Cap/Depr 87.74%
Cap/Sales 4.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 52.99%
Profit Quality 45.29%
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 2.22
F-Score7
WACC10.84%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)293.75%
EPS 3Y-7%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%21.15%
EPS Next Y16.25%
EPS Next 2Y18.3%
EPS Next 3Y-6.34%
EPS Next 5Y-8.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.06%
Revenue Next Year7.64%
Revenue Next 2Y4.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.32%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.16%
EBIT growth 1Y377.93%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year111.43%
EBIT Next 3Y44.41%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y203.18%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y9563.64%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%

ALCOA CORP / 1AA.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to 1AA.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALCOA CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALCOA CORP?

ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 16.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.59.


Can you provide the financial health for 1AA stock?

The financial health rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 3 / 10.