ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - Euronext Milan - BIT:1AA - US0138721065 - Common Stock
53.17 EUR
-3.41 (-6.03%)
1AA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 43 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 1AA while its profitability can be described as average. 1AA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- 1AA had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year 1AA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years 1AA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- 1AA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of 1AA (7.18%) is better than 67.44% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 18.06%, 1AA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.72% of the companies in the same industry.
- 1AA has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1AA outperforms 60.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.18% | ||
| ROE | 18.06% | ||
| ROIC | 8.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.91%, 1AA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- 1AA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- 1AA has a Operating Margin (10.77%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AA has declined.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.41%, 1AA is doing worse than 62.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- 1AA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.91% | ||
| GM | 18.41% |
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1AA is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, 1AA has more shares outstanding
- 1AA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- 1AA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- 1AA has an Altman-Z score of 2.19. This is not the best score and indicates that 1AA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.19, 1AA is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of 1AA is 4.97, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1AA, 4.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- 1AA's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.97 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1AA outperforms 58.14% of its industry peers.
- 1AA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of 1AA (0.41) is worse than 67.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.24%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that 1AA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- 1AA has a worse Current ratio (1.56) than 69.77% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that 1AA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of 1AA (0.91) is worse than 69.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 656.25% over the past year.
- 1AA shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -48.01% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.94% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)656.25%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-103.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.94%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%3.13%
3.2 Future
- 1AA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.17% yearly.
- 1AA is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y288.16%
EPS Next 2Y108.01%
EPS Next 3Y72.16%
EPS Next 5Y19.17%
Revenue Next Year7.82%
Revenue Next 2Y6.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.28%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.55%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.38 indicates a rather expensive valuation of 1AA.
- 74.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. 1AA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.87, the valuation of 1AA can be described as correct.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1AA.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.29, 1AA is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 67.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1AA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AA is cheaper than 67.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- 1AA's earnings are expected to grow with 72.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y108.01%
EPS Next 3Y72.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- 1AA has a yearly dividend return of 0.75%, which is pretty low.
- 1AA's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.65.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.85, 1AA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 9.25% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1AA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP9.25%
EPS Next 2Y108.01%
EPS Next 3Y72.16%
BIT:1AA (1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
53.17
-3.41 (-6.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)10-22 2025-10-22/amc
Earnings (Next)01-22 2026-01-22/amc
Inst Owners82.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.77B
Revenue(TTM)12.87B
Net Income(TTM)1.15B
Analysts78.18
Price Target35.35 (-33.52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP9.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)56.23%
Min EPS beat(2)21.88%
Max EPS beat(2)90.58%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)36.9%
Min EPS beat(4)3.63%
Max EPS beat(4)90.58%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)39.11%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)21.11%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)1.64%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)1%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.81%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.12%
PT rev (1m)0.61%
PT rev (3m)18.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)97.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)24.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.87 | ||
| P/S | 1.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.05 | ||
| P/B | 2.52 | ||
| P/tB | 2.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.52 |
EPS(TTM)3.06
EY5.76%
EPS(NY)3.58
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)1.73
FCFY3.24%
OCF(TTM)3.53
OCFY6.65%
SpS42.77
BVpS21.09
TBVpS20.5
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.18% | ||
| ROE | 18.06% | ||
| ROCE | 11.01% | ||
| ROIC | 8.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.52% | ||
| OM | 10.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.91% | ||
| GM | 18.41% | ||
| FCFM | 4.03% |
ROA(3y)-1.67%
ROA(5y)-0.66%
ROE(3y)-5.52%
ROE(5y)-2.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-23.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y-23.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.18%
OM growth 3Y-24.44%
OM growth 5Y-2.57%
PM growth 3Y-47.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.25%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.99% | ||
| Profit Quality | 45.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
F-Score7
WACC10.24%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)84.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)656.25%
EPS 3Y-48.01%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-103.51%
EPS Next Y288.16%
EPS Next 2Y108.01%
EPS Next 3Y72.16%
EPS Next 5Y19.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.94%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%3.13%
Revenue Next Year7.82%
Revenue Next 2Y6.96%
Revenue Next 3Y5.28%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.55%
EBIT growth 1Y377.93%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year110.8%
EBIT Next 3Y39.86%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y203.18%
FCF growth 3Y-57.05%
FCF growth 5Y-32.82%
OCF growth 1Y9563.64%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-1.94%
ALCOA CORP / 1AA.MI FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1AA.MI.
Can you provide the valuation status for ALCOA CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ALCOA CORP?
ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 17.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.52.
Can you provide the financial health for 1AA stock?
The financial health rating of ALCOA CORP (1AA.MI) is 3 / 10.