CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:CAKE • US1630721017

Current stock price

54.75 USD
+0.38 (+0.7%)
At close:
54.17 USD
-0.58 (-1.06%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$66.36
+ 21.21% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 28, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.03
Revenue Estimate
984.59M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
71.72%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$66.36
Upside
+ 21.21%
From current price of $54.75 to mean target of $66.36, Based on 29 analyst forecasts
Low
$50.50
Median
$66.30
High
$79.80

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
0.00%
3 Months
10.17%

Price Target Summary

29 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for CAKE. The average price target is 66.36 USD. This implies a price increase of 21.21% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 54.75.
The average price target has been revised upward by 10.17% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

CAKE Current Analyst RatingCAKE Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings History

CAKE Historical Analyst RatingsCAKE Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20 25

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
71.72%
CAKE was analyzed by 29 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 72. So analysts seem to be have mildly positive about CAKE.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
CAKE was analyzed by 29 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-19Stephens & Co.Downgrade Overweight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-19Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2026-02-19CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-12MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2026-02-09CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-20Morgan StanleyMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2026-01-07BarclaysMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-12-17Freedom Capital MarketsInitiate Hold
2025-11-07Argus ResearchMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-30JP MorganMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-10-29MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-10-29Stephens & Co.Maintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-29BarclaysMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-10-29Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-10-29Raymond JamesReiterate Outperform -> Outperform
2025-10-29B of A SecuritiesMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-10-29CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-28MizuhoInitiate Outperform
2025-10-22BarclaysMaintains Underweight -> Underweight
2025-10-16Wells FargoMaintains Equal-Weight -> Equal-Weight
2025-10-16Raymond JamesReiterate Outperform -> Outperform
2025-10-14CitigroupMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-08-15Raymond JamesMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-08-04Piper SandlerMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-07-31Morgan StanleyMaintains Underweight -> Underweight

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 28, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.03
Revenue Estimate
984.59M
Revenue Q2Q
6.19%
EPS Q2Q
10.38%
Number of Analysts
24

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
-0.03%
Revenue (3 Months)
-0.14%
EPS (1 Month)
0.49%
EPS (3 Months)
-0.65%

Next Earnings Summary

CAKE is expected to report earnings on 4/28/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 1.03 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 984.59M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0.14% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2030

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue
YoY % growth
CAKE revenue by date.CAKE revenue by date.
3.44B
4.13%		3.582B
4.13%		3.752B
4.75%		3.983B
6.16%		4.247B
6.63%		4.552B
7.18%		4.624B
1.58%		4.785B
3.48%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
CAKE ebitda by date.CAKE ebitda by date.
242.852M
37.91%		295.843M
21.82%		333.755M
12.81%		350.1M
4.90%		381.39M
8.94%		412.41M
8.13%		N/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
CAKE ebit by date.CAKE ebit by date.
149.716M
78.87%		194.393M
29.84%		224.724M
15.60%		231.93M
3.21%		256.31M
10.51%		278.71M
8.74%		246.84M
-11.43%		255M
3.31%
Operating Margin
CAKE operating margin by date.CAKE operating margin by date.
4.35%5.43%5.99%5.82%6.04%6.12%5.34%5.33%
EPS
YoY % growth
CAKE eps by date.CAKE eps by date.
2.68
76.32%		3.44
28.36%		3.77
9.59%		4.11
9.06%		4.51
9.74%		5.05
11.90%		N/AN/A

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		1.03
10.38%		1.26
8.94%		0.70
2.86%		1.13
12.68%		1.06
3.08%		1.39
9.84%		0.79
12.83%		1.27
12.59%		1.19
12.55%		1.51
8.93%		0.88
11.79%		1.40
10.34%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		984.59M
6.19%		1.008B
5.46%		964.7M
6.34%		1.025B
6.60%		1.049B
6.54%		1.08B
7.14%		1.028B
6.56%		1.09B
6.34%		1.119B
6.67%		1.152B
6.67%		1.09B
6.03%		1.189B
9.08%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		84.56M
6.48%		100.87M
-15.23%		70.134M
-40.78%		96.84M
-45.07%		93.273M
10.30%		110.94M
9.98%		75.804M
8.08%		104.55M
7.96%		100.36M
7.60%		119.91M
8.09%		86.134M
13.63%		105.75M
1.15%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		55.351M
3.78%		71.983M
8.97%		39.9M
4.79%		64.802M
-3.65%		61.61M
11.31%		80.129M
11.32%		44.396M
11.27%		72.043M
11.17%		68.575M
11.30%		87.695M
9.44%		53.392M
20.26%		72.685M
0.89%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

CAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCAKE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
10.23%
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
6.07%
Revenue Next 5 Year
4.64%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
23.54%
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE / CAKE Forecast FAQ

Can you provide the average price target for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE stock?

29 analysts have analysed CAKE and the average price target is 66.36 USD. This implies a price increase of 21.21% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 54.75.

What is the next earnings date for CAKE stock?

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) will report earnings on 2026-04-28, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 1.03 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 984.59M USD.

Can you provide the consensus rating for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE stock?

The consensus rating for CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (CAKE) is 71.7241 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.