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CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE (1CAKE.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1CAKE - Euronext Milan - US1630721017 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

55.38  +55.38 (+Infinity%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, 1CAKE scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1CAKE was compared to 58 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. 1CAKE has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. 1CAKE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1CAKE had positive earnings in the past year.
1CAKE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years 1CAKE 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years 1CAKE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1CAKE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1CAKE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

1CAKE has a Return On Assets of 5.03%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1CAKE outperforms 72.88% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 46.12%, 1CAKE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.31% of the companies in the same industry.
1CAKE has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.34%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1CAKE outperforms 59.32% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1CAKE is significantly below the industry average of 10.65%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.79%) for 1CAKE is below the current ROIC(6.34%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.03%
ROE 46.12%
ROIC 6.34%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)27.33%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1CAKE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1CAKE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 4.33%, 1CAKE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.32% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1CAKE has declined.
1CAKE has a Operating Margin (5.67%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1CAKE has remained more or less at the same level.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 77.75%, 1CAKE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.66% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1CAKE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.67%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 77.75%
OM growth 3Y8.38%
OM growth 5Y1.18%
PM growth 3Y37.68%
PM growth 5Y-3.11%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.03%
1CAKE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1CAKE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1CAKE is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1CAKE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
1CAKE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1CAKE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1CAKE.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1CAKE.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
1CAKE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1CAKE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.55 indicates that 1CAKE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
1CAKE has a Altman-Z score of 2.55. This is in the better half of the industry: 1CAKE outperforms 72.88% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1CAKE is 5.55, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1CAKE, 5.55 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1CAKE (5.55) is better than 69.49% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.85 is on the high side and indicates that 1CAKE has dependencies on debt financing.
1CAKE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.85. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1CAKE outperforms 49.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.85
Debt/FCF 5.55
Altman-Z 2.55
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC8.77%
1CAKE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1CAKE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

1CAKE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that 1CAKE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.53, 1CAKE is not doing good in the industry: 69.49% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1CAKE has a Quick Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that 1CAKE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.43, 1CAKE is doing worse than 71.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.43
1CAKE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1CAKE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.00% over the past year.
1CAKE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.68% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.42% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.61% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30%
EPS 3Y17.14%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%27.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.42%
Revenue growth 3Y6.95%
Revenue growth 5Y7.61%
Sales Q2Q%4.04%

3.2 Future

1CAKE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.10% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1CAKE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.89%
EPS Next 2Y10.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y5.66%
Revenue Next 3Y5.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1CAKE.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1CAKE.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
1CAKE.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1CAKE.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.75, the valuation of 1CAKE can be described as rather expensive.
83.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1CAKE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
1CAKE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.50, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.48, the valuation of 1CAKE can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1CAKE is valued a bit cheaper than 77.97% of the companies in the same industry.
1CAKE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.75
Fwd PE 15.48
1CAKE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1CAKE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1CAKE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1CAKE is cheaper than 64.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
1CAKE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.26
EV/EBITDA 11.97
1CAKE.MI Per share data1CAKE.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1CAKE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of 1CAKE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2
PEG (5Y)3.13
EPS Next 2Y10.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.1%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1CAKE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.74%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.93, 1CAKE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
1CAKE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1CAKE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.51%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.51%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

1CAKE pays out 33.67% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
1CAKE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP33.67%
EPS Next 2Y10.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.1%
1CAKE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1CAKE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M
1CAKE.MI Dividend Payout.1CAKE.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1CAKE.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC/THE

BIT:1CAKE (7/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

55.38

+55.38 (+Infinity%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Earnings (Next)07-29 2025-07-29/amc
Inst Owners112.08%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.74B
Analysts74.07
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%
Yearly Dividend0.9
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.51%
DP33.67%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.64%
Min EPS beat(2)11.2%
Max EPS beat(2)12.08%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.78%
Min EPS beat(4)6.87%
Max EPS beat(4)16.98%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.68%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.31%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.52%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.19%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.75
Fwd PE 15.48
P/S 0.88
P/FCF 28.26
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 9.42
P/tB 36.63
EV/EBITDA 11.97
EPS(TTM)3.12
EY5.63%
EPS(NY)3.58
Fwd EY6.46%
FCF(TTM)1.96
FCFY3.54%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY8.78%
SpS62.7
BVpS5.88
TBVpS1.51
PEG (NY)2
PEG (5Y)3.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.03%
ROE 46.12%
ROCE 8.46%
ROIC 6.34%
ROICexc 6.72%
ROICexgc 7.55%
OM 5.67%
PM (TTM) 4.33%
GM 77.75%
FCFM 3.13%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)27.33%
ROE(5y)8.44%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.97%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.39%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y10.35%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y11%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.1%
OM growth 3Y8.38%
OM growth 5Y1.18%
PM growth 3Y37.68%
PM growth 5Y-3.11%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.85
Debt/FCF 5.55
Debt/EBITDA 2.04
Cap/Depr 162.91%
Cap/Sales 4.63%
Interest Coverage 20.11
Cash Conversion 91.07%
Profit Quality 72.23%
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.43
Altman-Z 2.55
F-Score7
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)148.68%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.45%
Profit Quality(3y)81.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30%
EPS 3Y17.14%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%27.4%
EPS Next Y8.89%
EPS Next 2Y10.06%
EPS Next 3Y11.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.42%
Revenue growth 3Y6.95%
Revenue growth 5Y7.61%
Sales Q2Q%4.04%
Revenue Next Year5.19%
Revenue Next 2Y5.66%
Revenue Next 3Y5.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y32.53%
EBIT growth 3Y15.92%
EBIT growth 5Y8.87%
EBIT Next Year72.16%
EBIT Next 3Y26.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y58.35%
FCF growth 3Y-9.76%
FCF growth 5Y-5.64%
OCF growth 1Y45.03%
OCF growth 3Y8%
OCF growth 5Y4.17%