Fundamental Analysis of GEVO INC(NASDAQ:GEVO) stock

Fundamental Rating

GEVO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of GEVO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. GEVO is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GEVO has reported negative net income.

In the past year GEVO has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

In the past 5 years GEVO always reported negative net income.

GEVO had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -10.65%, GEVO is not doing good in the industry: 90.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

The Return On Equity of GEVO (-12.45%) is worse than 84.43% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.65%
ROE	-12.45%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-11.11%

ROA(5y)-18.09%

ROE(3y)-12.96%

ROE(5y)-21.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 16.67%, GEVO is not doing good in the industry: 70.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GEVO so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	16.67%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GEVO does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

GEVO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

The number of shares outstanding for GEVO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.

The debt/assets ratio for GEVO is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.46, we must say that GEVO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

GEVO has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.46) than 75.00% of its industry peers.

GEVO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, GEVO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.83% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.13
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-0.46

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC6.82%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 12.80 indicates that GEVO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

GEVO's Current ratio of 12.80 is amongst the best of the industry. GEVO outperforms 96.70% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 12.62 indicates that GEVO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

The Quick ratio of GEVO (12.62) is better than 96.70% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	12.8
Quick Ratio	12.62

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WACC

Debt/Equity

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Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 32.56% over the past year.

The Revenue has grown by 241.96% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!

Measured over the past years, GEVO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -12.14% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)32.56%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-14.29%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)241.96%

Revenue growth 3Y45.88%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.14%

Sales Q2Q%-1.72%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GEVO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 46.76% on average per year.

GEVO is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 65.72% yearly.

EPS Next Y-22.04%

EPS Next 2Y-7.97%

EPS Next 3Y25.61%

EPS Next 5Y46.76%

Revenue Next Year2.09%

Revenue Next 2Y34.06%

Revenue Next 3Y99.4%

Revenue Next 5Y65.72%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GEVO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Also next year GEVO is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GEVO's earnings are expected to grow with 25.61% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-7.97%

EPS Next 3Y25.61%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GEVO does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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GEVO INC

NASDAQ:GEVO (5/31/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.6949 +0.01 (+1.64%)

0.6837

-0.03 (-3.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorEnergy

GICS IndustryGroupEnergy

GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap161.51M

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.65%
ROE	-12.45%
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	16.67%
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.03

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.13
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	12.8
Quick Ratio	12.62
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)32.56%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS Q2Q%

EPS Next Y-22.04%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)241.96%

Revenue growth 3Y45.88%

Revenue growth 5Y

Sales Q2Q%

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

GEVO INC (GEVO)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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